F5TornadoF5 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 JMA out to 72hrs. Looks pretty good so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Ok? And my post had nothing to do with your backyard....hence why I said "this far north" .... Smh "This far north" is a very broad statement. This far north as in North of phily, or this far north as in North of the NY/NJ border is what I was saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 "This far north" is a very broad statement. This far north as in North of phily, or this far north as in North of the NY/NJ border is what I was saying. "This far north" as in I live in freaking ulster... It was IMBY statement, hence why it's in banter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Or we just need it to not jump east 300 miles like the gem and GFS show Confluence brother.. You can clearly see it trying to redevelop another low at Hr 78. Some places in our area are gonna have 6" while a quick 20 min drive north will have a dusting. Craziness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Hmmmm maybe just the south fork then. If I remember correctly you did dry slot for a time Yes! Dry slot I was going to mention! Go to my weather underground station and double check.I'm pretty certain I was up to 31 that's it... Yes yes I do remember now, I was home from school and it basically stopped snowing... I hated that storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Confluence brother.. You can clearly see it trying to redevelop another low at Hr 78. Some places in our area are gonna have 6" while a quick 20 min drive north will have a dusting. Craziness We watched an epic 2" an hour snow band sit just a few miles offshore during 2/5-6/10. About as heart breaking as you can get I think if this storm destroys DC and give NYC a decent storm but totally shafts Boston it's pay back for last winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 We watched an epic 2" an hour snow band sit just a few miles offshore during 2/5-6/10. About as heart breaking as you can get I think if this storm destroys DC and give NYC a decent storm but totally shafts Boston it's pay back for last winter Might add well add Eastern long island to lol we killed it last winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Might add well add Eastern long island to lol we killed it last winter Relax dude lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Experimental 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Relax dude lol.. Lol well I've had amazing winters past few years. Many west of here are jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Experimental 0z run. Unless my eyes are tricking me long island is jackpot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The range of possibilities with this storm is mindboggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Unless my eyes are tricking me long island is jackpot?Baltimore. Not that this has a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The range of possibilities with this storm is mindboggling. I hate this storm and it hasn't even started yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I don't see how this ULL does not force this thing NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The models are being really annoying right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Lol well I've had amazing winters past few years. Many west of here are jealous. If Long Island ends up with the most yet again I will reach into my computer screen and drop kick you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 If Long Island ends up with the most yet again I will reach into my computer screen and drop kick you. LI is in a perfect spot for this, as they usually are for coastal snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cjr231 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 What did the JMA and Ukie show? Not necessarily worried about totals. Just wondering if they have the same jump east the GFS and GGEM brought to the table this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I know the JMA was a hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 What did the JMA and Ukie show? Not necessarily worried about totals. Just wondering if they have the same jump east the GFS and GGEM brought to the table this run. The ukie hasn't been a hit all along so I'm not sure it matters. But would be nice to see it jump onboard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 LI is in a perfect spot for this, as they usually are for coastal snowstorms.Lol, that's such an overgeneralization. They do well in some coastals and go to rain in others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I don't know where this belongs, so I'll put it in banter: the Feb 2010 storm that everyone alludes to actually moved a bit more north with its heavy precipitation than forecasted. Southern/Central NJ and Philly did very well. Just goes to show that south of the sharp cutoff - if there is one here - could overperform as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Can anyone provide a quick rundown/reminder of what went wrong with last year's storm? If we had a thread dedicated to it, could someone post a link to it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 LI is in a perfect spot for this, as they usually are for coastal snowstorms. And if the system ends up stalling near the Delmarva they will have major mixing issues, especially over Eastern Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I don't know where this belongs, so I'll put it in banter: the Feb 2010 storm that everyone alludes to actually moved a bit more north with its heavy precipitation than forecasted. Southern/Central NJ and Philly did very well. Just goes to show that south of the sharp cutoff - if there is one here - could overperform as well Went to bed with a warning for 4-8" and ended up without a single flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Lol, that's such an overgeneralization. They do well in some coastals and go to rain in others. What world do you live in? In the last 15 years, LI has gotten buried. Many areas are close to 40" average. I'm not talking about ancient history in the 80s and 90s. You're on LI as well. Add up the last 15yrs and tell me your 15yr average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 And if the system ends up stalling near the Delmarva they will have major mixing issues, especially over Eastern Suffolk. The far majority of people live from Port Jefferson and west. And even with a stall and changeover, they would still catch more of the CCB as the low departs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 For those that want to compare this to February 5-6, 2010 look how much different things were at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The far majority of people live from Port Jefferson and west. And even with a stall and changeover, they would still catch more of the CCB as the low departs. If the system materialized like some of the stronger guidance would indicate then totals for this storm would be pretty uniform across the board. Of course localized jackpots would be possible under the strongest banding. I'm also sure you would find a way to say that Queens somehow got the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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