UnionWeatherWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm predicting that by 11:30 pm weenies will be : I'll be back later tonight, for one last shift south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Boxing day redux incoming lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Can anyone explain why the low moves due east from the maryland coast on the models instead of a NNE track like all good noreasters? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 IN VIRGINIA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Can anyone explain why the low moves due east from the maryland coast on the models instead of a NNE track like all good noreasters?stronger block up north by the lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Boxing day redux incoming lol I remember clearly that while models had it ots the NAM had an epic 18z run 54 hours away from the event. Also Boxing Day had a near miss a few days before, just like we had recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I love how so many mets have become modelologists. They explain what the models show and decide their forecast accordingly. If the Euro wouldn't have budged, neither would the mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 My call for tonight's runs for NYC GFS 6-8" EURO 2-4" I think we lock in there for several runs before a last minute north trend brings us to a final 8-10" for the park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I remember clearly that while models had it ots the NAM had an epic 18z run 54 hours away from the event. Also Boxing Day had a near miss a few days before, just like we had recently. I remember the BD calls. Even that Friday, the mets on the radio were saying several inches. I turned on the TV on Saturday night, and TWC was talking blizzard. Ah, memories. But are the setups similar? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I remember clearly that while models had it ots the NAM had an epic 18z run 54 hours away from the event. Also Boxing Day had a near miss a few days before, just like we had recently.Boxing day, Jan 1996 and Feb 2003 all came north on models closer to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nightknights Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 No two storms are alike it's wishful thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 No two storms are alike it's wishful thinking It's only wishful thinking if it doesn't happen in the end. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Figures. As soon as Forky says he bites the models take the storm south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Figures. As soon as Forky says he bites the models take the storm south. That and the radio show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Whoa whoa whoa, people taking my word for it, please stop right NOW. I am not a forecaster. It saddens me that I have to explain that my post about boxing day was sarcastic. If this storm whiffs, put the blame on forky for literally putting the fork in it when he approved the storm Lol Back in tristatewx days, we had a ritual of eating meatball subs before a storm to bring us luck. I stick to that method baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm just a discouraged as everyone else, but no reason the EURO can't come back N at 0z. The GFS has waffled the precip shield up and down the last few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Still plenty of time, who knows maybe we can pull a dec 26th 2010 type miracle! That's my attempt at being positive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I have a feeling come Saturday, it will be a now casting event. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I love how so many mets have become modelologists. They explain what the models show and decide their forecast accordingly. If the Euro wouldn't have budged, neither would the mets. Confluence is the reason not the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Best of luck to all with the 00Z Suite May the snow force be with you. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Not bad.....a little more than 3 feet here.....hopefully it's more than just a little with future runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Lol you beat me to it by a few seconds, man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Confluence is the reason not the models Well, who told them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 So from roughly 40" to nothing over what? Maybe 50 or 60 miles? If I lived just North of that gradient I would slit my wrists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 ImageUploadedByTapatalk1453254212.978194.jpg Not bad.....a little more than 3 feet here.....hopefully it's more than just a little with future runs 27 January. Sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 It's only a matter of time before we get a NAM run which matches the DGEX snow amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 So from roughly 40" to nothing over what? Maybe 50 or 60 miles? If I lived just North of that gradient I would slit my wrists. On 2/5-6/10, Philly had 23" and Central Park a trace. How far apart are they? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 At least the DGEX sees the confluence! A bit of a northern outlier I would say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 2/5-6/10, Philly had 23" and Central Park a trace. How far apart are they? 50 miles estimated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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