gymengineer Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Not gonna lie...getting pretty excited about this...but i have a pit because it's still really far away and history hasn't always been kind. Anyway...weeks like this are way more fun than what this winter has been so far. It doesn't help that most of us are off work today Model runs from day to night to day to night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 This thread is getting interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 We used physics to develop a bomb that re shaped the human race and ended wars, sent a man to the moon, and can watch people eat their breakfast from satellites 8000 miles away. But you're telling me we can't tell if snowflakes will fall in 3.5 days because a vort is a little ways off the west coast? What a time to be alive. So true. But I got my eye on that bugger. Superstitious lot we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 i do hope that people realize the SW in question is still way out in the pacific... yet to come ashore.... yet to be sampled... Lots of observations available out over the Pacific: WPAC AMVs: http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=westpac&sat=wgms∏=wvir&zoom=&time= EPAC AMVs: http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=eastpac&sat=wg9∏=wvir&zoom=&time= GPS RO data: http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls15/data/data01/scratch/ps2png-atls15-95e2cf679cd58ee9b4db4dd119a05a8d-s6KcUG.png And all of the MW and IR radiances from polar orbiters. All of that data is assimilated into operational NWP models.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 18z NAM at hr 84 has 1010mb SLP in C MS Friday at 06z... and thats all I am going to say about the NAM Thank you, Forrest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Lots of observations available out over the Pacific: WPAC AMVs: http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=westpac&sat=wgms∏=wvir&zoom=&time= EPAC AMVs: http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=eastpac&sat=wg9∏=wvir&zoom=&time= GPS RO data: http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls15/data/data01/scratch/ps2png-atls15-95e2cf679cd58ee9b4db4dd119a05a8d-s6KcUG.png And all of the MW and IR radiances from polar orbiters. All of that data is assimilated into operational NWP models.... Thank you for the links. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Mappy laying down the LAW! and clearly the bait too. hehe ... you guys are so easy to troll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 oh for **** sakes, we all had rough times in our past, grow up. its a message board. if the owner of said board is telling you not to post a map, then you shut up and listen. if you dont like it, then go elsewhere. its that simple. That wasn't my point.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 i do hope that people realize the SW in question is still way out in the pacific... yet to come ashore.... yet to be sampled... Too much sampling can actually be a bad thing. For instance, I am not allowed back inside or within 50 feet of certain CostCo stores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Lots of observations available out over the Pacific: WPAC AMVs: http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=westpac&sat=wgms∏=wvir&zoom=&time= EPAC AMVs: http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=eastpac&sat=wg9∏=wvir&zoom=&time= GPS RO data: http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls15/data/data01/scratch/ps2png-atls15-95e2cf679cd58ee9b4db4dd119a05a8d-s6KcUG.png And all of the MW and IR radiances from polar orbiters. All of that data is assimilated into operational NWP models.... thanks for the links, but i wasn't serious. sorry... thats why i posted in banter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 F*ck F*CK F*CKF*CKF*CK F*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CK F***************CK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 F*ck F*CK F*CKF*CKF*CK F*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CK F***************CK I feel for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 F*ck F*CK F*CKF*CKF*CK F*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CK F***************CK I believe this is a disease of way too much California sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Had storm vista last year but just tried wxbell for first time - wxbell pretty damn sweet. And I get to see all the snow maps I want. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 F*ck F*CK F*CKF*CKF*CK F*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CK F***************CK Will it be ok if schools are closed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 thanks for the links, but i wasn't serious. sorry... thats why i posted in banter Fair, but I will still use every opportunity possible to shoot down weeneisms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I feel for you Thanks, Fozz. I just landed in LA and its beautiful right now, but I'm absolutely miserable after halfway catching up with the midday runs. It's so bad that I can only for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 F*ck F*CK F*CKF*CKF*CK F*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CKF*CK F***************CK Just get violently ill on Thursday morning and fly home. It's a pretty safe plan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 i do hope that people realize the SW in question is still way out in the pacific... yet to come ashore.... yet to be sampled... there's so much data in the models already though. still think this is overrated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 There is no way I'd get on that plane. Think he just landed. Same reaction I had to the Vikings game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Who's ready for another model run? 12z GFS-Para rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Think he just landed. Same reaction I had to the Vikings game He's stuck in Cali. Absolutely feel for him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Mappy trolled dtk and Ian. Master effort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Mappy trolled dtk and Ian. Master effort. eh lots of people say that seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Will it be ok if schools are closed? What's the harm in walking home from school in 2"/hr rates? Keep 'em open! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 eh lots of people say that seriously. It's happened twice today. Not including Mappy's joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 My daughter was pretty much asleep when I kissed her bye bye this morning, but I told her that I'd wish for snow for her to play in while I was gone. She smiled...big. I literally shed a tear when I said that. ;( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 It's happened twice today. Not including Mappy's joke.Plenty of mets say it. More data is good in general I think but tons of obs plus tons more satellite data etc. may be cases where a shortwave being fully sampled changed something major but seems limited if so. Plus disaggregating from simply getting better forecasts in closing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Hope it's not too soon "mattie g likes unhappy Arsenal fans" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 there's so much data in the models already though. still think this is overrated. It is an ontological impossibility for this to be underrated, maybe even "fairly rated," no matter how it turns out. It would have to be the wintertime equivalent of Tsar Bomba going off to be underrated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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