mappy Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Personally, no. I honestly never feel comfortable about snow, especially big snow, until it is actually happening. i was kidding, the guy who asked said Wednesday morning... I'm with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I'm worried about the dryspot....on my elbow I'm worried about the dryslot....... on.... eh forget it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 i was kidding, the guy who asked said Wednesday morning... I'm with you. Oh. Sorry. I'm really stupid. The difference between me and most is that I know it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The warm layer would be okay with me. Give me a foot of snow, 4 hours of sleet, and another round of 6" of snow on the backside and I'm good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Lets just start drinking before any models take this away from us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Man, it's really nice to finally be in this spot. At this point it seems like 3-6 inches in the major cities is almost locked down. Anything 6+ would be a huge bonus and if guidance keeps advertising 6+ in the cities that would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Has there been any idea of another radio show? I loved listening in on those things! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 We'll direct the legal notices to you and you can handle. Still whatever? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Ask AccuWeather on how they deal with them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I'm going to relentlessly mock the first people to bring up "convective feedback" or "initialization errors" when the models start waffling a little bit in the next day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Ask AccuWeather on how they deal with themI don't need to ask them. Thanks if you want to see them, head on over to accuwx. Maybe they pay for permission, who knows. Or they just don't care legally. We do. Don't post the maps. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Didn't Ian have a weenie scale graphic that was going to be used this winter? That needs to be used again lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Has there been any idea of another radio show? I loved listening in on those things! Tomorrow. Nice line up too. Now let's get the radio jinx meme going. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I'm going to relentlessly mock the first people to bring up "convective feedback" or "initialization errors" when the models start waffling a little bit in the next day or two. I'm not sure you saw the post below earlier. Just curious, but you mentioned that precip totals should be taken with a grain of salt because of thresholds, is there anything else that gets biased when a modeled storm gets this "extreme" for lack of a better word. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I don't need to ask them. Thanks if you want to see them, head on over to accuwx. Maybe they pay for permission, who know. Or they just don't care legally. We do. Don't post the maps. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Ok, tell me how the date with Joe Bastardi goes though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 We need an update about the storm from Frankie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 praetorian guard...this all makes sense now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Ok, tell me how the date with Joe Bastardi goes though!So stupid. What does this even mean?Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Can we please stop the fighting. If AmericanWX do not want to post maps from pay sites so be it. It is their policy and not anyone else's. If people are too cheap to pay for them... that is their fault Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I'm not sure you saw the post below earlier. Impossible to answer this question since we never have close to a large enough sample size: Operational models are constantly changing with upgrades. The current GFS is nothing like the version that was operational before Jan 2015. No two storms are alike. I do think that models tend to go overboard a little bit with these really dynamic events with significant nonlinear feedback processes. That's why it's much better for your sanity to follow the 500mb evolution at leads rather than worrying about exact SLP placement, QPF totals, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 So stupid. What does this even mean? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 praetorian guard...this all makes sense now Yup. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Ok, tell me how the date with Joe Bastardi goes though! Joel Myers has a lot of $$. I'm sure he's paid whatever price for full use of those maps. Not the same thing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yeah just like I thought. You're out of your depth here dude. Perhaps slink back to whining. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Impossible to answer this question since we never have close to a large enough sample size: Operational models are constantly changing with upgrades. The current GFS is nothing like the version that was operational before Jan 2015. No two storms are alike. I do think that models tend to go overboard a little bit with these really dynamic events with significant nonlinear feedback processes. That's why it's much better for your sanity to follow the 500mb evolution at leads rather than worrying about exact SLP placement, QPF totals, etc. Thanks. That makes good sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yeah just like I thought. You're out of your depth here dude. Perhaps slink back to whining. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Cool story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yeah just like I thought. You're out of your depth here dude. Perhaps slink back to whining. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Dont let them get to you when we are under 100 hours away from a crushing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Cool story. Lol Adios! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Man, the placement of the GEFS mean surface low at 120 is a thing of beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Anyone whining about not see the Euro maps. You have the right to pay for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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