AlaskaETC Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Watch DT ride this Euro run like no other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Besides, there's always a N-W trend. Now it's all wrapped up in a nice bow for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Good lord, you'd think from the bloodletting that it was a rainstorm. People are still getting 10-20" of snow. it's the trend that's a major concern. now is when models start trending for better or worse. you want to hope this is a blip at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 If 16" is the low end after a "horrible" run i'm good with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 12z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 it's the trend that's a major concern. now is when models start trending for better or worse. you want to hope this is a blip at this point. 1 data point does not make a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 it's the trend that's a major concern. now is when models start trending for better or worse. you want to hope this is a blip at this point. S trend on the Euro maybe, but the other models are pretty much through the goalpost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Lol dude, tell that to Mappy. The cutoff to the north was fierce on that run. Just brutal. Horrible for up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 This added a lot more suspense than I was hoping for. Hopefully the EPS will hold firm and this will end up being a goalpost, not the start of a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 From a climo perspective, has Richmond ever maxed out a Miller A like this before? Of course anything is possible just wondering if it's happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Lol dude, tell that to Mappy. yeah.. its pretty bad on this run. But people to the south shouldn't be spiking a football just yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Good lord, you'd think from the bloodletting that it was a rainstorm. People are still getting 10-20" of snow. As of now. How about this time tomorrow? How about on Thursday? It could continue to go south. It has happened before, many times. Yes, could also go north. But people keep taking model runs 5 days out as gospel and a lot of times, we get burned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 1 data point does not make a trend. i meant concern is in that it "might" lead to a trend, not that it's a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 As of now. How about this time tomorrow? How about on Thursday? It could continue to go south. It has happened before, many times. Yes, could also go north. But people keep taking model runs 5 days out as gospel and a lot of times, we get burned. it's kind of annoying, actually. major shifts can still occur 3 days out. once i started reading that the euro was later again, i'm thinking dam, just waited 12 hours for it to be 6-12 hours later in arrival lol. anyway, this is the wheelhouse time for models. if you're gonna invest in it, now is the time. i think a little too much time was invested up to this point especially being that it's still 3 days away. just my opinion on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I live within walking distance from the servers. If I go hand them a few Franklins to cover the next week, will I get reimbursed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neff Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 anyway, this is the wheelhouse time for models. Didn't the western component just make landfall within the past few hours? Was it enough time for the additional data to be analyzed? If not, how can it be wheelhouse time if the models are still using incomplete data sets? Judgement should probably be withheld until tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 At least we have the 12z para and 18z GFS To calm some nerves until the 0Z runs. That is if they still show something good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 We just failed. The 72 hour euro is the truth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 At least we have the 12z para and 18z GFS To calm some nerves until the 0Z runs. That is if they still show something good. When does the Euro ensemble come out? I know it's getting a bit close for ensemble, but based on what just happened, I think it's worth it to take a sneak peek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 We are going to have to listen to three days of bull******* hallucinogenic justification for why the euro is not right. But it's right and were done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 What do we call the euro when the gfs caves? "King" doesn't seem appropriate any more - maybe "emperor"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 We just failed. The 72 hour euro is the truth. PUHLEEZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 We just failed. The 72 hour euro is the truth. Ehhh.....UKMET is deadlier within the 3 day range...at least it was last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 What do we call the euro when the gfs caves? "King" doesn't seem appropriate any more - maybe "emperor"? Dictator Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 IMBY, the ECMWF went from 40"+ to less than 2" in one run, LOL. The Euro never makes big run-to-run changes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Tried to post the CWG article but for some reason I can't copy it from the post link to a new thread. Also, everyone get a grip, the upper system is still in the Pacific. Small variations are expected at these time ranges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The Euro never makes big run-to-run changes... Graceful changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 How. Is every. Body. Doing?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Didn't the western component just make landfall within the past few hours? Was it enough time for the additional data to be analyzed? If not, how can it be wheelhouse time if the models are still using incomplete data sets? Judgement should probably be withheld until tomorrow morning. if that's the case, then all the model runs to this point were a waste of time. my point is that 72 hours, the forecasting reliability goes up a lot, so today's run are really important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 How close to the Euro was the UKMET with the northern fringe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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