WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Come out to CA and work for me so I can be back for the beat down. I'll pay for your flight. LOL...feeling sick yet? Start playing it up today. It'll look better Thursday when you bolt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 It's hard to make a new insightful post in the disco thread when every single model and ens member is showing the exact same thing. Even the 6z gfs that misses the full capture shows a hecs instead of a becs. The bar is so high with this storm, hard to believe. People at work are saying they heard we are getting 4-8". I suspect the hype will start in full force on the afternoon news reports today assuming models hold steady. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 So I'm on Air BnB and found some real cheap places for rent in Frederick VA....Good spot you think? Friday would be crazy. I'd have to grab my paycheck in the AM, around 9am, run some quick errands and drive the 3 hours or so to the location hopefully before the snow moves in lol...Any other area recommendations? If you like outdoorsy activities I would say Davis, WV. Not only could you enjoy the storm but the mountains up there are absolutely beautiful. Plenty of opportunities for downhill/cross-country skiing and snowshoeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 LOL...feeling sick yet? Start playing it up today. It'll look better Thursday when you bolt. Dude...I've felt sick since the models started converging on this thing. This is some of the sh*ttiest luck I've ever had! Wife just gave me an order to come home Thursday, and that she's an equivalent of an SES 300, so the order must be followed. I might pas that along to my work boss... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 We need that capture. We're at the 15 yard line and we need to make this BECS field goal lol don't care how well the off runs score. I always trust the big boys more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 We need that capture. We're at the 15 yard line and we need to make this BECS field goal lolLol. Even with the 6Z scenario we get pummeled so I'm not to worried. Plus we have the Becs coming next Wednesday/Thursday anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I just looked. It would match February 2010 with them being 5 days apart . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Why though? It's a very real concern/possibility. Not so much "no snow for you", but significant mixing or snow-rain-snow is definitely still on the table at this lead time. in :-) I guess. Just was a little surprised to see mention of it at a discussion written after the model suite last night where it really wasn't hinted at, but, yes, I agree biggest chance of disappointment at this point lies in the storm driving a bit too far north and shifting rain for a time closer. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 From 2014- sig worthy. One of the few times I made a good post! lol http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45224-january-medlong-range-disco/page-12#entry3221639 Actually I would take an El Nino stronger than 97-98- that would be the strongest El Nino on record and uncharted territory so who knows what would happen. The stronger El Ninos are usually all or nothing anyway so I'd roll the dice and see what happens. Who knows- maybe that setup is a rare 1 in 1,000 years event that yields triple-digit snow totals at all three airports! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 It would match February 2010 with them being 5 days apart . LOL, going from true despair to mentioning this winter and 09/10 in same sentence......love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Would someone take an educated wag as to what time on Friday the s gets real East of I-95 in AA Co, please? LWX graph shows snow starting at 7a. Just trying to figure out if I'm going to be stranded at work and load up on microwave food for 24+ hour shift. Thx! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 i'll take these two GFS panels, please. 00z Saturday, 12z Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Would someone take an educated wag as to what time on Friday the s gets real East of I-95 in AA Co, please? LWX graph shows snow starting at 7a. Just trying to figure out if I'm going to be stranded at work and load up on microwave food for 24+ hour shift. Thx! Euro and gfs about 6 hours apart right now. I'd lean earlier. Roads prob start going downhill fast before noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Would someone take an educated wag as to what time on Friday the s gets real East of I-95 in AA Co, please? LWX graph shows snow starting at 7a. Just trying to figure out if I'm going to be stranded at work and load up on microwave food for 24+ hour shift. Thx! I'd start laying the ground work for a sudden cold now. Tell your boss you have the chills, sniffles and sweats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 DAMN YOU LWX FOR NOT TRYING TO HELP PEOPLE ENOUGH!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Euro and gfs about 6 hours apart right now. I'd lean earlier. Roads prob start going downhill fast before noon. good to know. me thinks ill be at home friday. was going to consider coming in for some of the day, but may not chance it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 I had a dream that temps on Friday were stuck in the upper 30s and the snow was all needles and plates. It was terrifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I had a dream that temps on Friday were stuck in the upper 30s and the snow was all needles and plates. It was terrifying. I had a dream that involved Peter North, Ron Jeremy and 36". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 Also a little worried that the sun angle is pretty high in late January. Not sure we'll accumulate much in the daytime. Root for the evening start, right? Throw in some warm ground temps from our nuclear warm December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Common sense would say that most offices would allow people th option of telecommuting on Friday. I see closings of schools once start time is nailed down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Also a little worried that the sun angle is pretty high in late January. Not sure we'll accumulate much in the daytime. Root for the evening start, right? Throw in some warm ground temps from our nuclear warm December. I'm worried about cars. more cars means warmer air. Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Boy, congrats to you guys on the long term snow output. Looks like Boston 2K15 shifted down a coast. Enjoy, gonna be a hell of a ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'm worried about cars. more cars means warmer air. Rain My biggest concern is that storms like 2009-2010 are a thing of the past. I really took what AvantHiatus was saying to heart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'm worried about cars. more cars means warmer air. Rain AGW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I had a dream that involved Peter North, Ron Jeremy and 36". And you on the receiving end. Pummelled...crushed...mauled. Congrats!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 It's fun to have a modeled snowstorm but the key to remember is that is just modeled at this point. Still a long 3 days before the storm arrives. I think today's runs are key. If we can make it through midday tomorrow with continued model support then I imagine watches go up in the afternoon. Until then my caution flag is still raised pretty high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 If I'm not there this weekend, then the storm never happened. And if I'm not there this weekend, then I better get home before my midweek storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 My biggest concern is that storms like 2009-2010 are a thing of the past. I really took what AvantHiatus was saying to heart. legit lold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 My biggest concern is that storms like 2009-2010 are a thing of the past. I really took what AvantHiatus was saying to heart. good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 And you on the receiving end. Pummelled...crushed...mauled. Congrats!! Oy vey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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