nw baltimore wx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Happy Birthday nw balt! Caps beating the Rangers last night was an early gift for you...this storm being a late gift. Haha! Thanks. The Caps are the real deal this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 DT is sweating right now, he's going to discredit the GFS.. the GFS only gives Richmond 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Stormtracker's LOW (List of Weenie Worries) Here, I will chronicle the list of worries as they change every 6 hours. 12z Monday: SUPPRESSION!! 18z Monday: AMPED! R/S worry. 0z Tuesday: still R/S concerns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Let me pull out my stereoscope and protractor and take a look That made me LMAO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'm kinda done with parsing ops. We're in wobble mode. They all could be right or wrong but the synoptic progression is tight. Until something groundbreaking happens it seems were in let the chips fall mode 3 days early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 These storms do this every single time yet people freak out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 We cannot withstand anymore north shifts, I will say that. EZF is down to 13 inches on this run. yeah. NYC forum prob cheering it on. can't blame them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Folks along I-95 will be bummed if they only get 30 inches and those jerks to the north and west get 40 inches. right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 NE MD GETS CRUSHED Absolutely crushed. No other place is getting crushed except for NE MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'm kinda done with parsing ops. We're in wobble mode. They all could be right or wrong but the synoptic progression is tight. Until something groundbreaking happens it seems were in let the chips fall mode 3 days early hard to go against science. if the models are showing hits, then gotta buy that over gut feelings when it comes to the weather. that said...i'm not entirely comfortable with being on the southern edge of the deform band where i'm assuming the better rates will be (though that's pretty normal anyway, i guess). i still need to see more runs. still a bit too much wobble for my liking. just my opinion on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Well, there's the post I was waiting for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Dt on the spot to sew panic Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I just wish ers would tell us more about the mild ocean and how models are volatile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 sort of has a dec 09 feel where, unlike 96 and 03, things really didn't get going until the coastal took over. wonder if the thump might be a little overrated with this and that the deform band is where we get the good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I just wish ers would tell us more about the mild ocean and how models are volatile. Better hope the gfs trend doesn't continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 To tie back to the earlier discussion but NE MD just got Peter North'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I just wish ers would tell us more about the mild ocean and how models are volatile. lol i think people latch onto a fear and focus (post) on that, for better or worse. seems like we have a nice airmass in place going into this, so i'm assuming it won't be like 40 degrees when it starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kat Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 yeah. NYC forum prob cheering it on. can't blame them. The snowfall gradient to the south is sharp. Mixing and the dry slot are so close this run. Running out of room if there is a northward jump in the models the next couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 hard to go against science. if the models are showing hits, then gotta buy that over gut feelings when it comes to the weather. that said...i'm not entirely comfortable with being on the southern edge of the deform band where i'm assuming the better rates will be (though that's pretty normal anyway, i guess). i still need to see more runs. still a bit too much wobble for my liking. just my opinion on that. I've said I expected some mixing the last couple days. I walked the line but survived in 09-10 but Feb 14 reminded me what is more normal. And I'm totally fine with that. A nw jack is the easy call. But a very sig storm through the cities is becoming an easier call every 6 hours that goes by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Gotta love DT trying to poo poo things because Richmond is getting left out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 To tie back to the earlier discussion but NE MD just got Peter North'd Plastered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Better hope the gfs trend doesn't continue It might Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 It might You know what I'm referring to, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 sort of has a dec 09 feel where, unlike 96 and 03, things really didn't get going until the coastal took over. wonder if the thump might be a little overrated with this and that the deform band is where we get the good stuff. Huh? According to the GFS, DC gets 16 inches form the front end thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Who cares if I-95 gets sleet on this run. It's still pumping out 25-30". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 You know what I'm referring to, right? ahhhhh! took me a minute. Yeah, not too subtle right now. Haterade! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I just wish ers would tell us more about the mild ocean and how models are volatile. Did you know that snow is white? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 dry slot Are you going to post the panels after that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 dry slot That dry slot looks similar to the one from 2/6/2010 where it got close to DC and then the pivot happened and hours of more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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