strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Had a trace yesterday. I drove over a good bit of the county on the way home during the time it was snow. Had no trouble sticking. Just a note on soil temperatures. Soil temperatures are very cold right now, much colder than we usually see in the South with winter storms. You can see soil temps in the 30-35 degree range in the NW third of NC with 35-40 degree soil temps for the majority of the remainder of places that are likely going to be in for wintry precip. I'd expect the snow to stick quickly, even to the roads.I don't think it's a big deal given the intensity of this storm, but it never hurts.Sounds like KCLT has basically been shut down for tomorrow.http://greencastonline.com/tools/gisFull.asp?maps=NationalToday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
airmarci Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Can someone post the snowfall 06z GEFS? 6Z GEFS 12Z GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 The Euro looks identical out to hr 24 at 500 mb. Maybe a smudge more digging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 EURO continues the trend of changing over areas of BAMA and GA. Especially GA (wedge help) ATL is very close to 0c at 2m by 18z tomorrow. 850's are punching in, this secondaries south of BHM to CSG to ABY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 Euro still snowing at 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 The EURO is pretty cold aloft over NC at 24 hours. Colder than any model I've seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Asheville back to closing in on 20" in this run of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Looks like the coldest Euro run yet in the mid-levels. 2" QPF or so for most of W NC (including GSO and CLT). Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Euro east at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 euro looks like 2-3" snow in the initial surge of precip for rdu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 No one can ever say again that storms don't trend south and colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Check please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
northdurham Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 euro looks like 2-3" snow in the initial surge of precip for rdu. If the 850 plays nice, this could be epic for RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Euro still snowing at 54 Im starting to get worried about the current temps. It's already in the mid 40's! wetbulbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 latest hrrr shows heavy snow near clt/sc upstate around 1am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 FYI, I just asked GSP NWS about the high today. They say the high temp today won't matter much since cold air will get reinforced from the north early Friday. They have increased both their forecasted ice totals and snow totals for upstate area. still looks to be on the light side to me given the models trends. basically a total of 2 - 4 inches of sleet/snow and a 1/3 to a 1/2 in of ice up I85 from Greenville to Spartanburg to Charlotte. Both the Euro and GFS are showing in the 6 to 9 inch range of sleet and snow with some ice on top of that. Total precip is constantly in the 1.5 to 2.0 range. Thougths? Still playing it somewhat conservative? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Man the euro is insane. Crazy comma head. Will prob head to HKY around 7 tonight. Excited to chase this one. Wll try to put out a map before I live after while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 No doubt. Hope for a slow crawl and wring out. Man the euro is insane. Crazy comma head. Will prob head to HKY around 7 tonight. Excited to chase this one. Wll try to put out a map before I live after while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 latest hrrr shows heavy snow near clt/sc upstate around 1am. It did very well with the storm last year last year capturing the preciptypes. It nailed the screw zone that happened from southeast of charlotte to raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 No one can ever say again that storms don't trend south and colder Yeah, hopefully this will help to dispel the "storms always trend NW" myth (fingers crossed that we don't trend NW now at zero hour). Im starting to get worried about the current temps. It's already in the mid 40's! [sNIPPED IMAGES] wetbulbs It was always supposed to be in the mid-40s today, bud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Im starting to get worried about the current temps. It's already in the mid 40's! GSP addressed this a little while ago in their social media briefing. They are not worried about it because of the reinforcing cold that will be coming in from the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pyro4Life Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GSP addressed this a little while ago in their social media briefing. They are not worried about it because of the reinforcing cold that will be coming in from the northeast. Watch your wind direction. Mine is variable at the moment in CLT. Just wait til it swings in from the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arandall Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 If the 850 plays nice, this could be epic for RDU 12z NAM has RDU ~4-5C at hour 36.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 still looks to be on the light side to me given the models trends. basically a total of 2 - 4 inches of sleet/snow and a 1/3 to a 1/2 in of ice up I85 from Greenville to Spartanburg to Charlotte. Both the Euro and GFS are showing in the 6 to 9 inch range of sleet and snow with some ice on top of that. Total precip is constantly in the 1.5 to 2.0 range. Thougths? Still playing it somewhat conservative? So you call 2-4 of snow and 1/2 Ice light?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Watch your wind direction. Mine is variable at the moment in CLT. Just wait til it swings in from the north. It did that here at RDU the past hour. Dew points are in the teens just to the north, coming this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 12z NAM has RDU ~4-5C at hour 36.. All models have the 850 jumping above zero at RDU; but there are different solutions on when that happens....NAM is one model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Watch your wind direction. Mine is variable at the moment in CLT. Just wait til it swings in from the north. It's not the wind direction, it's the lack of clouds. No advection at the moment means free game for the sun to make it toasty here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Fishel: Over 90% of precipitation with this storm will fall during a 12 hour period from early tomorrow morning to early tomorrow evening We will likely go from no precipitation to heavy snow in the triangle area in a matter of 15-30 min. We will get down to business quickly! Accumulations will be tough to call because of a deep layer of near freezing air aloft. A one degree C change anywhere in that layer is huge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Someone in the midlands of SC is gonna get their clock cleaned. It probably won't make it to Columbia but if I was in Winnsboro or Newberry... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 still looks to be on the light side to me given the models trends. basically a total of 2 - 4 inches of sleet/snow and a 1/3 to a 1/2 in of ice up I85 from Greenville to Spartanburg to Charlotte. Both the Euro and GFS are showing in the 6 to 9 inch range of sleet and snow with some ice on top of that. Total precip is constantly in the 1.5 to 2.0 range. Thougths? Still playing it somewhat conservative? Light side? Which models are you looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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