MichaelJ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 That high is getting a little stronger on each run but the OP is definitely a little North of the PARA, high is now a 1032 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 This would be widespread 8 - 12 across a lot of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 oh my, 12z moves towards the para solution. this def bears watching. not over for nc, not by a long shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Is that a 986 low off the Va coast? That looks good. good to see it more south as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Asheville and Boone are huge winners staying mostly snow throughout the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 A lot of NC gets the goodies on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Is that a 986 low off the Va coast? That looks good. good to see it more south as well.Monster!! I haven't been this excited for a storm since living in Ct. It's gonna be one hell of a wind gradient to go along with it too as she cranks up. I'm excited for qpf totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Biblical event. We even get some wraparound snow to top it off. Wow. So much QPF... it's insane. Close to 2" QPF for a lot of areas and all-frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 It would be hard for me to believe that all of WNC doesn't cash in on this setup. Everyone from maybe GSP north to RDU. That's a great setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Temps are also colder, going to be some mixing though W-S east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Biblical event. We even get some wraparound snow to top it off. Wow. So much QPF... it's insane. Close to 2" QPF for a lot of areas and all-frozen. I refuse to believe the QPF since last winter. Cut that baby in half and you still got an awesome storm. I know people will probably laugh at me but I wanna see the GFS get on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 THat upper low is pretty amazing. Love this setup for NC. The only issue will be mixing with this SLP track. But still would be an awesome storm ssytem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Only weenie moment of the winter. Promise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I refuse to believe the QPF since last winter. Cut that baby in half and you still got an awesome storm. I know people will probably laugh at me but I wanna see the GFS get on board. Haha, yeah, though the other modeling is onboard with this crazy QPF, so you never know. Anyways, I will take my 10" snow and other assorted frozens (1.9" QPF) and run. Roanoke gets 30". Charlottesville is about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 James, do your thing man. Give us some qpf output from the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Got better digging and a stronger high with this run of the Euro which we needed. If The GFS can get rid of that double barrel low look then it's on IMO. Definitely chasing this one back home 30 minutes north of me if CLT is on the outside looking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 THat upper low is pretty amazing. Love this setup for NC. The only issue will be mixing with this SLP track. But still would be an awesome storm ssytem. Yep, there will be mixing if this continues to wind up and goes negative early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Got better digging and a stronger high with this run of the Euro which we needed. If The GFS can get rid of that double barrel low look then it's on IMO. Definitely chasing this one back home 30 minutes north of me if CLT is on the outside looking in. If the Euro is right I think CLT would score...of course obviously further north the better. Models usually never get CAD right and are warmer than reality. Even if you mix some we would still net out at 4-8 I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 THat upper low is pretty amazing. Love this setup for NC. The only issue will be mixing with this SLP track. But still would be an awesome storm ssytem. With that track there would definitely be some mixing issues but it sure would be fun. For RDU we'd want it to be a tad further east but not complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Drops 12 inches where I live and 8 inches just east of me in Hickory I will take this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 James, do your thing man. Give us some qpf output from the Euro. All-frozen (though not necessarily all-snow): Reagan (DC) - 2.1" Dulles (DC) - 2.6" Roanoke - 2.7" Charlottesville - 3.1" Richmond - 2.6" Greensboro - 1.9" Mt. Airy - 1.9" Boone - 1.8" Mixed bag: Charlotte - 1.3" (that's more for the airport which is west of town... the city gets more like 1.8") Raleigh - 2.4" Verbatim, RDU and CLT changeover to rain at some point, but if the CAD is underdone (as it likely may be), then that wouldn't likely happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eastatlwx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yep, there will be mixing if this continues to wind up and goes negative early dang, chaser con or this.. Think it is gunna have to trend worse for me to chase it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 James, do your thing man. Give us some qpf output from the Euro. Roanoke gets 28" according to the Euro --- 2.7" QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 With that track there would definitely be some mixing issues but it sure would be fun. For RDU we'd want it to be a tad further east but not complaining. eager to see how the eps looks. if we have agreement, game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Crazy qpf outputs there. Thanks James Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Roanoke gets 28" according to the Euro --- 2.7" QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Our high is about 10 MB stronger on the euro than has been shown on previous runs! Keep that going! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Something of note.... the "new" euro showed very close to this at 00z last night...hmmmm all hail "NEW' EURO? lol Even though snow doesn't get much furher south on the 12z than it did on the 00z EURO notice how far the CORE of the snow storm moved south west... The bullseye is now central VA with 2 feet of snow touching NC border.... We need (Central-Western NC) the hp to build just a little stronger maybe 4-6 more mb to LOCK in the CAD and It wouldn't hurt to get the low a tiny tiny bit east. Now this is just to put us in the bullseye and I HARDCORE live by the "don't be in the bullseye more than 2 days out" BUT my interest with this storm just skyrocketed NC is VERY close to a MASSIVE snow for Wilson west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Anybody got any DP or temp maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 All-frozen (though not necessarily all-snow): Reagan (DC) - 2.1" Dulles (DC) - 2.6" Roanoke - 2.7" Charlottesville - 3.1" Richmond - 2.6" Greensboro - 1.9" Mt. Airy - 1.9" Boone - 1.8" Mixed bag: Charlotte - 1.3" (that's more for the airport which is west of town... the city gets more like 1.8") Raleigh - 2.4" Verbatim, RDU and CLT changeover to rain at some point, but if the CAD is underdone (as it likely may be), then that wouldn't likely happen. Do you have qpf outputs for HKY and Morganton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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