lilj4425 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Oh Charlotte.... and GSP. Wow. Holy cow. I'm right in the bullseye of that dark pink/red. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18z and 12z NAM comparisons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Good to see DT went south with his snow map, he usually does pretty decently in NC contrary to popular belief. Not a bad map for NC. I've always thought DT does good down here, especially with pattern recognition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 the maps on stormvista do not show the 2M temps getting into SC. Brings the freezing line all the way down to the state line by h39 and then just parks it there..I'm out to h48 and still a no go. How does the NAM generally handle CAD?Huh? Look at the map. Snow is at GSP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18z NAM comparisons Does the NAM snow map show all winter precip as snow, like the bad Euro snow maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 WSW for Greenville county! Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Good to see DT went south with his snow map, he usually does pretty decently in NC contrary to popular belief. Not a bad map for NC. Not a bad map at all. The only thing I see that I would change, is that I think the 4-8, 8-12, 12-18 line, will cutoff closer to the SC border as you come up the mountains, rather than at the Henderson/Buncombe county line. I very rarely have ever, if at all, seen it to where the difference between Hendersonville and Asheville, is that steep in terms of snowfall....... especially with storms of this magnitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 "* Accumulations... snow accumulations through this evening willrange from a dusting to just under one inch. Then... forThursday night through Saturday... total snow accumulation of 4to 8 inches... and potentially near 12 inches around Winston-Salem... along with ice accumulations of one quarter to one halfinch... are possible." A foot near Winston? wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Does the NAM snow map show all winter precip as snow, like the bad Euro snow maps?Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 "* Accumulations... snow accumulations through this evening will range from a dusting to just under one inch. Then... for Thursday night through Saturday... total snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches... and potentially near 12 inches around Winston- Salem... along with ice accumulations of one quarter to one half inch... are possible." A foot near Winston? wow Yep, they've pulled the trigger. Forecasting 2-4" Thursday night, then additional 'heavy' accumulation Friday, then additional 'moderate' accumulation Fri night. Then tapering off Saturday with additional 'light' accumulation. It's going to be a slow mover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Good to see DT went south with his snow map, he usually does pretty decently in NC contrary to popular belief. Not a bad map for NC. Not a good map for GA- only rain for the whole state???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 In Asheville, the record for any storm is 16" in the '93 superstorm. The NAM has about 20", the EPS 16". Glad I pulled the trigger on the chase..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Not a good map for GA- only rain for the whole state????That's why I said for NC. Haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Not a good map for GA- only rain for the whole state???? thats a shi**y map for GA...he doesn't care about our area...hell why should he...Mine will look different for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 In Asheville, the record for any storm is 16" in the '93 superstorm. The NAM has about 20", the EPS 16". Glad I pulled the trigger on the chase..... Lots of good beer, should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 In Asheville, the record for any storm is 16" in the '93 superstorm. The NAM has about 20", the EPS 16". Glad I pulled the trigger on the chase..... Great call...I want video and pics posted on my FB please..hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Future radar has freezing rain/ sleet getting started here by 11pm Thursday night! Then it shows it going to all rain for all day Friday ! Is she using the GFS ?? She just said mountains get a whopping 4-6" total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 thats a shi**y map for GA...he doesn't care about our area...hell why should he...Mine will look different for sure.it's wrong for Tennessee too. No way Knoxville and surrounding areas get that much snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Lots of good beer, should be fun. If the places remain open....That is why I am getting there tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 The position of the ULL is still something that has yet to be nailed down. Given how deep this trough is digging (into the GOM!), there is still plenty of room for the ULL center to drop even further south. While the base of the trough remained in the same place throughout the past 4 runs of the NAM, the location of the ULL center moved south from C TN to near ATL. Some of the ensembles show this happening. That would force the transfer further south and allow the ULL to capture the low further south.. which would put DC at risk of getting on the northern edge of the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Good to see DT went south with his snow map, he usually does pretty decently in NC contrary to popular belief. Not a bad map for NC. Multiple times in just the past four years he will call for feet and we get blanked in WNC even 12 hours before the event. Frosty can attest to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 IMO the EURO has been consistent enough in its forecast for north Georgia to warrant a winter storm watch from Atlanta northward for overnight Friday into Saturday morning. The reason I don't see the watch being posted until at least tomorrow morning is because this storm is landing on a weekend rather than a school night. Therefore they have a little more of waiting period to sling out the watches/warnings. Now if this was coming on a school night/work morning then watches would be going up right now for north Georgia from Atlanta northward. Again...just my opinion.... are you serious ? I haven't seen many models showing significant snow for the I-20 corridor. This is not going to be a big deal for the ATL metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 In Asheville, the record for any storm is 16" in the '93 superstorm. The NAM has about 20", the EPS 16". Glad I pulled the trigger on the chase..... 18.2 in '93. Here are the top 25 storms for Asheville - http://www.weather.gov/media/gsp/Climate/AVL/newAVLheaviestsnows.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 In Asheville, the record for any storm is 16" in the '93 superstorm. The NAM has about 20", the EPS 16". Glad I pulled the trigger on the chase..... Just 16"? UNCA campus recorded 24" just 10 miles north of there. Maybe that was a WAG measurement at UNCA. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Any chance of convection issues along the coast occurring with this system? I know that has been a problem with previous systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 you said you are going to Asheville ? I haven't decided where I'm going. Somewhere in NC or TN. Im debating on whether I should go somewhere that will see epic snow amounts or go somewhere that gets a good bit of snow but not so much that it'll make it hard to get back home. I have to work on Sunday afternoon ! Go to Archers Mtn Inn on Beech Mtn. Elevation over 4,600 ft up. It's on the south facing side of Beech. They have a restaurant and bar on site. Plus its on the main road to get to Ski Beech so it gets plowed all the time. Done... http://www.archersinn.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Any chance of convection issues along the coast occurring with this system? I know that has been a problem with previous systems. Actually if the ULL cranks like I think it does, moisture gets pulled back inland which may enhance rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Actually if the ULL cranks like I think it does, moisture gets pulled back inland which may enhance rates. That would be nice if that were to happen. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 looking at the Bufkit Warehouse/Cobb Data Table for the 18Z NAM (CLT looks like a mixed bag) KCLT total qpf - 1.96 total ZR - 0.71 total PL - 0.28 total SN - 6.6 KGSP total qpf - 2.23 total ZR - 0.12 total PL - 0.38 total SN - 2.1 KGMU (downtown Greenville) total qpf - 2.47 total ZR - 0.48 total PL - 0.33 total SN - 2.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I personally think it snows in all of NC at some points and this becomes a dangerous storm for many in NC and SC. I could see snow reaching all the way down to Charleston, SC at some point. I'm curious - why exactly do you think this? What are you seeing that gives you this conclusion? It sounds amazing, and I would love to see it happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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