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Jan 22-23 East Coast Storm Discussion


Wow

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I'm sure you stated a few of those ;)

Here is the -12 WV loop

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Indeed. Nice vapor. As you can see, its approaching the Oregon coast as we speak, will be 80% on land by 10z..should be enough for decent sampling for 12z models I presume. Might see a change in the 6z GFS first. 12z runs will be fun tomorrow, they should get rid of a good amount of spread...one can hope.

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That's what I'm thinking the upstate probably gonna be looking at!

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Has anyone else noticed how unimpressive the SREF plumes look?

Of their 26 members, only 2 show >2" snow for Raleigh and Charlotte, and only 4 show >2" snow for Greensboro.

 

Here's RDU:

 

It's not concerning to me, the SREF currently has maximum spread with regards to the low position off/on the NC coast. We aren't going to see big snowfall plumes given the spread. SREF should be utilized within 24-48 hours of storm onset. It can have major jumps in this time period, even in the 24-48 time period.

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NAM looks good so far...Wedging is showing into my area....Should start Miller B'ng soon...Nice high over NE and confluence looks euroish

The ULL is def in a more conducive spot to get wintry weather farther into the south. It is a pretty good ways southwest of its 18z position.

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