HKY_WX Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 This run probably drops 20-30 inches on the nc/va border counties in central areas. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'm assuming the huge amounts of snow in Central and West TN is mostly for Wednesday ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Verbatim it's a lot of rain...then a switch to a mixed bag of IP/ZR...then a switch over to heavy snow. As Brandon said though given the energy aloft and the CAD should switch over a lot sooner. If the Euro is correct with it's depiction and QPF well CLT and points around it should get in on that 8 - 12 range you would think. This storm has the potential for a lot of busts in general. I don't like the whole "the dynamics will take care of things" argument but that is a wicked amount of vorticty at 5H. Reminds me slightly of the Halloween storm that produced snow in Columbia in 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Frosty, we are not supposed to post the Euro WB maps anymore, just to let you know. They are enforcing the rule this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Frosty, we are not supposed to post the Euro WB maps anymore, just to let you know. They are enforcing the rule this year. up to 5 years in prison is what I heard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Frosty, we are not supposed to post the Euro WB maps anymore, just to let you know. They are enforcing the rule this year. oh, ok sorry! Didn't know I deleted mine, snowstorm would you be so kind to delete yours? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Here, DT posted the EuroWx map: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_01_2016/post-9415-0-71713900-1453185448.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Here, DT posted the EuroWx map: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_01_2016/post-9415-0-71713900-1453185448.jpg is that 52" in NE WV ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 is that 52" in NE WV ? Yeah, lol. 15-16" IMBY, which happens to be in that nice dip going down to around RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Here, DT posted the EuroWx map: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_01_2016/post-9415-0-71713900-1453185448.jpg That can't be right.... > 4 feet in the panhandle of WV... Holy Moses! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'm not good with NC geography but it looks to me like a very sharp cutoff in snow amounts near Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdawg11 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 How does Lincolnton, NC look on the Euro? About 30 miles west of CLT. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'm not good with NC geography but it looks to me like a very sharp cutoff in snow amounts near Raleigh. It was even sharper on the 12z, IIRC. Not sure why it's there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dee85 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 This is crazy to me! It's showing close to a foot of snow in the GSO area? Is this an addition of the mixed bag of precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdawg11 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 87 inches About as tall as you? Lol. Thanks for the laugh though Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 How does Lincolnton, NC look on the Euro? About 30 miles west of CLT. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk 2-4 inches of snow with sleet and freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdawg11 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 2-4 inches of snow with sleet and freezing rain Doesn't sound bad! Thanks man Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'm not good with NC geography but it looks to me like a very sharp cutoff in snow amounts near Raleigh. Correct. It gives me about an inch of snow here in central NC. The LP tracks just to my SE. It was not a good run for me at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Ok with there being 2 different storms this week, I'm a little confused about how much of that snow comes from the Wed system vs the Fri system. I'm assuming the snow in GA, TN, KY is mostly Wednesday but I know nobody in here really talks about those states so I will just assume I'm correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 That would be scary Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 That would be scary Saturday morning. Please tell me those are gusts, and not sustained. This would be very scary, indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 EURO still dropping around 11-12 inches here where I live just west of Hickory and about 5 minutes from Morganton NC seen WPC just bumped me and the foothills out of the 30% prob to 50% prob now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Please tell me those are gusts, and not sustained. This would be very scary, indeed. Those are at 850mb (~ 5,000 ft)...much stronger winds there than at the surface. Of course, if you are on top of Grandfather Mtn... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'd just like to note that the 00z NAVGEM came quite a bit south at 00z and supports a major winter storm for at least NC/VA. I know the NAVGEM sucks, but it never hurts to have another player on your side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Those are at 850mb (~ 5,000 ft)...much stronger winds there than at the surface. Of course, if you are on top of Grandfather Mtn... Oh, ok, I see that now. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Wow 40+ where JB, weathernc and I are headed Thur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Wow 40+ where JB, weathernc and I are headed Thur. Hey, where are you guys heading? I'm looking to storm chase and would love to find a host! Would pay $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 1996 is now the second best analog at 72 hours and first at 120. 96 hour frame apparently didn't work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Also, if I was a betting man, I would almost guess that most areas will do better on the EPS graphs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Ok with there being 2 different storms this week, I'm a little confused about how much of that snow comes from the Wed system vs the Fri system. I'm assuming the snow in GA, TN, KY is mostly Wednesday but I know nobody in here really talks about those states so I will just assume I'm correct. I'm not sure how much of the snow is from Wednesday in Tennessee. But it appears the Euro downslopes the Eastern Tennessee valley on that run but a deformation band sits over that 8-10 inch area of the Cumberland Plateau/Eastern highland rim and it dumps about 1/2-3/4ths of an inch of qpf as snow. By looking at it, some people are going to see amazing snowfall rates if it comes to pass. We're talking 2+ inch per hour rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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