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Jan 22-23 East Coast Storm Discussion


Wow

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The confluent setup at 500mb on the euro is probably the strongest I have seen. I seriously doubt this will be a rain scenario in the cad regions. This is a perfect setup to funnel a deep cold layer down the apps. I wouldn't be surprised to see the sfc trend colder.

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The confluent setup at 500mb on the euro is probably the strongest I have seen. I seriously doubt this will be a rain scenario in the cad regions. This is a perfect setup to funnel a deep cold layer down the apps. I wouldn't be surprised to see the sfc trend colder.

 

Yea pretty wild look at 5h. 

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The confluent setup at 500mb on the euro is probably the strongest I have seen. I seriously doubt this will be a rain scenario in the cad regions. This is a perfect setup to funnel a deep cold layer down the apps. I wouldn't be surprised to see the sfc trend colder.

CMC has a very good cad look. NC cad areas should get hammered, I wouldn't be surprised to see cad regions of NEGA being close if that high stays strong.

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It'll depend on that CAD setup. For now far N GA gets some snow...I would suspect anyone south of GSP even with a strong CAD would be ZR....but that is a lot of energy at 5h so wouldn't rule out something possible for GA the further east you go. 

 

So I'm guessing, as of now, south of I-40 to I-85 is mostly ZR?

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2.9" QPF, all-frozen. I've never seen anything like that on a model run here. That's more QPF than DC (granted, ours is a mixed bag).

 

 

Yeh we have.  That's what the models were spitting out for the jan 2014 storm in about this time frame.  It looked like all of us in the Triad were in for a legit "snowcane".

 

 

That's still absolutely gross though.  I'll be beside myself if half that verifies.

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So I'm guessing, as of now, south of I-40 to I-85 is mostly ZR?

 

Verbatim it's a lot of rain...then a switch to a mixed bag of IP/ZR...then a switch over to heavy snow. As Brandon said though given the energy aloft and the CAD should switch over a lot sooner. If the Euro is correct with it's depiction and QPF well CLT and points around it should get in on that 8 - 12 range you would think. 

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