superjames1992 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 999 mb LP over ILM at hr 96. No more driving the LP through the wedge like the 18z did. EDIT: And 996 mb over the Pamlico Sound at hr 99. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 It looks warmer though on surface depiction but the low is in a better spot?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 It looks warmer though on surface depiction but the low is in a better spot?? yea temps colder initially but not a good run for snow lovers in central nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Looks like #FAIL this run...looks worse that before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 1996 all over again. *crosses fingers* '96 was a good bit colder to start, and with a better high pressure setup to the north. This one has some work to do to get better damming in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Yeah, 0z Saturday IMBY doesn't look snowy. Soundings aren't even close even up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 "Not gonna cut it..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Well crap! How much wintery mess did we end up with? Looks like it was all rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 50 in raleigh with the 850 line in mid va. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'm telling you.. Those north winds with that kind of track should set at least some of us up for at least some wintry weather. Granted the 32 line is right over me throughout but still for northern NC etc... It should show a colder solution than what is depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Well crap! How much wintery mess did we end up with? Looks like it was all rain? Some ice to start, but mostly rain. Past GFS runs have been all-rain, so I guess that's a start. It easily could be underestimating the wedge, though, which would change a lot of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spidyr2k Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Only 12 more runs of GFS left before showtime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 What happened with the GFS this time? It sounded like it was going to be better to start with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Some ice to start, but mostly rain. Past GFS runs have been all-rain, so I guess that's a start. It easily could be underestimating the wedge, though, which would change a lot of things. GFS is not known for its cad abilities. Yes I know it's the 84 hr nam but you can already see it picking up the low level resolution of cold air at the surface and that it takes a lot to dislodge it, especially with a track like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Looks like #FAIL this run...looks worse that before.and the upper low goes to ky so no backside snow either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Bad run also for NW NC around West Jefferson ? Yes few inches of snow for the mountains they wouldn't be impressed with it at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 What happened with the GFS this time? It sounded like it was going to be better to start with. It was for sure. It was digging more and the transfer seemed very nice to somewhere around CHS but for some reason it eroded the low level cold like the system was shooting west of all of us or something. Kind of mind boggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 gfs continues its consistency, very telling. euro needs to double down or this one may be on its last leg for nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Well, each run of the GFS got worse tonight for everyone on this forum. Fully expect the EURO to fold here in a few hours. Someone said it before...the Mid-Atlantic has to get theirs first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Well darn I may be better off just chasing the midweek system. That one is looking more exciting than the fri system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 What happened with the GFS this time? It sounded like it was going to be better to start with. The 500mb low went way north. That was the biggest change I saw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I want even say who said something close to this should be the final outcome. That 12z Euro was in error etc................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Well, each run of the GFS got worse tonight for everyone on this forum. Fully expect the EURO to fold here in a few hours. Someone said it before...the Mid-Atlantic has to get theirs first. but wait, isn't the south getting theirs midweek ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 LOL....who cares if the GFS locks on...EURO can lock on as well. I think the GFS looks like crack (on steroids) I doubt this "Miller B's" over Asheville.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 but wait, isn't the south getting theirs midweek ? A 2" snow storm in the high peaks with a renegade snow shower east of the mountains doesn't count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 gfs continues its consistency, very telling. euro needs to double down or this one may be on its last leg for nc. Yep, if euro starts to cave it might be time for some of us to look beyond the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 gfs continues its consistency, very telling. euro needs to double down or this one may be on its last leg for nc. Consistent how? With looking bizzarre? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I guess I really can't complain. GFS has 11-12" over me. The most impressive part is it has a literal bullseye over Harrisburg PA of 35" that's unreal. I just still don't believe the primary will punch that far with the cad but hey crazier things have happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Uncle goofus may have lucked up a few days ago with the setup but I think he's showing his true colors right now. 00z euro, I think, will stick to his guns and even if he doesn't I think we have until 12z tomorrow before throwing in the towel for central and western NC. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I'm not sure why anyone at least in the northern half of North Carolina is discounting this. The GFS has a known bias to erode cad way too quickly this has been on display in previous storms. To top that there were several models that had good tracks for wintry weather at 12z for you guys. Everyone needs to calm down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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