strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GSP upped totals around this area SKIP. 3-5" this afternoon and 3-5" tonight. I think Shelby was 2-4" afternoon and 3-5" tonight. I was shocked but short range models are really trying to key on where it comes through. 20z RAP shows it still snowing in CLT/Shelby corridor at 2 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Wow. Well, I'd take the "under" on those but we shall see! Hope you hit a grand slam! GSP upped totals around this area SKIP. 3-5" this afternoon and 3-5" tonight. I think Shelby was 2-4" afternoon and 3-5" tonight. I was shocked but short range models are really trying to key on where it comes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm feeling some snow an hour or two from now... Getting excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 When is the low coming off the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OroAeolus Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm feeling some snow an hour or two from now... Getting excited Just left Alpharetta, GA and there was a rain/sleet mix. Passed through Sandy Springs and Dunwoody and it's snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like in the next hour or so. Should go sub 1000 rather quickly, it will be interesting to see how much it deepens and how quickly. In addition to its path. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Does anyone know what time is the sleet supposed to turn to snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like the coastal is taking over near SAV. Not bad. Further south than I was expecting. Let's see what we can do now. Radar should start to blossom soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GSP just tweeted that precip should start to develop soon over the upstate and western piedmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like the coastal is taking over near SAV. Not bad. Further south than I was expecting. Let's see what we can do now. Radar should start to blossom soon. Yeah, most models had it reforming 50 miles below myrtle beach I believe. This is not your typical Miller B I guess with the low forming in central Georgia. I wonder how fast it wraps up and the snow line crashes in towards the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like the coastal is taking over near SAV. Not bad. Further south than I was expecting. Let's see what we can do now. Radar should start to blossom soon. James, think we can get rid of this pesky sleet after 7:00 or so? If so, that'd potentially give us another 12-18 hours of snow, regardless of rates and such. That'd certainly make me feel a little better about my measley 6.5" of my forecasted 12-20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Setzy1517 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like the coastal is taking over near SAV. Not bad. Further south than I was expecting. Let's see what we can do now. Radar should start to blossom soon. How do you think we will fair in GSO with the coastal further South? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Brad P calling for 1-4 inches of additional snow/sleet for the CLT metro and .25-.30 of ice. Seems aggressive, but I guess not if we get into the heavy banding. Also showing possible thundersnow/sleet If anywhere near accurate / useful, this doesn't bode well for central NC: http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/A_w_sfc_color.png Can you elaborate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 James, think we can get rid of this pesky sleet after 7:00 or so? If so, that'd potentially give us another 12-18 hours of snow, regardless of rates and such. That'd certainly make me feel a little better about my measley 6.5" of my forecasted 12-20". You think that coastal low gonna throw moisture all the way back here? It could but not usually? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The latest HRRR drops another 1" qpf on the CLT metro area https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CZWVeFjUEAAJZVh.png ...and 3" over us. Can't imagine this is anything but wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like the coastal is taking over near SAV. Not bad. Further south than I was expecting. Let's see what we can do now. Radar should start to blossom soon. Looks south of Myrtle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like the coastal is taking over near SAV. Not bad. Further south than I was expecting. Let's see what we can do now. Radar should start to blossom soon. I would think it would get cranking quickly w/ the above average waters temps in the Atlantic but I'm not sure if that'll influence temps inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMA1973 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 WRAL headline states sleet has transitioned to rain. Maybe that wraps things up for us here in the triangle and we can keep our power. Radar looks dead this way as well and temps likely to climb overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 WRAL headline states sleet has transitioned to rain. Maybe that wraps things up for us here in the triangle and we can keep our power. Radar looks dead this way as well and temps likely to climb overnight. abc 11 said temps are at 32 and should hit 33 in the rdu area and any addnl ice accretion should be minimized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 WRAL headline states sleet has transitioned to rain. Maybe that wraps things up for us here in the triangle and we can keep our power. Radar looks dead this way as well and temps likely to climb overnight. It said the transition would be in southern Wake. I think that we are stuck with sleet and freezing rain in N. Wake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yeah, it's probably not going to go above freezing for the NW Triangle and northern parts of Wake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It said the transition would be in southern Wake. I think that we are stuck with sleet and freezing rain in N. Wake. Latest RAP would also agree with this. Freezing for at least northern and western Wake throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 WRAL headline states sleet has transitioned to rain. Maybe that wraps things up for us here in the triangle and we can keep our power. Radar looks dead this way as well and temps likely to climb overnight. Alright. I'll take the bait. The headline states that sleet is transitioning to rain, not that it already has done so. The headline most likely is a result of this update on their site: "UPDATE 4:15 p.m.: WRAL meteorologist Nate Johnson said precipitation in the Triangle is changing from sleet to rain, causing wet roads across the area." WRAL's current forecast on their site for overnight says "Rain changing back over to snow for much of the area, with rain hanging on south and east of the Triangle. Lows will be in the upper 20s to around 30 degrees." Long story short, if you think this thing is over and that we're just going to have a sloppy cold rain around here, that's fine. Everybody's got an opinion and you could even be right. But the source your using seems to state differently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Down to 999... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Raleigh Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yeah, just heard Wral say that the patchy is already trying to fill back in and we can expect this until about 10pm. He said north Raleigh will likely stay below freezing. Only rain trans in southern wake. That would even be short. Back to freezing. Then, he said he thinks we will get the back in snow showers/flurries tomorrow. I'm in NW Raleigh. Still 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Alright. I'll take the bait. The headline states that sleet is transitioning to rain, not that it already has done so. The headline most likely is a result of this update on their site: "UPDATE 4:15 p.m.: WRAL meteorologist Nate Johnson said precipitation in the Triangle is changing from sleet to rain, causing wet roads across the area." WRAL's current forecast on their site for overnight says "Rain changing back over to snow for much of the area, with rain hanging on south and east of the Triangle. Lows will be in the upper 20s to around 30 degrees." Long story short, if you think this thing is over and that we're just going to have a sloppy cold rain around here, that's fine. Everybody's got an opinion and you could even be right. But the source your using seems to state differently. it is 32 and rising at the airport, they said that should limit any addnl ice, but points north and west should stay below freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yeah, just heard Wral say that the patchy is already trying to fill back in and we can expect this until about 10pm. He said north Raleigh will likely stay below freezing. Only rain trans in southern wake. That would even be short. Back to freezing. Then, he said he thinks we will get the back in snow showers/flurries tomorrow. I'm in NW Raleigh. Still 30. The radar is starting to blossom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Once the low transfers completely in the next 3 hours radar should build in and by 9pm models (HRRR/RAP) have RDU getting 0.56" ZR from 9-10pm...hopefully it's just all rain, because that's absurd. 850mb moisture transport is insane, radar should blow up next two hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 925 analysis shows roughly below freezing surface temps. It should erode some to the north and west for the next 4-6 hours before retreating again as the slp strengthens and pulls east, but nothing like the waa the NAM showed yesterday where GSO and even further west went above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hammer Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Is it me or is the low moving right up I 85? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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