Jet Stream Rider Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The HRRR keeps trending colder. Keeps RDU decently below freezing throughout. Moves ZR further south and east. Thanks! Thats great to hear. Ooh! Thats a sweet image. 1008 south of the GA line! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Just a good ole fashion foothills bust. They must be high. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk If y'all get under that band from ull that is currently in Tn. then you won't have a problem reaching 12". Ask Big Frosty about being under the ull bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 If y'all get under that band from ull that is currently in Tn. then you won't have a problem reaching 12". Ask Big Frosty about being under the ull bands. That's the only hope I have. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like the LP could be reforming off of SAV? I don't remember any of the models being that far south with it last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like the LP could be reforming off of SAV? I don't remember any of the models being that far south with it last night. Seems like that would mean less precip for GSO/MTV/MWK (you, Frosty and myself lol) and more towards CLT-RDU corridor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Seems like that would mean less precip for GSO/MTV/MWK (you, Frosty and myself lol) and more towards CLT-RDU corridor? Further south should be good for all of us, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 16z RAP stays ZR from 4pm-3am, crippling ice storm if true for RDU. 0.81" ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 According to the HRRR, YES, it will fill in nicely with a HUGE moisture plume riding in from the Atlantic.... Check here...http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/HRRRSE_CUR/rloop.html The HRRR has continually shown bands of precip pivoting over the NW corner of the state for the past several runs. Yet, it has failed to materialize at this point. The bands keep regenerating in GA and SC and slamming into the SW corner of the state, but they don't seem to want to budge to the east at all. I'm not very hopeful at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 According to the HRRR, YES, it will fill in nicely with a HUGE moisture plume riding in from the Atlantic.... Check here...http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/HRRRSE_CUR/rloop.html Thank you very much Sir! This snowman was getting depressed!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The HRRR keeps trending colder. Keeps RDU decently below freezing throughout. Moves ZR further south and east. That's great news. Hope to see more snow here. Just got back in from sledding with the kids. It's not doing anything at all right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Sounds like we have no idea what kind of precip is going to fall here. We have one person saying one thing shows most of the freezing rain staying south and east of RDU, and another person saying goes something else shows a lot of freezing rain for RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 My point forecast now reads through tonight 8-16" additional accumulation. I suppose they are betting on that pivot and ULL bands coming right back over this area. Sitting at 12" now so I will have lots of shoveling to do at 20-28" storm total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 If y'all get under that band from ull that is currently in Tn. then you won't have a problem reaching 12". Ask Big Frosty about being under the ull bands. Yes best 4 hours of snow I've ever seen... Had 11 inches in 4 hours but had 8 up until that so ended up with 19 inces.... Thought I had a shot at something close to that again, but it's not looking like it. got 4-5 inches so far. been in a lull for 2-3 hours. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0050 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1047 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND NRN NC...FAR SRN VA CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION VALID 221647Z - 222245Z SUMMARY...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS CNTRL AND NRN NC INTO SRN VA THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION RATES SHOULD REACH OR EXCEED 0.05 INCHES PER HOUR IN SOME AREAS. DISCUSSION...LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER WRN KY WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATING AROUND THE ERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM EXTENDING FROM THE LOW CENTER SEWD ACROSS SC. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS OCCURRING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS INTO VA WHERE STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS PRESENT. AT THE SFC...TEMPS ARE IN THE 25 TO 30 F RANGE ACROSS MOST OF THE MCD AREA WITH FREEZING RAIN BEING REPORTED AT MANY LOCATIONS WITH SNOW IN THE APPALACHIAN FOOTHILLS. SFC TEMPS SHOULD ONLY WARM A FEW DEGREES F THIS AFTERNOON FROM CNTRL NC NWD INTO SRN VA ALLOWING MOST AREAS TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. AS WARM ADVECTION CONTINUES TO OCCUR IN THE LOW-LEVELS...FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE IN THE PIEDMONT OF NC AND SRN VA. SNOW IS OCCURRING ACROSS THE APPALACHIAN MTNS BUT SOME AREAS COULD CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS MID-LEVEL TEMPS WARM. PRECIPITATION RATES COULD EXCEED 0.05 INCHES PER HOUR WITHIN THE HEAVIER BANDS OF PRECIPITATION. ..BROYLES.. 01/22/2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 12Z Euro keeps the center of the LP just off the coast of NC. Good SE trend from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Sounds like we have no idea what kind of precip is going to fall here. We have one person saying one thing shows most of the freezing rain staying south and east of RDU, and another person saying goes something else shows a lot of freezing rain for RDU. *facepalm* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 You talking about February 12th and 13 th 2014 snow? Yes best 4 hours of snow I've ever seen... Had 11 inches in 4 hours but had 8 up until that so ended up with 19 inces.... Thought I had a shot at something close to that again, but it's not looking like it. got 4-5 inches so far. been in a lull for 2-3 hours. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 *facepalm* what is he even talking about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yes best 4 hours of snow I've ever seen... Had 11 inches in 4 hours but had 8 up until that so ended up with 19 inces.... Thought I had a shot at something close to that again, but it's not looking like it. got 4-5 inches so far. been in a lull for 2-3 hours. lol I think you'll be alright. Still a long ways to go w/ this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 You talking about February 12th and 13 th 2014 snow? I think it was, can't remember the date, but was 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 If y'all get under that band from ull that is currently in Tn. then you won't have a problem reaching 12". Ask Big Frosty about being under the ull bands. looks like on the future radar the ull will pinwheel thru wnc mtns and put down heavy snow beginning around 6pm til sometime Sat. am unreal, wow. already at 9 inches in west asheville/candler area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Are there two deform bands back in AL/GA right now? Is that even possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 looks like on the future radar the ull will pinwheel thru wnc mtns and put down heavy snow beginning around 6pm til sometime Sat. am unreal, wow. already at 9 inches in west asheville/candler area I think that's when us upstate folks will see most of our snow as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Just a note for you Triad peeps. The 12z Euro mauls us with the deformation band this evening from 00zish through maybe 08z. We'll see if it happens, but it's a lot of snow if it does. Don't sleep on the possibility. Remember what happened to Big Frosty and company in February 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 My point forecast now reads through tonight 8-16" additional accumulation. I suppose they are betting on that pivot and ULL bands coming right back over this area. Sitting at 12" now so I will have lots of shoveling to do at 20-28" storm total. I was just looking at that as you speak, looks the ull pinwheels right over wnc with Heavy Snowfall rates, at 9 now could end up with 15-20 if that heavy band goes thru tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Just a note for you Triad peeps. The 12z Euro mauls us with the deformation band this evening from 00zish through maybe 08z. We'll see if it happens, but it's a lot of smow if it does. Doent sleep on the possibility. Remember what happened to Big Frosty and company in February 2014. how far west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Just a note for you Triad peeps. The 12z Euro mauls us with the deformation band this evening from 00zish through maybe 08z. We'll see if it happens, but it's a lot of smow if it does. Doent sleep on the possibility. Remember what happened to Big Frosty and company in February 2014. Yes was looking at future radar brings the ull right over wnc mtns. and points east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Just a note for you Triad peeps. The 12z Euro mauls us with the deformation band this evening from 00zish through maybe 08z. We'll see if it happens, but it's a lot of smow if it does. Doent sleep on the possibility. Remember what happened to Big Frosty and company in February 2014.Euro sucked and GFS for this storm! What's the NAM showing! It nailed today's event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Just a note for you Triad peeps. The 12z Euro mauls us with the deformation band this evening from 00zish through maybe 08z. We'll see if it happens, but it's a lot of smow if it does. Doent sleep on the possibility. Remember what happened to Big Frosty and company in February 2014. The Feb 2014 deform band was the greatest thing I'd ever seen. Went from 4" to 11" in no time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Euro sucked and GFS for this storm! What's the NAM showing! It nailed today's event! No, it failed pretty miserably on temps up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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