audioguy3107 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I don't know how the wedge skipped me and went to the NE Ga areas are at 30 or so, and I'm 33! It literally looks like it hit 85 and went due west! I'm right near Gainesville, Ga and were at 33/32. Winds are ridiculous from the NE.....hopefully that'll drop us another degree or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This would explain why the primary low is weaker. Not a bad thing. Yes. That primary is weak and also slowly waxing and waning. There was a time last night where it strengthened slightly, since then we've been in a dissipate phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I just have went under 32° in upstate with a pretty nasty sleet/ZR storm here. When that coastal developes and really starts to build moisture in as snow as it pulls up the coast that's when the upstate will get mostly snow. But I'm looking for most here to see 3-4" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 I still do not see these totals that gsp is forecasting. Link? http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/036.html#WIN but it's focus is more north of here based on the location descriptive. Either way, they expect way more to come this afternoon and tonight, which I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I don't know how the wedge skipped me and went to the NE Ga areas are at 30 or so, and I'm 33! It literally looks like it hit 85 and went due west! Bc you started the OB thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I don't know how the wedge skipped me and went to the NE Ga areas are at 30 or so, and I'm 33! It literally looks like it hit 85 and went due west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 4km nam rly picks up on some cooling under the extremely intense band that moves through.. image.png Now let's see what rly falls for rdu.... Guys this is badimage.png Winds will also be gusting to 20-30mph during peak zr.... And 4km keeps surface temp below freezing the whole time. 12z gfs also picking up on this and keeps wake co below freezing with heavy heavy precip .9 ZR for RDU? That would be catastrophic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 .9 ZR for RDU? That would be catastrophic I'll believe that when I see the 0.7" IP/SN we were supposed to get this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NAM does have some tendencies to over do precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like the coastal doesn't really book it NE after transfer like we typically see. Hope that will lead to a prolonged moisture feed from the Atlantic even before the wrap around. Anyone else seeing this? Probably still too far east for CLT and the Triad though, I would imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 That cutoff ull is too far north, not a deal breaker, just not ideal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like the coastal doesn't really book it NE after transfer like we typically see. Hope that will lead to a prolonged moisture feed from the Atlantic even before the wrap around. Anyone else seeing this? Probably still too far east for CLT and the Triad though, I would imagine. Oh yes. More than one model shows the coastal doing a loop or retrograde. Where that happens will make a difference. Some parts of eastern NC could get a good shot of back end snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yes, I've been telling everyone that asked on Twitter...this isn't a 'dry slot', and it is not a cutting off of the moisture source. It is a lack of dynamics. Atmosphere still supports mainly snow in the Triad for instance when the precip rates are there. Matthew, Whats up my friend?? It has been a LONG time since we corresponded. I hope all is well man! I bet they have YOU VERY BUSY ATTM! LOL. Anyway, I personally FEEL the CLT AND surrounding area(s) will see the BEST snowfall of the storm TONIGHT, into tomorrow morning (10:00amish)! I see the setup with the Deformation zone and CLT being RIGHT IN THE CROSSHAIRS, IMHO! Plotting out the tracks and KNOWING with this kind of INSANE lift available, TD's being right where they need to be, night-time, etc...we should receive an AWESOME THUMP. I BET the rapid update models start showing (if not already) this. I am almost certain that this will OVER perform. Thoughts? Take care and hope all is well with you and your Family! Best regards, Jason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Asheville and I-40 Foothills are right on pace for NWS GSP's forecast range of 12-18".Going to have to disagree. Not seeing the moisture reform or push into northern mtns or foothills. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I don't know how the wedge skipped me and went to the NE Ga areas are at 30 or so, and I'm 33! It literally looks like it hit 85 and went due west! That's got to be orthographic, right? Sorry ms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It's a building...and it's a coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/036.html#WIN but it's focus is more north of here based on the location descriptive. Either way, they expect way more to come this afternoon and tonight, which I agree. Ahh it's updated. We are always on the border! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Matthew, Whats up my friend?? It has been a LONG time since we corresponded. I hope all is well man! I bet they have YOU VERY BUSY ATTM! LOL. Anyway, I personally FEEL the CLT AND surrounding area(s) will see the BEST snowfall of the storm TONIGHT, into tomorrow morning (10:00amish)! I see the setup with the Deformation zone and CLT being RIGHT IN THE CROSSHAIRS, IMHO! Plotting out the tracks and KNOWING with this kind of INSANE lift available, TD's being right where they need to be, night-time, etc...we should receive an AWESOME THUMP. I BET the rapid update models start showing (if not already) this. I am almost certain that this will OVER perform. Thoughts? Take care and hope all is well with you and your Family! Best regards, Jason Love the optimism, but am going to have to disagree. The Atlantic moisture appears too far east, and the ULL too far north on the short range models for the CLT area. Hope I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 From ABC 33/40. Could be important for ATL. http://www.alabamawx.com/ As for accumulations further south in places like Tuscaloosa, Birmingham and Anniston, it will take heavier snow bands to produce those. Snow was falling at Starkville but having a hard time sticking because it was light in nature and the ground is warm. This will be the story until temperatures come down and you get some heavier areas of snow. That should happen this evening in areas east of I-65 as the big winter storm ramps up for the East Coast. Snow should wrap back down into areas east of I-65 after 6 p.m. and intensify. Areas north of I-20 and east of I-65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Going to have to disagree. Not seeing the moisture reform or push into northern mtns or foothills. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Most of McDowell County has 6-8 already so its certainly possible they can reach 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The update did not change much for Rutherford County. If anything it added to the totals. Ahh it's updated. We are always on the border! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 For Central NC folks, the light patchy stuff will be no more soon enough. Radar filling in nicely over eastern SC. Click to view video: https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/CZVo5_3W0AA_CSN.mp4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Most of McDowell County has 6-8 already so its certainly possible they can reach 12 4.5" in Boone, epic bust here. Trump built the wall in Watauga county instead of Mexico. Moisture continues to disappear at the county line and points north. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 For Central NC folks, the light patchy stuff will be no more soon enough. Radar filling in nicely over eastern SC. Click to view video: https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/CZVo5_3W0AA_CSN.mp4 I'm already getting moderate ZR. No more sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 4.5" in Boone, epic bust here. Trump built the wall in Watauga county instead of Mexico. Moisture continues to disappear at the county line and points north. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Yea its a pretty odd setup for sure, the SE flow is defintely helping areas like McDowell to Henderson county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This is going to get bad fast for rdu folks. Zr could be massive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm already getting moderate ZR. No more sleet. Man, I've gone over to mostly snow with some sleet. System still appears to like that area right near the GA/FLA line to pop the coastal. Its a crawler! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 For Central NC folks, the light patchy stuff will be no more soon enough. Radar filling in nicely over eastern SC. Click to view video: https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/CZVo5_3W0AA_CSN.mp4 So you're saying it's going to pretty much take that corridor you drew Jon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Asheville and I-40 Foothills are right on pace for NWS GSP's forecast range of 12-18". Looking at the 15Z HRRR in 15-min increments, it seems it wants to put the mountains under the "pivot point" of the storm. This is the first sign I've seen of this. If that happens, 12-18" will be easily achieved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 So you're saying it's going to pretty much take that corridor you drew Jon?That's my best eyeball guess without looking at motion or anything, yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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