Wow Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 925 analysis shows the CAD wedge fairly well. This thing is just getting going. As has been noted, the coastal has not even formed yet, and the primary with its ull support is rather weak and diffuse. Radar should fill back in once the coastal forms. Yeah you should see the radar blossom over GA as the coastal blows up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 When is this going to start filling in? Radar looks like it is still struggling over central NC. Spotty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scooter Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yeah you should see the radar blossom over GA as the coastal blows up. What radar are you using? Do you have a link? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Matthew East posted this on Facebook. I expect a wave of fairly heavy precip to move through much of NC between 11am and 2pm, then potentially another heavier round early evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
airmarci Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'd expect the coastal to blow up south of Myrtle once the ULL phases east...will be able to maximize vortex stretching where LL vorticity (e.g., frontogenetic shearing term) is strongest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Meteorologist Chris Simmons added 4 new photos. 4 mins · Not good when the 500mb low isn't closed yet. ALL models had it closed by now. We shall see how it plays out. 4 Comments1 Share Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 HRRR still showing a lot of precip coming later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Raleigh Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Brad P said it appears it closed off to him. ????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 4K NAM on MA board shows significant snow (ice too) well into most of North Carolina. Huge change from last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like precip filling back in S of charlotte Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Meteorologist Chris Simmons added 4 new photos. 4 mins · Not good when the 500mb low isn't closed yet. ALL models had it closed by now. We shall see how it plays out. This would explain why the primary low is weaker. Not a bad thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Meteorologist Chris Simmons added 4 new photos. 4 mins · Not good when the 500mb low isn't closed yet. ALL models had it closed by now. We shall see how it plays out. 4 Comments1 Share It's closing off now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This would explain why the primary low is weaker. Not a bad thing. Could it result in a stronger secondary low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Brad P said it appears it closed off to him. ????? that was at 9:57am, low closed off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
airmarci Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 HRRR is an icy mess for RDU...basically goes between IP and ZR all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 NWS now forecasting 8-12 here as of 10am. Okie dokie, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NWS now forecasting 8-12 here as of 10am. Okie dokie, Same for here(Valdese Burke County) but is that additional snowfall or does that include what has already falling? If that is new snowfall how are we going to get that much I mean 8-12 what do they see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 4km nam rly picks up on some cooling under the extremely intense band that moves through.. Now let's see what rly falls for rdu.... Guys this is bad Winds will also be gusting to 20-30mph during peak zr.... And 4km keeps surface temp below freezing the whole time. 12z gfs also picking up on this and keeps wake co below freezing with heavy heavy precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The 4K NAM shows the triad ending up with about 3-4 inches total, that's not what we want to hear but the NAM has been the most correct solution so far and will probably be close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Once the low pops in the atlantic we're going to have a significant period of snow overnight and then the backside snows tomorrow morning. There is PLENTY of moisture available. And by tonight the thermal column will support snow for most across NC/VA. Dont give up folks! Patience will be rewarded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Once the low pops in the atlantic we're going to have a significant period of snow overnight and then the backside snows tomorrow morning. There is PLENTY of moisture available. And by tonight the thermal column will support snow for most across NC/VA. Dont give up folks! Patience will be rewarded. Once the energy transfer is complete, the bulk of the precip will be heavier to our east than here in the Triad which is exactly what the NAM is indicating with their swath of heavier stuff in East-Central NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NWS now forecasting 8-12 here as of 10am. Okie dokie, Mooresville? Yea, that's not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Same for here(Valdese Burke County) but is that additional snowfall or does that include what has already falling? If that is new snowfall how are we going to get that much I mean 8-12 what do they see That's total. I'm thinking they see the precip really building over WNC/SC at the coastal forms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Once the energy transfer is complete, the bulk of the precip will be heavier to our east than here in the Triad which is exactly what the NAM is indicating with their swath of heavier stuff in East-Central NC I agree. I have not given up hope, but our possible foot of snow has gone out the window. I would say 6 tops now. That is what NWS is saying. I don't hold out much hope of that buildback into WNC. Hope I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Once the energy transfer is complete, the bulk of the precip will be heavier to our east than here in the Triad which is exactly what the NAM is indicating with their swath of heavier stuff in East-Central NC Yep, I agree 100% always once coastal takes over we or especially me are to far west!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 That is currently happening That's total. I'm thinking they see the precip really building over WNC/SC at the coastal forms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I still do not see these totals that gsp is forecasting. Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I don't know how the wedge skipped me and went to the NE Ga areas are at 30 or so, and I'm 33! It literally looks like it hit 85 and went due west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Asheville and I-40 Foothills are right on pace for NWS GSP's forecast range of 12-18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I don't know how the wedge skipped me and went to the NE Ga areas are at 30 or so, and I'm 33! It literally looks like it hit 85 and went due west! that is odd, its 30 and a pretty good glaze at this point. i am at a little higher elevation maybe? looks like precip is developing in n ga so hopefully everyone will get in on the winter wx action edited to add: some of the radars are showing snow but here, at least, its sleet and zr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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