nckhawk Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 If anywhere near accurate / useful, this doesn't bode well for central NC: http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/A_w_sfc_color.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 7:47 PM, nckhawk said: If anywhere near accurate / useful, this doesn't bode well for central NC: http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/A_w_sfc_color.png The low won't move such a smooth path. In any case, we'll run out of precip before we need to worry about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VanillaDream Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 34 slowly getting there Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 7:54 PM, VanillaDream said: 34 slowly getting there Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk just an educated guess but I think you (northern burbs of atl), switch over to snow by 5pm, if not earlier than that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The latest HRRR drops another 1" qpf on the CLT metro area https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CZWVeFjUEAAJZVh.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VanillaDream Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 7:57 PM, neatlburbwthrguy said: just an educated guess but I think you (northern burbs of atl), switch over to snow by 5pm, if not earlier than that.... Sounds about right Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 8:00 PM, VanillaDream said: Sounds about right Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk may be considered an amateur question, but curious, would it be snowing right now in Atlanta at say 3000 feet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The 19z RAP has the Triad changing over to snow around 8 PM. I'm gonna get RAP'd, but the soundings are what they are. Shouldn't trust it, but here I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WFFaithful Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 6:13 PM, superjames1992 said: Just a note for you Triad peeps. The 12z Euro mauls us with the deformation band this evening from 00zish through maybe 08z. We'll see if it happens, but it's a lot of snow if it does. Don't sleep on the possibility. Remember what happened to Big Frosty and company in February 2014. On 1/22/2016 at 7:59 PM, Amos83 said: The latest HRRR drops another 1" qpf on the CLT metro area https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CZWVeFjUEAAJZVh.png Crazy if true. On 1/22/2016 at 6:13 PM, superjames1992 said: Just a note for you Triad peeps. The 12z Euro mauls us with the deformation band this evening from 00zish through maybe 08z. We'll see if it happens, but it's a lot of snow if it does. Don't sleep on the possibility. Remember what happened to Big Frosty and company in February 2014. The HRRR is showing heavy returns under that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMA1973 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 WRAL.com forecast is for Raleigh to turn to rain this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Absolutely absurd gradient on Euro snow maps. 30 mile spread through Hampton Roads is the difference between 4" and 20". 50mile error in low track is completely reasonable and has huge implications up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Anyone have a live loop/time lapse of current 850s? Apologize if previously posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 7:59 PM, Amos83 said: The latest HRRR drops another 1" qpf on the CLT metro area https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CZWVeFjUEAAJZVh.png WOW!! That is very impressive! THANK YOU for posting this! Do you have the latest HRRR run, where the model is in motion and shows the PrecipType(s) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 8:04 PM, neatlburbwthrguy said: may be considered an amateur question, but curious, would it be snowing right now in Atlanta at say 3000 feet? Not yet, 850's are crashing from west to east. It's still rain at 3000 feet over Atlanta. It won't be long though between 5-7 we should see a switchover for the duration of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 8:20 PM, LithiaWx said: Not yet, 850's are crashing from west to east. It's still rain at 3000 feet over Atlanta. It won't be long though between 5-7 we should see a switchover for the duration of the event. thanks, got it. that makes sense. yes im hoping for a quick inch in the Dunwoody area. radar back west looks good for us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolBreeze Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Has the secondary low popped of the coast? If so, where is it located? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 1000 mb low in south central GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 8:28 PM, CoolBreeze said: Has the secondary low popped of the coast? If so, where is it located? Thanks! Looks like weve got a triple barrel kinda thing goin on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The wind barbs imply right around Savannah. But that's also just a model, not an actual analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolBreeze Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 8:33 PM, Disco-lemonade said: Looks like weve got a triple barrel kinda thing goin on. Hopefully this is just showing the transition in progress, where the 1002 mb center in N GA will wane as the secondary 1000 mb moves into the Atlantic and deepens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSU2005 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I know we don't prefer the weather channel, but they continue to show some back end snow for RDU overnight and early tomorrow, up to 1 inch. Is that reasonable? WAA supposed to cooperate with that idea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NWS GSP thought ULL will do more magic for SW NC (despite HRRR runs) and it look like they're on money. What a band setting up over NE Georgia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 8:47 PM, NCSU2005 said: I know we don't prefer the weather channel, but they continue to show some back end snow for RDU overnight and early tomorrow, up to 1 inch. Is that reasonable? WAA supposed to cooperate with that idea? hrrr shows widespread snow showers down to sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolBreeze Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 8:51 PM, WxBlue said: NWS GSP thought ULL will do more magic for SW NC (despite HRRR runs) and it look like they're on money. What a band setting up over NE Georgia. Wow - looks like a comma cloud embedded in a comma cloud! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On 1/22/2016 at 8:51 PM, WxBlue said: NWS GSP thought ULL will do more magic for SW NC (despite HRRR runs) and it look like they're on money. What a band setting up over NE Georgia. yep and i am in the middle of that band it is just pouring sleet and freezing rain and looks like a few token flakes here and there. .25" ice now and its getting pretty dark to the sw. the temp held steady all morning (like 7 hours maybe) at 30 its now 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 20z RAP shows it still snowing in CLT/Shelby corridor at 2 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Unfortunately NAM soundings show a sleet profile through at least 7 p.m. in Shelby. I don't think that big band from NE Ga. will wait that long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VanillaDream Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 All snow now in holly springs/Woodstock/kennesaw Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
palmettoweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 20z HRRR shows some potentially impressive returns for us in the western Upstate and NE GA. Around 6:00 it gets going pretty well. I'll believe it when I see it though. Sent from my SM-G920I using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hammer Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yep - coming down... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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