DopplerWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 1:53 PM, packfan98 said: Energy is slightly deeper and more positively oriented at hr 12. @18 maybe a little south? hard to tell bc it keeps jumping around each frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 it's further south with the primary low at 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Jonathan Blaes @jlblaes 12m12 minutes ago NDFD Storm Total Freezing Rain accumulation forecast looks troubling across the western Piedmont. #ncwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 1:56 PM, Wow said: it's further south with the primary low at 15 The surface low is near San Antonio at this time for what it's worth. Still digging ESE and may pass over/near Metro Houston midday into the afternoon hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 NAM back to 18z position by 21 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 more precip @24 into nc, snow in raleigh to the west, icy south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 2:00 PM, Wow said: NAM back to 18z position by 21 hrs yep south and stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 surface looks same position as 6z at 24 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 BOOM! Hour 27 heavy snow Triangle to Charlotte north and west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Run is gonna be big. Step towards Euro for sure!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 warm nose much less pronounced with the low further south at 27.. so far. Transfer needs to happen fast to keep it hat way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 And it does! at 30 hrs it rapidly weakening the primary and transferring to S GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 2:06 PM, packfan98 said: BOOM! Hour 27 heavy snow Triangle to Charlotte north and west! I assume upstate SC and NE Georgia north of I-85 are snow then also. This is sounding like it's turning into a I-85/I-40 special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Run is looking good for NC N of 40, S VA. Heavy snow by 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Nam looks colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Big-time front end thump of snow for many on the NAM, from north of Charlotte to RDU to Roanoke Rapids and points north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 850 line is at least 50 miles south compared to 6z run!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 a little warm nose at 30up this way but not nearly as bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 2:09 PM, lilj4425 said: I assume upstate SC and NE Georgia north of I-85 are snow then also. This is sounding like it's turning into a I-85/I-40 special. To my eyes, looks like rain to FZRA around hour 27, transitioning to sleet around HR 30 for the 85 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 I'm, at +2.7C at 825mb height at hr 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 this run looks much better than the previous 2 through 33 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 2:11 PM, StormyClearweather said: To my eyes, looks like rain to FZRA around hour 27, transitioning to sleet around HR 30 for the 85 corridor. Oh, well that's a bummer. Seems like a lot would have to happen for this area to be snow instead of IP and ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 then +4.6C at 33. eek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Low transfers near CHS hr 36.. 850's crashing WNC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 2:13 PM, Wow said: then +4.6C at 33. eek.even turns the mtns over to freezing rain.Is it just me or is this more of a miller a this run with the low getting shunted south and east instead of transferring? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 While the primary is further south, it still keeps that warm nose at the 800-900mb level . Gotta watch that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 NAM gives CLT almost 2 inches of QPF BEFORE the wraparound. #gulp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 looks like snow to sleet to snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 2:15 PM, franklin NCwx said: even turns the mtns over to freezing rain. Is it just me or is this more of a miller a this run with the low getting shunted south and east instead of transferring? That's what we want to see. That takes out the surge of midlevel warming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 This reminds of the good changeovers when it happens...like the column is going to be collapsing so quick its gonna be amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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