AmericanWxFreak Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 still going at 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 OMG EURO AMAZING deform band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 GFS had a sharper troff and closed off H5 by 120hrs, Euro still a big hit though. also a bit too close for comfort as far as temps are concerned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I am a little concerned about suppression but it's rakage on Euro for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Anyone know about the high pressure anchored upstate if it strengthened or weakened on the euro? I believe cad is underdone. Hence why the GFS is allowing the primary to cut too much, albeit it adjusted on the op significantly southeast at 18z and 0z so.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I was just going to say...how far SE do we really want this to go... I don't see how much further SE it can get.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 sick run...cold run...crushes all of DC/balt metro with snow...no mixing worries for DC/Balt Metro...Much more coastal influence and less from WAA...does give me concern about suppression...but whatever...huge hit I'll take it with a GFS blend.. damn I wish it was Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 132 is a pummeling for the 95 corridor between DC and Bmore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I was just going to say...how far SE do we really want this to go... They always come NW at the last minute. I like where we stand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Crush job for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 DC has 16" by 132.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Day 6 850 & 700mb RH http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h144&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=700&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h144&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I honestly think based on the 500mb it is probably placing the low too far SE than it should be. Can we lock this up. Gotta make it 2 more days IMO. We are still in the range where things can change in a big way. The energy comes on shore Wednesday. Let's get through tomorrow feeling good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Really sharp NW to SE gradient with the precip. At 144, there's .6" in Hagerstown and 2.5" at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 It's an amazing run for DC...2.5" QPF and much colder. Though it shifted SE by a good chunk so I'd have to worry about suppression if I wanted to throw up a few cautionary flags for the group. It's nasty cutoff to our NW: 5" Cumberland. Highest amounts along and just east of 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 GFS and Euro both giving DC > 20 inches with wiggle room.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 QPF for i95 cities? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Euro is a solid shellacking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 2 ft totals up and down 95 from Bmore to Fredericksburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Looks like the 2"+ QPF contour runs from roughly EZF - DCA, and the 1.5"+ contour from roughly JYO to Westminster... ETA - all snow...temps in 20s for whole event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 DO NOT POST WXBELL EURO PRODUCTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I honestly think based on the 500mb it is probably placing the low too far SE than it should be. Can we lock this up. Gotta make it 2 more days IMO. We are still in the range where things can change in a big way. The energy comes on shore Wednesday. Let's get through tomorrow feeling good. I just don't see it can go any further SE...I think this may be a wobble...it doesn't look like the vort can dig any deeper than it is right now unless I am missing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yeah, not great for us westerners. Any more SE and we are in big trouble. Go GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Trying to remember the last time a big storm didn't produce N/W of the metro areas. Yeah, not great for us westerners. Any more SE and we are in big trouble. Go GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yeah, not great for us westerners. Any more SE and we are in big trouble. Go GFS! Everyone in far N and W burbs should hopefully know by now that there is a secondary precip max and secondary banding, and no matter what the models say, they will do better than further east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yeah, not great for us westerners. Any more SE and we are in big trouble. Go GFS!I wouldn't worry at all irt to suppression with this run. Wait until a trend. With that slp track and h5 progression you would get crushed like everyone else.ETA: what Matt said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Trying to remember the last time a big storm didn't produce N/W of the metro areas. Nov. 87, Jan 2000, Mar. 2008, Feb 10, 2010, Off the top of my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Bit OT Guys, @ 174 hours there is a front around the Lakes that might reinforce the cold air, and there is a wave around the 4 corners, let's see if we get round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yeah, not great for us westerners. Any more SE and we are in big trouble. Go GFS! Sorry, is the trend not great or the run itself? Because the Euro is still 8-12"+ for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Everyone in far N and W burbs should hopefully know by now that there is a secondary precip max and secondary banding, and no matter what the models say, they will do better than further east... I wouldn't worry at all irt to suppression with this run. Wait until a trend. With that slp track and h5 progression you would get crushed like everyone else. ETA: what Matt said Good points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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