usedtobe Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 You are not gonna get a better 500 pass for NOVA and DC then this run. Destruction. The 500 is in great position.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Liquid output on the models is ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 WOW. This would rival PD2 in snow totals for the western burbs. It is an absolute crushing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 What about wind? Think this run shows Blizzard warning criteria for counties like AA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Positioning is near perfect from GFS/Euro/UKIE, maybe a tad east and you can talk about near 2' amounts for the metro's. Almost time to get serious. Let's see what EPS says later. Gusts to 75knots for the mouth of the Chessy, 55-60 knots near the metro's. That is just a massacre cement dumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Widespread 30"+ totals for VA and WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Looks like IAD JYO guys are near 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Almost the entire middle 3rd of VA gets upwards of 30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Guys, someone give us a comparison of this run with 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Euro is in its wheelhouse. Confidence pretty high for a significant snowstorm. 2.1" QPF DC, 3.2" Winchester, 3.6" out near Canaan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Such a different outcome re: N/W extent of precip than 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Euro is in its wheelhouse. Confidence pretty high for a significant snowstorm. 2.1" QPF DC, 3.2" Winchester, 3.6" out near Canaan. Yep...0z tonight could be the final nail in the confidence coffin. Almost go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Guys, someone give us a comparison of this run with 0z. Better for western areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 What does it show for BWI for total snowfall? roughly 20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 based on 700 and 850 RH maps, still looks to be snowing, albeit lightly, 12Z Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I have a dream? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Is it possible to post a snapshot of snowfall totals from EuroWX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Quick storm. Starts 9am Friday and ends around 2am Sunday morning. Only 41 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 At 126, winds gusting at 60 along the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Is it possible to post a snapshot of snowfall totals from EuroWX? no. Those are not allowed as far as I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Better for western areas. I was talking lp placement, path, duration Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 no. Those are not allowed as far as I know They're already in this thread, and in other forums as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Complete blizzard for the cities I will say that, gusts to 60 and even possibly 70mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 They're already in this thread, and in other forums as well. they've been taken down since then. Just saying what I have been told Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inverted_Trough Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Great run, but it's still 100+ hours out. Usually how this works is the models show a huge storm at about 5 days out. Then they start suppressing everything and the heaviest snow totals move further and further south, causing weenies to have bipolar mood swings. Then, 48 hours before the event, they shift things back north again - back to the original solution it had a few days prior, and the weenies rejoice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Liquid output on the models is ridiculous And to be taken with a pretty significant grain of salt. Most NWP models have a pretty substantial wet bias for heavy thresholds (>1in/day) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Great run, but it's still 100+ hours out. Usually how this works is the models show a huge storm at about 5 days out. Then they start suppressing everything and the heaviest snow totals move further and further south, causing weenies to have bipolar mood swings. Then, 48 hours before the event, they shift things back north again - back to the original solution it had a few days prior, and the weenies rejoice. We are within 100 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Fine details with SLP placement are awful tricky with the h5 progression. Just a touch less amped and the cities jack. More amped and big mixing issues. My guess is the mouth of the bay is probably the western edge of the envelope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The expanse of the 2-3' total area in va/wv/w md is really incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Fine details with SLP placement are awful tricky with the h5 progression. Just a touch less amped and the cities jack. More amped and big mixing issues. My guess is the mouth of the bay is probably the western edge of the envelope. Any mixing on this one? I noticed surface was right around freezing at the usual 95 boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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