WxUSAF Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Doesn't look like it's going to miss based on the 96hr prog at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I take it that's a good thing? More amped with cold high to the north = OK Less amped with stronger high to the north = POSSIBLE push south We have amped so OK for now and cold air being reinforced! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 no not at all Pretty good agreement no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 It's definitely not OTS thats for sure. H111 over Wilmington, H117 over OBX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I take it that's a good thing? That is an awesome thing my man! Colder temps better ratios no mixing issues the list goes on. Strongest high shown yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Day 5 maps: 5H, slp, 850RH and 700mb RH http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=700&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Euro at hr 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 this is just CRAPPY model performance JUST WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 987 right over OBX and puking snow @ hr114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I take it that's a good thing? Yes. The higher the pressure better overall pattern for a classic MECs/ HECs in the mid atlantic. your barometric pressure is directly proportional to the amount of cold air the system has to work with. It also creates pressure and temperature gradient which is ideal for snow storms. Google PD2 (presidents day storm 2)... that was a classic setup for High pressure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 L looks to be right at Hatteras at 114. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 the 850 and 700mb RH maps are a thing of beauty that has to be crushing for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Biblical amounts of QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 120 right near the mouth of the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Perfect placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 You are not gonna get a better 500 pass for NOVA and DC then this run. Destruction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Close off and capture @ 120. Sub 990 at the mouth of the bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 NE forum says 3-4" of qpf over DC and central MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Northern VA gets demolished..... 30"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Biblical amounts of QPF I've written my most bullish so far in advance CWG since I started writing there. The Euro low position still is a little west of where I'd like it when it gets up towards ORF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 An absolute destroyer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Huh? That has nothing to do with the quality of the package. These pre-implementation runs are typically fit into the holes on the operational or even backup supercomputers, which is why their products are delayed relative to the ops. In other words, their data feed is unreliable. Their upgrade is well vetted and scoring quite well. There were more posts regarding problems with maps, etc.. But in light of the 12Z Euro, it was concern unfounded. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 I've written my most bullish so far in advance CWG since I started writing there. The Euro low position still is a little west of where I'd like it when it gets up towards ORF. As depicted me and you might mix for a bit. Also around 32 for a bit too. We'll have to see what temp profiles are like as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Man that low just stalls after the capture and nukes western MD/eastern WV. Insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 2" liquid in DC by h132. Over 3.5" in parts of WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Mixing issues with pingers at 120? I see a little needle of warm air on the 850 chart then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Biblical amounts of QPF Lol good to hear. Any change in speed with the system since the last run or timing about the same? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 You'll never see JI again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I've written my most bullish so far in advance CWG since I started writing there. The Euro low position still is a little west of where I'd like it when it gets up towards ORF. I see this also. East of Norfolk is where we want it not over nor west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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