nj2va Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 WPC Day 4 1004 in NW GA, Day 5 985 east of OCMD. http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/nav_conus_pmsl.php?fday=5&fcolor=wbg ETA: Total QPF forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Doesn't look like any big changes yet on the 12z GFS through 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 12z GFS looks very similar to 06z out to 84 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Looks colder for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Old news, but I took at look at some of the output from the 6UT GFS for BWI. According to this simulation, Snow begins Friday morning at 9 AM and ends Saturday afternoon at 1 PM. Temperatures range from 26 to 29 degrees 1000-500 hPa thicknesses peak at 541 and 850 hPa T peak at -2 C late Friday evening. Winds strengthen throughout Friday and approach blizzard levels (34 mph late Friday evening) . Wind direction E to NE to N Total precipitation 2.07". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 GFS is just a touch slower than 6z but more amped. Going to be another big solution for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Looking great through 105. Another weenie run coming up for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 GFS still looking good and in line with the teensy bit of changes well within noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 My god. Just the front end thump alone on this run is over a foot out here. This is gonna be an epic run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Central MD getting just crushed at 111... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Snow in DC at 99. The front end looks even more potent than it was on 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Another weather porn image to be saved forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Crushing! 6-7 inches all of central md hours 108-111. Northern va gets smoked as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 NE MD getting destroyed at 114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 over 300 posts for me to catch up on, so forgive me in this information has been posted already. Cobb Output for Westminster 00z GFS: 1/22 18z to 1/24 06z 3.48 QPF (mostly snow, one 3hr period where temp was just above 32, so Cobb has it as RASN) 06z GFS: 1/22 15z to 1/23 18z 2.27 QPF (all snow) can't complain about that! Now to catch up on the thread. 12 inches of snow over one three hour period is just WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 this reminds me of Feb 5,2010 where model runs kept getting jucier and jucier until they climaxed lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Not quite the backside obliteration for the DC metro proper, and yet still close to 2'. The favored N MD spots, wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 We are pretty much stuck under 1"+ per hour snowfall rates for the majority of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 126 Much better Deform band over the metro's and northern VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Not quite the backside obliteration for the DC metro proper, and yet still close to 2'. The favored N MD spots, wow. But really no mixing issues until you get to SoMD. Upper levels just perfect...and crawling...Das approves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 DC gets almost 30". lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Two closed contours at 500mb. Craycray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Approaching 3' near Mt Parkton on this run, 2' Immediatly North of I-95. Preety amazing how the "jackpot" has been in the same area on most runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The 6hr totals between 108 and 114 are ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Northern and NE MD crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 But really no mixing issues until you get to SoMD. Upper levels just perfect...and crawling...Das approves. How about down close to EZF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 It's a tick slower again this run. Late morning start for dc and bmore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2016011812&time=INSTANT&var=SRATEI&hour=111 Look at those rates! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yet another folder worthy panel. Good grief man. This is off the rails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Northern and NE MD crushed. Whole area. Mixing isn't a problem for the cities. 20"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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