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January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #1 - No Banter


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For posterity...to erase the 0z para thoughts... 1-2' of snow has already fallen. What a beaut in the upper levels.

 

 

attachicon.gif6zparah5.JPG

 

 

attachicon.gif6zpara850.JPG

 

Hey Bob, thanks for all this info!  Sorry if this question is too IMBY-ish, but the 850s look dicey for most of Delmarva, correct?  How does the shore make out on these most recent runs?

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Hey Bob, thanks for all this info!  Sorry if this question is too IMBY-ish, but the 850s look dicey for most of Delmarva, correct?  How does the shore make out on these most recent runs?

 

Tough to say without soundings. Looks like 6-12" before the flip and unfortunately heavy rain during the bomb. Back to snow on the tail with a couple inches. Best guess. 

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Tough to say without soundings. Looks like 6-12" before the flip and unfortunately heavy rain during the bomb. Back to snow on the tail with a couple inches. Best guess. 

 

Looks like I'll selfishly be hoping for a tiny jog SE  :weenie:

 

Thanks again to everyone here for helping me learn!

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Not sure if posted already - but looks like the WPC experimental winter weather graphics that depict the chance of winter precip with liquid equivalent over .25inch are now up to 70-90% stripe mainly west of cities. 

 

 

It is actually in the 70-90% for Baltimore city itself, pretty amazing percentages for this far out.

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It is actually in the 70-90% for Baltimore city itself, pretty amazing percentages for this far out.

Yeah - was mainly just pointing out that the meat of the stripe is west - but it's always good to see WPC so gung ho on something.

Imagine a part of the generation of that map is also climo...and climo would favor west ;) 

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Last Update: Mon Jan 18 15:40:00 2016 GMT NWS TOC Operational Status Message

No current message

NCEP Operational Status Message Mon Jan 18 15:09:38 2016 GMTNOUS42 KWNO 181508

ADMNFD

SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE

NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD

1507Z MON JAN 18 2016

THE 12Z NCEP MODEL SUITE IS RUNNING ON-TIME...

OREILLY/SDM/NCO/NCEP

 

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Closed h7 passes over RIC. This is just sick. There is no doubt thunder and lightening if this happens. UVV's are rocking and the lift would be insane.

 

attachicon.gifparah7.JPG

 

 

attachicon.gifparah7.1.JPG

 

12 hours of deepening and to move what, 20 miles?  The upper levels are absolutely crawling.

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