Subtropics Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Yoda doing a pbp tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I can hold the weight of the weather weenie world for a few hours while you rest up I did a quick scan. Looks like a jacked up narrow progressive trough with no blocking and a wave riding the boundary. Would require prefect timing with everything and hp to the north is so/so at best. Most likely outcome is rain or off the coast. I'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I did a quick scan. Looks like a jacked up narrow progressive trough with no blocking and a wave riding the boundary. Would require prefect timing with everything and hp to the north is so/so at best. Most likely outcome is rain or off the coast. I'm in Perfect timing cures all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angela T Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Not trying to sound ignorant, but which storm are you guys focusing on? I am thinking Friday from what I am reading. But I am hearing some chatter for Wednesday, anything worth discussing during that time frame as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 We just did the easy one. Now we need to do a hard one. Models won't telegraph the storm 7 days out like they did for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Not trying to sound ignorant, but which storm are you guys focusing on? I am thinking Friday from what I am reading. But I am hearing some chatter for Wednesday, anything worth discussing during that time frame as well? Thursday into Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angela T Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Thanks Yoda. Any idea why some may be something on Wednesday for S central Va for Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 2 feet of snow outside, sleep deprived, and still not satisfied. We need therapy. so if we can get this within 5 days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I just caught up here. I'm one sick bastard to even want more...and I do. My wife might just lose it if I dare mention it. My kids on the other hand...paaaaaaaaarttttay! ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 00z GFS OP says nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 00z GFS OP says nope Close? Or? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Close? Or? Not even close... past few runs have had the SLP way offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 2 feet of snow outside, sleep deprived, and still not satisfied. We need therapy. so if we can get this within 5 days...I'd like to see what a psychoanalysis of us snow geeks would look like, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 It's a given we will have to stay up for the Euro. We can sleep in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 00z GGEM has the low, but its a tad too far offshore for much for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Euro is running in 90 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmorelights Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Y'all are sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 GGEM usually likes to show fake snow in the medium range that no other model shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Euro is running in 90 minutes. Heck yeah! Y'all are sick. I AM sick. I can't wait to track more weather on the models. And, Can you believe this? I already want even MORE snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angela T Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Heck yeah! I AM sick. I can't wait to track more weather on the models. And, Can you believe this? I already want even MORE snow! I want more snow too!!! Give me as much as you can!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I just want something else to track. It was entertaining staying up for model runs and having to subsist on coffee during the day because I stayed up too late tracking a weather system lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Need the Randytastic2 storm Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Maybe quick inch or 2 on Thursday? EPS mean seems to support that idea, but prob because 14 the 51 ensembles have 2"+ snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 6z run is a lot closer to the coast than 0z run for the 28th. se VA gets scraped. I like the Trend. If we could just get rid of that lp in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 6z run is a lot closer to the coast than 0z run for the 28th. se VA gets scraped. I like the Trend. If we could just get rid of that lp in Canada. I think as others have mentioned in this thread, we are going to have to kind of thread the needle on this "event"... nevertheless, it helps that it comes in potentially at night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Raven94 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 6Z Ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 This is a peice of energy hanging back riding up a front. Wave low. It could deepen rapidly though given the warm waters but this is not the kind of setup models will nail down 5 days out and history in a nino suggests these usually trend more amplified. Still a thread the needle low prob thing but worth keeping an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Psu- things are starting to look pretty good in ensemble land after the first 3-4 days of Feb. Starting to get that +pna/-epo/-ao look on the means. We should have some shots if things go down like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Psu- things are starting to look pretty good in ensemble land after the first 3-4 days of Feb. Starting to get that +pna/-epo/-ao look on the means. We should have some shots if things go down like that. The progs show some cross polar flow so there will be cold air coming into the CONUS. I'm not wild about the negative height anomalies over Greenland above normal height near NOVA Scotia. That needs to change for any big storm. We'll probalby need a fisr storm to go north and then have wave on any front that goes by to cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 The progs show some cross polar flow so there will be cold air coming into the CONUS. I'm not wild about the negative height anomalies over Greenland above normal height near NOVA Scotia. That needs to change for any big storm. We'll probalby need a fisr storm to go north and then have wave on any front that goes by to cash in. Not perfect yet... but cold enough and active enough at range to like the odds. I think blocking is on its way back. Could be nicely established during the second week of Feb. Weeklies are definitely hinting that way during the second week of Feb. Of course I could be feeling overly optimistic after what just happened. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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