yoda Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I was going to ask about those Check hrs 126-138 on EPS I am trying to see if it drops any snow, but I think its adding in this evenings snow so I may have to wait for the 00z run to see how much snow it drops, if any Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 It's a great track on the means (classic Miller A to OBX and NE from there). But there's a GL/Southern Canada low on the EPS that would likely jack our temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 It's a great track on the means (classic Miller A to OBX and NE from there). But there's a GL/Southern Canada low on the EPS that would likely jack our temps. Its a weak low though... like 1008mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Check hrs 126-138 on EPS I am trying to see if it drops any snow, but I think its adding in this evenings snow so I may have to wait for the 00z run to see how much snow it drops, if any Backing out the totals from today on the means, it looks like 2-3" on the means. I'd be curious to see if those with snow for us do not have a GL low. I'll have to check later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 It's a great track on the means (classic Miller A to OBX and NE from there). But there's a GL/Southern Canada low on the EPS that would likely jack our temps. Day 5 850 temp http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf-ens®ion=us&pkg=T850_mslp&runtime=2016012312&fh=120&xpos=0&ypos=182 day 6 they drop after the passage of the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 There are some nice SLPs in there.... I see quite a few 980s 126-138 EPS 6 hourly MSLP are all over the place... some misses/some grazes/some nice hits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Day 5 850 temp http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf-ens®ion=us&pkg=T850_mslp&runtime=2016012312&fh=120&xpos=0&ypos=182 day 6 they drop after the passage of the storm I think we would be fine 850 wise with that image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Day 5 850 temp http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf-ens®ion=us&pkg=T850_mslp&runtime=2016012312&fh=120&xpos=0&ypos=182 day 6 they drop after the passage of the storm Yeah at 132 the 850 mean is just east of the cities/95. Even though the GL low is weak, wouldn't the circulation still bring in a SW flow that could mess with our midlevels? Looking at the meteogram, it looks like there's about 15 or so members that give DC snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 You guys are sick. How can you even be looking at this stuff after not sleeping for a week ...14 members show accum snow *backs out of room and slowly closes door* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 You guys are sick. How can you even be looking at this stuff after not sleeping for a week ...14 members show accum snow *backs out of room and slowly closes door* Good one Bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2016 Author Share Posted January 24, 2016 Alright, we've neglected this thread long enough. Enjoy this victory tonight but tomorrow we're back to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 You guys are sick. How can you even be looking at this stuff after not sleeping for a week ...14 members show accum snow *backs out of room and slowly closes door* *opens the door* So, what type of accums are we looking at here? 14 of 51.... so about 30%, that has my interest bar raised... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Yall are some sick mofos. Meet back here at 11:30p for the 0z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I want more. When I thought I was going to miss this storm, I was clamoring for something next week. I can't rightly give up now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Yall are some sick mofos. Meet back here at 11:30p for the 0z GFS? 11:00 good sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbong Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I'm addicted to snowcaine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 18z GEFS indivds.... hmmm... intriguing... very intriguing Too many hrs to post... but take a peak from hrs 108-144 on MSLP, snowfall, and precip type Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Beyond the d5 miracle hit...Weeklies looked ok. I won't go into detail but after a crappy pattern the end of jan+first couple days of Feb the door definitely opens for chances. Blocking coming back with a west ridge/east trough config. Global ens support the look too. Nao is dicey but epo is good. The general "ok" idea is there + nino Febs are climo prime time I'm thinking 200% climo for all until it doesn't happen. A redux of the last 2 days seems acceptable too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Beyond the d5 miracle hit...Weeklies looked ok. I won't go into detail but after a crappy pattern the end of jan+first couple days of Feb the door definitely opens for chances. Blocking coming back with an west ridge/east trough config. Global ens support the look too. I'm thinking 200% climo for all until it doesn't happen. A redux of the last 2 days seems acceptable too Posted just as you did, but check out the 18z individ ensembles of the GEFS... intrigue is there... think I counted 10 or 11 giving us snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Posted just as you did, but check out the 18z individ ensembles of the GEFS... intrigue is there... think I counted 10 or 11 giving us snow I can't do it man. I need some sleep before I get no sleep...check back in 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeedaSnowday Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I. Can't. Believe. I. Came. Into. This. Thread..... Nor can I believe what I am reading.... Gah, this is a true sickness, isn't it?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I can't do it man. I need some sleep before I get no sleep...check back in 10 minutes. I can hold the weight of the weather weenie world for a few hours while you rest up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Atmosphere likes to repeat itself. Not writing this off by any means. Let's see what the American King has to say about it tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 What intrigued me was the HP the GEM showed in SE Canada. FWIW the NAM looks like the GEM did at similar time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Also, the way the EURO is burying the energy that the GGEM/UK are bringing out that cause this potential storm remind me of what the EURO was doing in the LR with today's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
66degreesnorth Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Also, the way the EURO is burying the energy that the GGEM/UK are bringing out that cause this potential storm remind me of what the EURO was doing in the LR with today's event.Sorry in advance for the banter in this thread, but did you chase or stay in philly? Should have chased up to NYC lolSent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Sorry in advance for the banter in this thread, but did you chase or stay in philly? Should have chased up to NYC lol Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk I stayed home...I know right! I got a little screwed here, for many hours today I got dry slotted and also just missed out on some bands. I have anywhere between 17-21" I'd guess. Meanwhile, my pop lives in Warminster PA which is like a 20 min drive for me NW and supposedly they got 30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
66degreesnorth Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I stayed home...I know right! I got a little screwed here, for many hours today I got dry slotted and also just missed out on some bands. I have anywhere between 17-21" I'd guess. Meanwhile, my pop lives in Warminster PA which is like a 20 min drive for me NW and supposedly they got 30"17-21 ain't bad. In upper nw DC I'm at about 22 inches or so - dry slot affected us too. Alright now I'm back to lurking and waiting for the GFS pbp. Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I. Can't. Believe. I. Came. Into. This. Thread..... Nor can I believe what I am reading.... Gah, this is a true sickness, isn't it?? No cure it's a terminal affliction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Alright, we've neglected this thread long enough. Enjoy this victory tonight but tomorrow we're back to work. This. LololSent from my SM-N920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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