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January Med/Long Range Discussion Part 4


WinterWxLuvr

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Psu- things are starting to look pretty good in ensemble land after the first 3-4 days of Feb. Starting to get that +pna/-epo/-ao look on the means. We should have some shots if things go down like that.

Agree Bob Feb looks active again after a little break and after 20-35" Dc to Balt PHL ABE to NYC we need a couple days.

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I've been on board for a good February for months now. The blocking we were all hoping for established itself nicely. Now we'll probably see periods of relax and return IMO. Winter ain't over yet :)

Also--threepeat baby. Climo+. We're on a heater.

I've been on the late show for months now. I've also said that anything before Jan 15 was house money, so I guess the blizzard is cash for savings. :lol:

I honestly think we see another two or three storms that have a real chance at dropping 12"+ in favored areas, and even in the corridor. I'd say that we get the last shot at it around the March 5-10 period. Plenty of time left before we start to enjoy spring.

Boom or bust. We do it well, and the juiced Nino is only adding to it.

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Some stout CAD on the GFS at D10

Keep an eye on the confluence. EPS and gfs have been upping that as we move forward. I personally don't think there is much chance at the digital storm going under us but a wedged in cold hp could give us a front ender. We should have plenty of snow on the ground still by then after the thurs/fri deal freshens things up. Snow on snow on snow. It's how we're gonna roll. Blizzards make weenies overly optimistic.

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