buckeye Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 I understand the 00z para euro was actually a miss for basically everyone north of Richmond. Suppose to be the better model so I now have very muted expectations for any good trend on todays euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Just seen a post in other thread that the Euro para isn't operational and isn't running with current Euro and data should be taken with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Detroit and Chicago are near-normal. NW suburbs are near normal. Chicago proper is in the s*****r. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 NW suburbs are near normal. Chicago proper is in the s*****r. By "Chicago," I meant ORD. But that's a fair point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I understand Hoosier's point. There are several locations near normal in this region and it is currently El Nino, so it is unrealistic to think the east would continue to pitch a near shut out. They are due for a big storm this season and this week looks to be that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Submitted by mrwx on Wed, 2015-12-09 09:26 The ECMWF is testing out the new parallel version of its pending upgrade (March 8, 2016). We just made some maps available for the operational European parallel (under the Medium Range menu for ECMWF) and are working on potentially adding the ensemble as well as adding both to the composites pages. Please note that reliability of parallel model run available is not good (it is not officially operational or regularly supported by ECMWF) at this time and that we may not always get the runs with the connections occasionally unavailable. We are marking the maps "beta" to signify potential unreliability of the feeds (they are difficult to script and grab in this ECWMF test phase). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Euro pretty far north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Submitted by mrwx on Wed, 2015-12-09 09:26 The ECMWF is testing out the new parallel version of its pending upgrade (March 8, 2016). We just made some maps available for the operational European parallel (under the Medium Range menu for ECMWF) and are working on potentially adding the ensemble as well as adding both to the composites pages. Please note that reliability of parallel model run available is not good (it is not officially operational or regularly supported by ECMWF) at this time and that we may not always get the runs with the connections occasionally unavailable. We are marking the maps "beta" to signify potential unreliability of the feeds (they are difficult to script and grab in this ECWMF test phase). I'm almost positive that when they run it it's with all of the correct and "current" data...they need to see how the model performs in real time...and that the unreliability is due to the fact that it's not operational and therefor not guaranteed to be run at a set time if at all. So when it runs I think it should be okay. Also, 12z run looks to be a bump NW on the op Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 At 96hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I'm almost positive that when they run it it's with all of the correct and "current" data...they need to see how the model performs in real time...and that the unreliability is due to the fact that it's not operational and therefor not guaranteed to be run at a set time if at all. So when it runs I think it should be okay. Also, 12z run looks to be a bump NW on the op Euro. ok thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 euro took a small step in the right direction, nw. Good day of model runs, hopefully this continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 euro took a small step in the right direction, nw. Good day of model runs, hopefully this continues yea I posted it @96hrs it's on page 3 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 ok thanksI will say that since no one knows how the parallel performs yet that using the op is my personal preference. And the op just came well NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 I will say that since no one knows how the parallel performs yet that using the op is my personal preference. And the op just came well NW A change I've noticed on all the models today is that the precip shield is beginning to take on more of a west to east alignment and is developing further north in the southern plains. Starting to see more precip in southern IN as well. This would definitely make a northward shift easier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Euro pretty far north still aways to go, but a nice improvement from 00z. DC crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ingyball Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 How likely is it for a Nw trend to continue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 for the ohio crowd euro shows about 5-6 for Dayton, 7-9 for Cincy, 3-4 for CMH, and OHweather in Athens getting about a foot. Drops off quickly to the nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miller.b.time Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 still aways to go, but a nice improvement from 00z. DC crushed This is the moment when I'm kicking myself for moving away from Central VA a few months ago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 When it comes to organized storms, the superbowl storm from last year was the final reminder of how these things can evolve. I'll take my chances with that. Wasn't that the storm that had us bullseyed for several straight days and then inside of 72 hours shifted everything to Chicago and Detroit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yup, even into now time. Amazing model bust. 48-72hrs, they had 12-18 here. 3 slushy inches in the end lol. would be interesting to see the set up on that. Although it wasn't showing the MA clocking this storm has been showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 The sucky thing about DC This is the moment when I'm kicking myself for moving away from Central VA a few months ago... the sucky thing about the DC/VA crowd is they have no place to go but down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 euro took a small step in the right direction, nw. Good day of model runs, hopefully this continuesDeja vu 2 ystrdy's 12z v 0z model runs. Some kind of data is getting ingested that is making the difference. I'd b willing 2 bet that tonight's 0z runs adjust back south again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Deja vu 2 ystrdy's 12z v 0z model runs. Some kind of data is getting ingested that is making the difference. I'd b willing 2 bet that tonight's 0z runs adjust back south again. Except for the fact that all the models came north. If it was just the euro, I'd probably agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Except for the fact that all the models came north. If it was just the euro, I'd probably agree.I thought they all went north at 12z ystrdy & then south at 0z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 I thought they all went north at 12z ystrdy & then south at 0z? you might be right. (except for the ukie) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 for the ohio crowd euro shows about 5-6 for Dayton, 7-9 for Cincy, 3-4 for CMH, and OHweather in Athens getting about a foot. Drops off quickly to the nw. This is the kind of look at 4 days out where I enjoy being on the northern fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miller.b.time Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The sucky thing about DC the sucky thing about the DC/VA crowd is they have no place to go but down Truth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Get ready for board slow downs. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 still aways to go, but a nice improvement from 00z. DC crushed This is the sort of snowfall placement similar to the Blizzard of 96, which, by the way, hit Columbus pretty hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 This is the sort of snowfall placement similar to the Blizzard of 96, which, by the way, hit Columbus pretty hard.My favorite. I was in Philly at the time. How much did Columbus get in that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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