JayPSU Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Sickening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 going to rule if DC gets 3' I'd be pretty shocked if that happens, at least at the official site. That would be pretty far above the current record holder and DCA tends to run low. Never say never in weather though. Actually would be kinda cool...has to be super rare to see a non lake effect/non mountainous major city get 3 feet of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Sickening the trend is north, but unfortunately it's also east. Pittsburgh went from 2-3" to a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brohnhdon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The 00Z NAM 4km is showing a significant shift about 75 miles north into central Ohio. The short-fuse high-res models (HRRR, NAM4, etc) seems to be keeping the primary low deeper, longer, and farther north into Tennessee tomorrow. I wouldn't totally rule out further shifting with the overnight and morning runs tomorrow. Global models aren't really applicable at such short range so I'm interested in whether or not the HRRR will trend north toward the 00Z NAM4 or if vice versa the NAM4 will jump back south like the current HRRR/RAP runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 actually that's probably about .5" for cmh Yep. You were right. Overplayed lol. But it's much closer than it was.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 the trend is north, but unfortunately it's also east. Pittsburgh went from 2-3" to a foot.Now that's a kick in the nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Now that's a kick in the nuts. still a better trend. Southeast OH gets crushed on the 4km NAM. OHweather: Pick up the white courtesy phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 still a better trend. Southeast OH gets crushed on the 4km NAM. OHweather: Pick up the white courtesy phone. Even more sickening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Even more sickening. 50 miles to get a foot of snow. Hell, maybe I'll drive down to see my daughter at OU, have all the benefits of a snowstorm without the aggravation of shoveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 50 miles to get a foot of snow. Hell, maybe I'll drive down to see my daughter at OU, have all the benefits of a snowstorm without the aggravation of shoveling.Can I come? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Can I come? Hell, looking at that map closer, you could probably hop on 270 and when you get around to the south end you'll be in 6" of snow and by the time you swing back up to Dublin, bare ground. That gradient is reminiscent of Dec'2004, (15 inches of snow on the west side and an ice storm on the east side). Unfortunately that means there's precedent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 50 miles to get a foot of snow. Hell, maybe I'll drive down to see my daughter at OU, have all the benefits of a snowstorm without the aggravation of shoveling. Here is the Athens cam I sometimes watch. It is live streaming, so we can all live vicariously through them. http://www.weatherusa.net/skycamnet/showcam.php?id=299 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Hell, looking at that map closer, you could probably hop on 270 and when you get around to the south end you'll be in 6" of snow and by the time you swing back up to Dublin, bare ground. That gradient is reminiscent of Dec'2004, (15 inches of snow on the west side and an ice storm on the east side). Unfortunately that means there's precedent.That would be crazy!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Even more sickening. That bullseye is right where I used to go deer hunting in Buckhannon, WV. Another snowstorm on a herd of deer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Just have to post this for the sake of amazement. I hope someone gets this much out near DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 still a better trend. Southeast OH gets crushed on the 4km NAM. OHweather: Pick up the white courtesy phone. I can't believe this spread so close in. I just did as close a review as I could off my phone and the 12z Euro was nailing 500mb heights across the board and other that actually being too slow with the surface low was nailing pressures ahead of the storm. So I don't see reason not to continue leaning towards Euro. HRRR doesn't look great at the end of its run either. Sticking with 2-4" for Athens right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GFS gives us a whole inch of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This clown map is way different from accuweathers lolThat map from Accu looked like it cut off at like 18z tmr, maybe it needs a few more minutes to come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 That map from Accu looked like it cut off at like 18z tmr, maybe it needs a few more minutes to come in.Yea that was 48hrs. His is 54. When I went back and went to 54 it looks similar but not totals like his lol. 48-60" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 48-52" near Dulles given the Kuchera calculations. Never seen map amounts like that outside of Sierra's and Cascade's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Just have to post this for the sake of amazement. I hope someone gets this much out near DC 50"+ from a strictly synoptic storm, outside of high elevation locations, would have to be some kind of record for the conus. I know there were some storms in the OV, like N0v1950 and even Dec.04, where places picked up 40+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yea that was 48hrs. His is 54. When I went back and went to 54 it looks similar but not totals like his lol. 48-60" gfs-null--conus-54-A-frozentot10.png More like lol dilly, that is initialized at 00z yesterday... Nice try though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 More like lol dilly, that is initialized at 00z yesterday... Nice try though Well it didn't update the map. It shouldve. It's out to 90 and still not initializing for tonight. Still saying Thursday. But it's accuwx. What do you expect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 4' and 40+ MPH winds. Would be the biggest storm in DC/Baltimore history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Well it didn't update the map. It shouldve. It's out to 90 and still not initializing for tonight. Still saying Thursday. But it's accuwx. What do you expect? It to not be posted when we have much better resources all around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Maybe heading to western VA right past the wv border. Looks like it shows upwards of 60" there. Think I'm going to chase it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Maybe heading to western VA right past the wv border. Looks like it shows upwards of 60" there. Think I'm going to chase it. You may not be able to get back until at least Monday honestly. This will be a wetter snow, and I can't imagine you'd want to try driving back through the mountains until they can clear the roads. I'm still gonna try to drive to Cleveland on Saturday and if the Euro or even GFS panned out it wouldn't be an issue, although if somehow the 4km NAM worked out I wouldn't even try to get out of here on Saturday...and that's with about 30% of the snow expected where you'll be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 You may not be able to get back until at least Monday honestly. This will be a wetter snow, and I can't imagine you'd want to try driving back through the mountains until they can clear the roads. I'm still gonna try to drive to Cleveland on Saturday and if the Euro or even GFS panned out it wouldn't be an issue, although if somehow the 4km NAM worked out I wouldn't even try to get out of here on Saturday...and that's with about 30% of the snow expected where you'll be My folks live north of Myrtle Beach and I make that drive through the western VA and southern WV a few times a year. I can't even imagine some of those mountain highways in those conditions. I imagine a large part of I-77 will be closed. Every hotel room will be booked in Wytheville, VA lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 My folks live north of Myrtle Beach and I make that drive through the western VA and southern WV a few times a year. I can't even imagine some of those mountain highways in those conditions. I imagine a large part of I-77 will be closed. Every hotel room will be booked in Wytheville, VA lol. I'm looking at Winchester Va. I'm checking hotels now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dayton1996 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I grew up in Richmond Va. That drive thru WVA on the WVA Turnpike and I 64 through those mountains is a no-no in bad weather. Stay safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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