mimillman Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 This is pretty sick... ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM ESTSUNDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAYTO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND WIND WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTINGSNOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. SLEET MAY MIX WITHTHE SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING EAST OF INTERSTATE95 BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO ALL SNOW BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 18 TO 24 INCHES IN THEEASTERN SUBURBS OF WASHINGTON DC...AND 24 TO 30 INCHES IN THEWESTERN SUBURBS. THE CITY OF WASHINGTON DC IS EXPECTED TORECEIVE AROUND 24 INCHES.* TIMING...HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON ANDCONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODETERIORATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW...STRONGESTWINDS...AND POTENTIAL LIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS EXPECTEDFRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE DANGEROUSCONDITIONS AND WILL BE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. TRAVELIS EXPECTED TO BE SEVERELY LIMITED IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE DURINGTHE HEIGHT OF THE STORM FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. VISIBILITYWILL BE REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.* WINDS...NORTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50MPH...BECOMING NORTH SATURDAY.* TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 20S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 NAM through 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 going to rule if DC gets 3' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 going to rule if DC gets 3' It's going to be even funnier when most of it melts over the following few days. Not that I'm bitter or anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 It's going to be even funnier when most of it melts over the following few days. Not that I'm bitter or anything. suppose to have a high of 46 on Tuesday. Hell most of our March 08 big dog lasted almost 2 weeks as arctic air set in afterwards. not that I'm bitter or anything....either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ingyball Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 So Should I just look forward to next year for good snow? What little bit of snow we got yesterday was melted due to the sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 going to rule if DC gets 3' Looks like almost a lock west of there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Not sure if this means anything... but they have extended the advisory areas northward... so I would take it that a model or models had to trim slightly north or arethey just covering their butts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 DC's detailed forecast on wunderground calls for 28" over the weekend. Sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 DC's detailed forecast on wunderground calls for 28" over the weekend. Sick The pinnacle of every weenie dream. They've hit the jackpot. Only thing sicker would be if arctic air followed this instead of a warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dustincollins Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 HRRR seems to be coming in even further North then the other models. It has been the most accurate the last couple systems so that has me pretty excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ingyball Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 HRRR seems to be coming in even further North then the other models. It has been the most accurate the last couple systems so that has me pretty excited. Though RUC has been going pretty far north too, but I've heard that's a bad model. What would help OH more than a northward shift though is a Delayed transfer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dustincollins Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Though RUC has been going pretty far north too, but I've heard that's a bad model. What would help OH more than a northward shift though is a Delayed transfer HRRR will be interesting with the transfer when it can read that far. This run looks to me like it jumps North very quick. It's not quite as far East when it gets to the MS/AL/TN border compared to most of the models. Gonna be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 HRRR will be interesting with the transfer when it can read that far. This run looks to me like it jumps North very quick. It's not quite as far East when it gets to the MS/AL/TN border compared to most of the models. Gonna be interesting. which site do you use for the HRRR? I use this http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/Welcome.cgi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 The pinnacle of every weenie dream. They've hit the jackpot. Only thing sicker would be if arctic air followed this instead of a warm up. I have a good friend from Mexico working at the Mexican embassy in DC. He started the job in November, and has never seen snow like this. Hell, *I* haven't seen snow like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 which site do you use for the HRRR?I use it on pivotal weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 HRRR will be interesting with the transfer when it can read that far. This run looks to me like it jumps North very quick. It's not quite as far East when it gets to the MS/AL/TN border compared to most of the models. Gonna be interesting. You guys are really grasping at straws here. If anything like this scenario occurred, it would be an epic bust for I-70, and that just is like a once in a lifetime type of bust, and we had ours in 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dustincollins Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 which site do you use for the HRRR? I use this http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/Welcome.cgi I switch between on here and the Accuweather Pro model page. Depends which loads the information quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dustincollins Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 You guys are really grasping at straws here. If anything like this scenario occurred, it would be an epic bust for I-70, and that just is like a once in a lifetime type of bust, and we had ours in 1996. Yeah, maybe. The HRRR has just been the most accurate for all of our systems here this year. I think it is probably much too far north but we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 stopp'n in to stoke the weenie fires with some gasoline ruc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 stopp'n in to stoke the weenie fires with some gasoline ruc I still felt comfortable leaning Euro this afternoon and went 2-4" for Athens and a little more in southern portions of the county but it would take such a small bump north that some models still show to give us considerably more so I'm a little more nervous than I'd like to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dustincollins Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 stopp'n in to stoke the weenie fires with some gasoline ruc I pick that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 stopp'n in to stoke the weenie fires with some gasoline ruc When I see things like this, it makes me wonder why some of these models are permitted to remain in existence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy12 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Wish I didn't run out of PCP! This way i could enjoy Buckeye's weenie statement! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brohnhdon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 When I see things like this, it makes me wonder why some of these models are permitted to remain in existence. That's a composite reflectivity map. None of that "precipitation" will make it to the surface. Nothing wrong with the RUC/RAP model at all...only the interpretation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 stopp'n in to stoke the weenie fires with some gasoline ruc Bustin' out the RUC. lol Meanwhile, the HRRR is probably more of a dose of reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NAM gave a little love to CMH. 2-3", which would be a major win at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 That's a composite reflectivity map. None of that "precipitation" will make it to the surface. Nothing wrong with the RUC/RAP model at all...only the interpretation.Got ya. Thx! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NAM gives cmh 2-3. Newark crowd close to 5". That's a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 NAM gives cmh 2-3. Newark crowd close to 5". That's a win. Screenshot_2016-01-21-21-11-24-1.png actually that's probably about .5" for cmh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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