wxdudemike Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Well, it did some funky things on this run. I'm not saying toss it, but perhaps it was a hiccup?6z hi res NAM is back south but not as south as 18z. I'd almost just go a tiny bit of North of the Euro at this point. Which would be kind of a blend of the 6z NAM and the Euro. Can't totally ignore the consistent Euro. Sent from my Nexus 5X using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 WPC is pretty far north with accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 Kind of looking like last night American runs were more of a wobble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Kind of looking like last night American runs were more of a wobble. Yeah, I never thought we'd see big snows out of this, was just hoping for a 3"-5" event. ILN keeping us in a 1"-3" category. Hedging their bets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 SREF's are boosting up in Ohio. CMH up to 6.3", ZZV up to 11.1" ILN: 8.0" SDF now 10.2" http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ a few monsters skewing the mean. One member gives us 34" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 KY/OH crew: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 ILN's snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I'm gonna have egg all over my face if this ends up giving us over 4", was pretty insistent yesterday that we wouldn't get more than 4" here 12z Euro will be critical as it still just showed a graze job and 2-3" last night...although some ensembles brought the heavier snow farther north last night. The ensembles don't have members tracking the surface low very far north but appear to do some magic with the UL that results in this. The para Euro has about 4" here....ensemble mean is about 8 or 9". I'm not too worried about SREF mean of 15" for PKB but this is more interesting than I was expecting to wake up to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 ILN just issed a WRHW A WEENIE RADAR HALLUCINATION WATCH FOR THE HIGH PROBABILITY OF RADAR HALLUCINATIONS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS A LARGE WINTERSTORM EJECTS NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST STATES. HALLUCINATIONS CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY AS A SHARP EDGED SNOW SHIELD WITH IMPRESSIVE DBZ BEGINS TO APPROACH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THE RECENT CRAPTASTIC WINTER CONDITIONS AND FREQUENT STORM MISSES INCREASES THE LIKELYHOOD OF MORE POTENT HALLUCINATIONS. AREA MOST SUSCEPTIBLE APPEARS TO BE ALONG AND 25 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR*****IF YOU ARE A WEENIE, PLEASE BE ADVISED AND STAY TUNED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 ILN just issed a WRHW A WEENIE RADAR HALLUCINATION WATCH FOR THE HIGH PROBABILITY OF RADAR HALLUCINATIONS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS A LARGE WINTERSTORM EJECTS NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST STATES. HALLUCINATIONS CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY AS A SHARP EDGED SNOW SHIELD WITH IMPRESSIVE DBZ BEGINS TO APPROACH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THE RECENT CRAPTASTIC WINTER CONDITIONS AND FREQUENT STORM MISSES INCREASES THE LIKELYHOOD OF MORE POTENT HALLUCINATIONS. AREA MOST SUSCEPTIBLE APPEARS TO BE ALONG AND 25 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR*****IF YOU ARE A WEENIE, PLEASE BE ADVISED AND STAY TUNED ILN just posted a weenie spotter on the Main Street Bridge downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Buckeye...when your landscaping days are in the rear view mirror...you need to write a book on the psychoneuroses of snow weenies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 ILN just issed a WRHW A WEENIE RADAR HALLUCINATION WATCH FOR THE HIGH PROBABILITY OF RADAR HALLUCINATIONS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS A LARGE WINTERSTORM EJECTS NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST STATES. HALLUCINATIONS CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY AS A SHARP EDGED SNOW SHIELD WITH IMPRESSIVE DBZ BEGINS TO APPROACH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THE RECENT CRAPTASTIC WINTER CONDITIONS AND FREQUENT STORM MISSES INCREASES THE LIKELYHOOD OF MORE POTENT HALLUCINATIONS. AREA MOST SUSCEPTIBLE APPEARS TO BE ALONG AND 25 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR*****IF YOU ARE A WEENIE, PLEASE BE ADVISED AND STAY TUNED LMAO!!! So true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 doesn't look like nam is going to save us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 doesn't look like nam is going to save us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Game over. Lol. NAM is within 36hrs. Congrats West Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Winter Storm Warning here tomorrow. I have seen forecasts for my to get as little as 3-6 inches of snow and as much 8-14 inches of snow. Somebody will bust hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy12 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Am i seeing things or is current radar suggesting that the system is slightly more north than what the NAM is suggesting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 it's starting^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 it's starting^ Not even sure why anyone in this forum is still following this. It was probably over 2 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 it's starting^ As a note I'd have to expect virga on the northern edge of things with dry NErly surface winds during the peak of the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Not even sure why anyone in this forum is still following this. It was probably over 2 days ago. for the love of the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dustincollins Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Ok just woke up. What am I missing. Looks like Hi-res NAM and SREF holding north. NAM and GFS coming in south? EDIT: appears RPM is sticking North too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dustincollins Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Also the Low right now does look quite a bit North of the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Ok just woke up. What am I missing. Looks like Hi-res NAM and SREF holding north. NAM and GFS coming in south? EDIT: appears RPM is sticking North too Louisville looks good for 4-6", but any shift S/E and you're looking at close to nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dustincollins Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Louisville looks good for 4-6", but any shift S/E and you're looking at close to nothing. Flip side of that and shift N/W we could be looking at a ton more. Gotta be optimistic. I'm feeling a 75 mile NW adjustment at the last minute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Also the Low right now does look quite a bit North of the models Take your weenie goggles off and then go look again. Also, see Buckeye's previous post from this morning regarding this condition. It's ok, you are going to be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Flip side of that and shift N/W we could be looking at a ton more. Gotta be optimistic. I'm feeling a 75 mile NW adjustment at the last minute I wish you the best of luck, but I doubt it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dustincollins Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I wish you the best of luck, but I doubt it happens. I doubt it as well but I'm not ready to give up until the HRRR gets it tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I doubt it as well but I'm not ready to give up until the HRRR gets it tonight. Smart thinking. That model has sniffed out some last minute shifts well around here this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 ILN just upgraded WRHW to a warning***FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST**** A WEENIE RADAR HALLUCINATION WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED. SPOTTERS HAVE CONFIRMED TWO HALLUCINATIONS, (see below), AS THE LARGE WINTERSTORM EJECTS NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST STATES. HALLUCINATIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE AND WORSEN NOW THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS A SHARP EDGED SNOW SHIELD WITH IMPRESSIVE DBZ BEGINS TO APPROACH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THE RECENT CRAPTASTIC WINTER CONDITIONS AND FREQUENT STORM MISSES ARE HELPING TO FUEL CURRENT AND LIKELY ADDITIONAL HALLUCINATIONS.PLEASE STAY TUNED AND LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES ************************************************************************** Also the Low right now does look quite a bit North of the models Am i seeing things or is current radar suggesting that the system is slightly more north than what the NAM is suggesting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.