OHweather Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The Euro ensembles lessened the pain of the crotch kick that was the op run...definitely enough members still NW of the op to hold on to some hope here, although more members did go south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The Euro ensembles lessened the pain of the crotch kick that was the op run...definitely enough members still NW of the op to hold on to some hope here, although more members did go south. Yeah, it doesn't look good. But all hope is not lost. Yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ingyball Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I was hoping this would be the storm I and my Texas weather friends dream about (18 inches of snow) Doesn't look like it's going to happen in Columbus. It hurts seeing it so close thought. Still hoping for that Nw Wobble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 I was hoping this would be the storm I and my Texas weather friends dream about (18 inches of snow) Doesn't look like it's going to happen in Columbus. It hurts seeing it so close thought. Still hoping for that Nw Wobble. 22" is our record snowstorm here so you might have long wait for that 18 incher. That being said, we tend to have our big dogs after mid Feb. Our 3 top ones were in late Feb, March, and April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Well, the 18Z GFS is pretty much identical to the 12Z run, so that helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Can we just one time get a decent snow..i would take 4 or 5 inches at this point...SO TIRED of being missed north..south..east..west!!! Still holding on to hope..but hope is fading fast!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 West shore Lake Michigan folks, how are we feeling about the LE? Models still hung on a band developing. Looks ok for a short window on the GFS. Would wait until higher resolution models get within range. Given these lake temps and -10°C 850mb levels, delta Ts would be around 15-16°C. This particular sounding looks good. No dry layer to speak of and stacked NE winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Got quiet in here. Their not buying the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Got quiet in here. Their not buying the euro. Bill Bradley has 3-6 for us..i would take it!! But not holding my breath!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Bill Bradley has 3-6 for us..i would take it!! But not holding my breath!! I think we will see some minor accumulations on that scale. The big snows will stay well south of us. Now it's just a question is it closer to 3" or 6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Steve, take comfort. The GFS is still our friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I think we will see some minor accumulations on that scale. The big snows will stay well south of us. Now it's just a question is it closer to 3" or 6"? At this point into this lousy winter..i would take either one!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Think of it this way, CMH only needs 3.4" to double their season total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Think of it this way, CMH only needs 3.4" to double their season total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 LOT with delta T concerns GUIDANCE HAS A SFC RIDGE OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AND A LOW LIFTING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE TENN VALLEY. THE BY-PRODUCT OF THIS WILL BE A STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST GRADIENT OVER LAKE MICHIGAN...WHICH CONTINUES TO POINT TOWARDS THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW DEVELOPING AND MOVING INTO THE CHICAGO METRO/NORTHEAST IL AREAS DURING THE DAY FRI. THE CHALLENGE MAY END UP BEING THAT THE LAKE SFC TO TEMPS ALOFT MAY NOT BE LARGE ENOUGH TO ALLOW STRONGER LAKE BANDING. Had the same thought after taking a quick glance. The airmass aloft just isn't that cold for this time of year. Maybe it'd be good if it was a couple months ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'll take the 0Z NAM, please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 00Z NAM looks juicier for OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'll take the 0Z NAM, please! Best run for us so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Praise the almighty NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 NAM looks hot for a good chunk of IN/OH. Even extreme srn IL does well. The NAM at least should handle the banding better for those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Score for 3 inches lol. Not a bad run for the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm gonna probably piss some people off by saying this but... it's the 84 hour NAM.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Oh you NAM. If you only weren't the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm gonna probably piss some people off by saying this but... it's the 84 hour NAM.... Yup. It's not in it's wheelhouse at 84. I think what's more important is the general trend and not the specifics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Yea it's the NAM. I gotta root for something lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm gonna probably piss some people off by saying this but... it's the 84 hour NAM.... Eh, part of it is more like 60-72 hours out, but even that is far enough out to not put too much faith in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Really holds onto the primary and pushes it further north than other models. That is something the NAM would sniff out early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The NAM out this far just is not good. I know it shows what you want, but just don't buy it and set yourself up to be pleasantly surprised if other models trend towards it. I've made this mistake too many times myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Really holds onto the primary and pushes it further north than other models. That is something the NAM would sniff out early. Hey, it happened in '96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 The NAM out this far just is not good. I know it shows what you want, but just don't buy it and set yourself up to be pleasantly surprised if other models trend towards it. I've made this mistake too many times myself. Most of the guys commenting on the nam tonight are like myself, they have been following weather and models many years before the eta even became the nam. But thanks for the heads up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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