wkd Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 HRRR output for total snow accum. as of 10am tomorrow. More snow to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet-Phase Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 It seems the north tick continues and the jackpot expands on the NAM and HIRES runs. Amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 RGEM just went N big time...crushes Philly then deforms over the burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 RGEM just went N big time...crushes Philly then deforms over the burbs. Image please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 RGEM just went N big time...crushes Philly then deforms over the burbs. Tidbits hasn't started loading it yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 When you guys get snowfall maps please post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 5.75" QPF? Lol, sig worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Radar to the south looks incredible and we haven't even gotten to the coastal yet. This is going to be huge. May end being just below 96 or maybe even match it. So much positives unfolding with the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 When you guys get snowfall maps please post.Happy you didn't end up chasing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 23, 2016 Author Share Posted January 23, 2016 HRRR and RAP are both obscene. 1-2"+/hr continuous thru their runs for SEPA starting around 6z-ish. HRRR (23z) gets heaviest around 17Z tomorrow which is end of its run and the deformation band is just starting to pivot at that time. Neither model is quite as far N with the heavy snow axis as the NAM. Radar looks like its gonna start puking by 1am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 NYC is happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 So weird, I guess the death band up N is really strong....The dry slot hurts Philly as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet-Phase Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 "If" it verifies by Sunday morning...it will be pretty astounding to learn if the global models lose out to the short range high res models in the end. NAM/ SREF may end up as winners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 NYC is happy. rgem_00Z_1-23-16.png Really hope those two brown spots end up connecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Really hope those two brown spots end up connecting.In my experience brown spots tend to run down and spread out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 23, 2016 Author Share Posted January 23, 2016 2z HRRR totals thru noon with deformation band just beginning to setup: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Thank you NYC forum... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Thank you yanksfan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 This is worth a look. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0056.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 This is worth a look. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0056.html That just came out right...23:02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Make that a 4-4.5" QPF max in the Lehigh Valley I need a beer now That would make up for all the events I've watched from the sidelines in the last 5-10 years, particularly Boxing Day. I swear, I was able to watch a wall of snow falling about 2 miles to the east of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 That would make up for all the events I've watched from the sidelines in the last 5-10 years, particularly Boxing Day. I swear, I was able to watch a wall of snow falling about 2 miles to the east of me. Boxing day was bad here too of course, I still want the payback for 2/6/2010 and Feb 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 From yanksfan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ABE SnowObserver Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 ABE airport: Midnight: 1.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadow_ Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 And to think couple days ago us in the lehigh valley were smacking our heads against the wall(can't find that emoji lol) thinking we were 20 miles away again. It's getting bad out there already and it just started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibet Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 ABE airport: Midnight: 1.7" Holy crap... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishmn Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 A little more than 1". Snowing moderately 23F. Saw a radar feed out of MD on TWC earlier. Clear gravity waves moving due north into DC. Nobody pointed it out but it was cool to see. Haven't seen those since PD II. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 heyo http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0057.html MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0057 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1108 PM CST FRI JAN 22 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN PA...CENTRAL/NORTHERN NJ...AND THE NYC METRO CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 230508Z - 231015Z SUMMARY...MODERATE/HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHWARD...IMPACTING EASTERN PA...NORTHERN/CENTRAL NJ...NYC...AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND OVERNIGHT. SNOWFALL WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...ESPECIALLY TOWARDS MORNING. RATES UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. DISCUSSION...AS AN 850-700 MB LOW CONTINUES TO DEVELOP/DEEPEN EAST TOWARDS THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE TONIGHT...INTENSIFYING ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL COMBINE WITH DEFORMATION ALOFT TO SPREAD MODERATE/HEAVY SNOWFALL NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE TRI-STATE AREA. SNOW HAS ALREADY OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING...BUT GENERALLY HAS REMAINED LIGHT/MODERATE IN INTENSITY. NONETHELESS...THE KDOX VWP EXHIBITS A LARGE/CYCLONICALLY LOOPED HODOGRAPH...INDICATING STRONG WARM-AIR ADVECTION WITHIN THE APPROXIMATE 1-4 KM LAYER TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION. MOREOVER...SFC OBS ACROSS SOUTHERN NJ SHOW PRESSURE FALLS AROUND 2-2.5 MB/HR...LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO THE AMPLIFYING WARM-AIR ADVECTION ALOFT. THUS...AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT FURTHER STRENGTHENS AND 850-700 MB FLOW INCREASES ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA...IMPROVED ICE CRYSTAL GROWTH/AGGREGATION PROCESSES WILL FAVOR SNOWFALL RATES UPWARDS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR LATE TONIGHT...MOST LIKELY AROUND 07-10Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 23, 2016 Author Share Posted January 23, 2016 On top of what has already fallen thus far with a bit more to come after this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Ugly dryslot. I guess this was to be expected? I wonder if we ever get back into the heavy stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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