Heisy Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I gotta run a quick errand, please post RGEM maps when they come out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Based on the B&W maps I bet RGEM jack pots close to Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Dare I say we're in touching distance of 1996? Eastern seaboard wise, I'd say yeah. The distribution of snowfall region wide in relation to amounts I'd say so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 framing this point and click for my hood: This Afternoon Cloudy, with a high near 29. Northeast wind around 9 mph. Tonight Snow, mainly after 8pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow after 4am. Low around 23. Blustery, with a northeast wind 10 to 15 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. Saturday Snow before 11am, then snow, possibly mixed with sleet between 11am and 2pm, then snow after 2pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. High near 30. Windy, with a northeast wind 25 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. Saturday Night Snow, mainly before 5am. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow, mainly before 8pm. Low around 20. Blustery, with a north wind 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 13 to 18 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Blower gas line problem fixed proceed with caution Mine started up on first pull Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Mine started up on first pull The one my next door neighbor started up ran well this morning. I already dropped the six pack and gas can on his front porch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Two questions: 1. What time are we expecting this to start falling in Philly? 2. What radar do you guys use? I always use COD meteorology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Compliments of Yoda..GFS PARA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kicking Up A Storm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Scroll back in the pages - I said multiple times that these storms get upped totals even as the event is unfolding. These storms almost always over produce. Newbcast FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yak Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yeah cause 18-26" really blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Sticking with my initial call from Monday. 16-24" region wide. Lollis of 30. Going to be one of the great storms of all time.Really solid call if you made this statement on Monday. Impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Blower gas line problem fixed proceed with cautionOutstanding and great to hear! Im concerned the height of this snow will exceed the height of my snowblower. I believe the clearance on mine is 26". Knew I should have purchased the 30" model! :-D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smitty97 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Blower gas line problem fixed proceed with caution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Dare I say we're in touching distance of 1996?Shhhhhh. Wait til tomorrow afternoon, see where we're at. And even then, shhhhhh. Its like mentioning a no-hitter in the 7th inning with 2 outs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yak Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I would remind the under 30 crowd that the all-time record snowstorm for PHL for the first 100 years of record keeping was 21 inches on December 25-26, 1909. I remember being amazed when that was barely surpassed in 1983. In less than 30 years after this, we surpassed it 3 times, obliterating by more than 8 inches twice in the past 20 years. This storm is FORECAST to surpass the snowfall record that stood for the first 100 years of record keeping and we're not even in the bullseye. Be grateful that this once in a lifetime storm is occurring (if you're over 30) for the 4th time in your lifetime. Relax, discuss and enjoy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Baltimore and DC have held that sweet spot for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Now the agonizing wait for it to start. Snow in Bel Air now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GFS has initialized! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I just want to say... it has been a pleasure tracking this one with you guys. Always is.The hype, the forecast, the experience. To me, nothing beats an East Coast winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 18Z rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I just want to say... it has been a pleasure tracking this one with you guys. Always is.The hype, the forecast, the experience. To me, nothing beats an East Coast winter storm. The way this sub forum has been going should show why we don't need to merge with any of the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kicking Up A Storm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 You know you're getting spoiled when you see the RGEM at 18" and wish for it to naff off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The RGEM's consistency worries me in the southern Poconos. However, it has consistently modeled the strength of the high pressure too high, so that's at least somewhat comforting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The way this sub forum has been going should show why we don't need to merge with any of the others. Why? Because we can analyze models, discuss, and banter. All in the same thread, with out meltdowns, and with out mods? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Why? Because we can analyze models, discuss, and banter. All in the same thread, with out meltdowns, and with out mods? Exactly. For LR threats I can just read the MA thread. For medium short range this place gets very active and it's enjoyable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Flurries just started here in Newark Delaware. So it begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The 2 low depiction shows up on GFS at 27 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The 2 low depiction shows up on GFS at 27 hrs. It's a weird evolution of the low but the precip still looks to move out just about in line with the nam so I don't know that it effects totals too much. Any way, I just want to say what an INSANELY awesome time I've had tracking this storm to the now almost start time with you guys. So much consistency from the day 7 to day 4-5. Then the rollercoaster up until maybe mid day yesterday where it has just trended SOO good for out entire area. It doesn't happen often and I'm going to enjoy the hell out of it. Tomorrow looks to be so epic. Cheers and good luck to all of you!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Really solid call if you made this statement on Monday. Impressive!On my phone and too lazy to find it but it was around the time folks were talking tempering expectations. (Expect 4-8 and if we get more be happy, which is a very fair statement). Once I saw all guidance behind the idea of a monster storm I was pretty much convinced despite the range. I believe I said 1-2ft+ is a fair starting point then narrowed it down as we got closer. Big widespread Miller a's historically have been nailed down many days in advance and this one was really was no different. Save for the folks that were on the fringe that went from 2ft to nada, this storm has region wide historical storm written all over. You did a good job as well pointing out this storm in the long term. Just gotta learn to not fold so easily I know people were on edge expecting something to go wrong with the winter we've had thus far but once I saw the H5 maps depicted and had a feeling unless the models were off incredibly, we'd see a huge storm. Great that many of us will be at or above normal for the year now after being in the one inch range so far. Time to sit back and take in the memories of what will be one of the greats of our lifetime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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