Heisy Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 From MA Forum; phl 1.6 I think that is up from 12z no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 1.6 for PHI per ma forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 i have 1.5 in PHL, for whatever that's worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 From MA Forum; phl 1.6 I think that is up from 12z no? yup, i believe it was 1.3 at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 i have 1.5 in PHL, for whatever that's worth. Can u get ABE By chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibet Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Can u get ABE By chance Second this if its possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 yup, i believe it was 1.3 at 12z.Well I'll take a 25% increase on the euro anyday!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 i can live with that when i heard out to sea and stuck at 12hr i was thinking .25-.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 So, is this Euro qpf with missing data, or? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 With all of the characters in this forum and anticipation for potentially a historic blizzard and now this happens, it's like an new Netflix Series, The Globals..as the model's churn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kicking Up A Storm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Right, I'm off to bed. Catch you lot when I wake up. Cheers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 i think that is with the missing data. I think. This is very annoying. I will try and get some more numbers as soon as I can, if i dont fall asleep first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The ECMWF is a tick north (but barely) on Wunderground at 33 hours. What the EC is probably simulating is something that tends to happen in systems where deep, moist convection is driving rather intense latent heat release aloft...the dry slot tends to drive thru faster and the TROWAL tends to form a tad farther N (or NW depending on upper level jet orientation). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 i think that is with the missing data. I think. This is very annoying. I will try and get some more numbers as soon as I can, if i dont fall asleep first. Cool, thanks. If that's the driest of the bunch, then not bad at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 So, is this Euro qpf with missing data, or? To be honest I am not seeing any missing data, but I know people in the MA forum said they are---maybe I'm missing something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 What the GFS/RGEM are simulating is the complete opposite...immense LHR aloft stalling the progression of the 500 hpa S/W trough through PV destruction, which keeps the deform band in place for hours. Tough call...it really is differences in model precip/convective/microphysics/physics schemes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 ok, i got it off wxbell, actually turned out to be a better run for our region, looks like lehigh valley 6-12 inches, 12-18 PHL and immediate burbs. more tomorrow, night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 ok, i got it off wxbell, actually turned out to be a better run for our region, looks like lehigh valley 6-12 inches, 12-18 PHL and immediate burbs. more tomorrow, night Nice, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LehighValleyDad Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 03Z SREFS are looking more north than 21Z .... will not complain here in the Lehigh Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 ...NAM is still destroying. It's gotta mean something. At-least a 50% compromise has to be right....there's no way CAD could completely cut everything off so quickly...like GFS is showing. And being so close to the Low as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Euro is north, EPS is north, sref's are north again, nam is coming in and it's going to be better than 0z. From hr 30 to 39 the low just sits off the coast of Ocean City, MD. E pa gets crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NAM clown map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NAM clown map Not right. Shows around 40 inches at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Not right. Shows around 40 inches at my house. I agree. It's ridiculous. But fun to look at never the less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Now this is the 4k NAM. Much more realistic. Pretty much in line with the Euro/cmc. GFS is kind of an outlier at least with regards to the northern fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Even if GFS is right, I still expect some of those rogue meso-bands to make it into parts of northern NJ to create havoc. Always happens with dynamic cutoffs like these. sleepy time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibet Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Winter storm warnings appear to be going out for east central pa now... just got an alert for northampton county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Just now: NBC10 still with 10-14". Philly on the fringe of 14-18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Radar looks good...precip is crawling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Bumped up to a Blizzard "warning" rather than "watch" just now in/around Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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