GD0815 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 yeah, sorry guys. based on the low location early on it looked bad, but sounds like it worked out. Panels frozen for me so I am still not seeing anything past 60 lol worked out might be an understatement, if this verifies it is a top 10 all time PHL storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Really, what the hell is wrong with that? those totals are not done either. there is more accumulating snow past that for all of our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18-24" SEPA, NJ northern Delaware we all good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 how you guys fancying almost 2.5 inches of qpf for PHL? i'll get an exact total in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 HR 96 snow total, and still have more to come. it doesn't look good if you have plans saturday.. Looks great! And kinda what I was expecting earlier today. Have to believe Euro will shift north a bit tonight. What was a further south low early on and what seemed like more confluence up north looked to mirror the Euro turned into an outcome we would hope for and expect of typical miller a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 storm total with only 10:1 ratios absolute bomb. can't get much better than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Definitely slower, with low still over delaware at 00z Sunday. More precip issues for SNJ as well, though they get thumped before it changes.The slower run allows the trough to get to negative, which allows it to hug the coast. This sucker just hangs out for the weekend.Shots fired at the euro.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 How is our wind thing going to pan out? That's a nice feature in a snowstorm...drifts are fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I Like Snow Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Reading some of these posts I feel like a child at Christmas who expects a PS4 and opens up an itchy sweater. 16 pages of reading and I need a Xanax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Another snow mp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Who knows if this will verify, but as modeled by the GFS this is a NESIS 5 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 storm total with only 10:1 ratios absolute bomb. can't get much better than this. WOW! Fantastic! Giddy up! Where is Ralph??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Reading some of these posts I feel like a child at Christmas who expects a PS4 and opens up an itchy sweater.16 pages of reading and I need a Xanax. Awesome!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 How is our wind thing going to pan out? That's a nice feature in a snowstorm...drifts are fun. blizzard warnings DC to NYC if this verifies. Crazy wind, coastal flooding will be an issue as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 There would need to be some serious confluence (far more then has been modeled) to keep system like this from moving up the coast. So glad to see this outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 How is our wind thing going to pan out? That's a nice feature in a snowstorm...drifts are fun. blizzard conditions for most of NJ and extreme SE PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 blizzard warnings DC to NYC if this verifies. Crazy wind, coastal flooding will be an issue as well. Yep, it does appear that way. Euro better not screw us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Again... Thanks to those who provided an accurate pbp analysis as it unfolded... Let's all follow that course from here out‼️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treckasec Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Hopefully in the end I don't end up mixing too much at least. Real great storm, but it'll be a little depressing to see big snow get washed away. Thursday will be a big model day, though tomorrow will be pretty big too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Canadian looks so juiced temps might be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 blizzard conditions for most of NJ and extreme SE PA Jersey is going to get rocked... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Again... Thanks to those who provided an accurate pbp analysis as it unfolded... Let's all follow that course from here out‼️ No digs please...I only commented on what I "thought" was not good due to low in the south. Should have known better. "Let the run finish". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 You guys know the chances of this verifying like this are very, very low right? Let's just take the north trend and run with it, and hope the EURO responds in kind... And also let's hope it doesn't go further NW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 What's different here is the closed low is a little slower to reach the coast, giving the confluence over Maine and SE Canada time to get out of the way, and the height rise off the entire Eastern seaboard is remarkable as a result. At 12z and 18z the 546dam contour basically parallels the coastline. At 00z, its practically over Lake Ontario, valid at the same time. Big difference and the low climbs the ladder as a result. Gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 You guys know the chances of this verifying like this are very, very low right? Let's just take the north trend and run with it, and hope the EURO responds in kind... And also let's hope it doesn't go further NW... Seriously?? This is something like 22 straight runs of the gfs....at the very least it has to be seriously considered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Fwiw mike masco reporting feedback problems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 If this verifies the Jersey shore is going to have a tremendous amount of damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Very possible new data with all the players on the field is yielding these changes that won't be known until the ECM comes out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Mike Masco is horrible. I guess the cmc had them too then because it supports the gfs. he just likes to hear himself talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Mike Masco is horrible. I guess the cmc had them too then because it supports the gfs. he just likes to hear himself talk. to be fair, the ggem is not as good for our area as the gfs, and does not have the same evolution (it seems to be playing with the idea of two low's again) EDIT-it is still pretty darn good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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