Rtd208 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Capture? The surface low is a direct spawn of the ULL. If the ULL was over the lakes and this was a seprate Southern stream shortwave then you would hope for a capture. That's not what's occurring here at at all. 48 hrs - CRUSHED!! Looks heavier than 6z at same hour lol. Slp captured and near DelMarVa. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 HR 60 looks impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 At hour 54 the low is NW compared to 06z. Remember, this is not NAM best range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Nam doesnt want to give up. A day away . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 This run basically held serve, surprisingly. Another awesome run, put simply Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Guess we agree to disagree.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 That's 4 in a row... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 HR 60 looks impressive .75 makes it to Hartford CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hour 63 snowing moderately. The snow was heavier on 0z and 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Could the nam be picking up what the SREFS are putting down? Hopefully but catious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 This run basically held serve, surprisingly. Another awesome run, put simply north side is much improved. ie - my area and north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Surface 72 vs 60, still ok, but much less expansive... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Say this for the NAM, it's been awfully consistent. Much more so than the GFS and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Nam doesnt want to give up. A day away .2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Maybe the beginning of some good news Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It's a very nice hit, but less snow because of the banding . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Nam doesnt want to give up. A day away . No, 2 days away for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hour 66, heavy snow in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Say this for the NAM, it's been awfully consistent. Much more so than the GFS and Euro. Do you agree with my h5 thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It's a very nice hit, but less snow because of the banding . Models really can't resolve banding at this lead - and the ridiculous banding the NAM was showing in earlier runs was ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 NAM good move north with northern extent, 1.5" QPF makes it to high point with less of an extreme northern cut-off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It's a very nice hit, but less snow because of the banding . If that means more of the area gets in on it, that's fine with me. The NAM has been curiously consistent. I wonder if we'll be able to get any true consensus in the penultimate runs of all models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hour 69 moderately heavy in the city. Backend approaching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Banding differences very evident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 This run ends up being much better in the end despite heights initially being lower. Part of it was probably that the trough overall was more amplified than 06z so the confluence was still able to get out of the way in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 2 feet in the city, most LI and NJ this run. I will say it again, not NAM's range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hour 72, the snow ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Surface 72 vs 60, still ok, but much less expansive... output_k8vQdH.gif That's because the lift was less compressed so you had a more expansive precip shield that was a little less intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Total precip 84 vs 72. Both cases it isn't completely done yet. Pulled back a bit, but still awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Do you agree with my h5 thoughts? Yes, early close off is bad... the dynamics associated with the closing off at 500 helps the storm gain latitude... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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