David-LI Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GFS run much better than 18z so far at 500 hour 42. Similar to NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GFS almost looks identical to NAM at 36hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 500mb low is deeper over MS/AL/TN by 45 Look at all that moisture. Primary now needs to hang on longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GFS looks great so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GFS is coming north, s/w much weaker, GFS digs deeper IMO Han even the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Thanks. Would you put greater emphasis on the 4k over the regular? Grid spacing (resolution). The NAM runs with 12 km grids (small resolution it uses to incorporate mesoscale features) where as the 4km uses a resolution of 4km. Ultra high resolution and used to pinpoint mesoscale banding and convective elements that the 12km Nam itself cannot see due to a lack of resolution .Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 @ hr 51 the heights are higher along the coast and the entire ULL is more amplified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 TROPICAL moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Let's hope the northern and western shield can expand more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 06z Saturday light snow to NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Wow. Low much further west now. Over NC and no longer over water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 @ hr 60 looks like the heights in NE are slightly higher as well. The entire ULL is much more amplified than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hour 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hr 60 mod snow to Phl Steady snow to Driscoll bridge. Light snow NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hr 60 mod snow to Phl Steady snow to Driscoll bridge. Light snow NYC looks warm no?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Might be some CFI with that massive blob out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 For the record, I know nothing about weather (bachelor's degree in Social Work, and Master's in Education), but since I am headed to NYC tomorrow-Sunday, I stumbled over here and have been fascinated for the last two days with all of this information. Most of these maps and half of what you all are saying make no sense to me, but I just can't stop following along with this! Welcome!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Track is so much better, but damn that northern precip is just destroyed. Doesn't make sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 21z Saturday Steady snow to NYC. Central and southern nj mod to heavy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It's likely not going to be like the NAM. At hr 66, snow is struggling to make it further north past LI, NAM had it to about I-84. The problem with the storm digging so much is it closes off too far south and is prevented from coming north further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 The event gets saved for nnj and NYC as the low occludes and ULL swings through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cjr231 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 There aren't much dynamics left to pull it north when it closes so early like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Wow. Low much further west now. Over NC and no longer over water Obviously if this was to verify it would cause precip type issues into the city thus lowering snowfall amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Well the snow actually makes it decently far North but it's all from the deformation band on the back end as everything pulls away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 NYC around .75 Nw .50+ Ttn and snj over 1.00+ As yanksfan said the qpf gets further north just not very heavy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 NYC around .75 Nw .50+ Ttn and snj over 1.00+ As yanksfan said the qpf gets further north just not very heavy NYC around .75 Nw .50+ Ttn and snj over 1.00+ As yanksfan said the qpf gets further north just not very heavy What was 18Z? Seems like a step down. Im going with the NAM GFS blend until the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 This run is actually a improvement snow wise from 18z for everyone. Phl and se PA are buried 4-8 for the metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Does anyone think that massive blob just offshore is wrong in regards to the GFS?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Any CFI issues? Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GFS also has an annoying warm layer at 850 as the snow moves in. With the low occluded and warm air wrapping in, I guess it can't be discounted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.