Blizz Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I think Euro is taking steps back towards GFS like it did in the "blizzard" last year. I don't think we are done trending yet... Looked like it wanted to come further north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Will be interesting to see what the Euro ensembles show later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Wind and erosion? I think he meant mixing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I think he meant mixing.. It does look really windy on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Much better run than 12z, but very sloppy for many of us here. I believe this run would actually be 4-8" of snow with mixing holding down snow totals.....well SW of here big, big snowstorm....blizzard of 96 totals. This is sure going to be one hell of a storm to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 12-14 inches for the city verbatim on wxbell. Huge improvement. Eurowx shows half that for the city. 2-4" north of the city. It may have introduced mixing into the game for NYC/coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 To quote Mt Holly: " PLANING SHOULD NOW BE TAKING PLACE TO MINIMIZE THE ADVERSE IMPACT OF WHAT "MAY" BE A TOP 5 COASTAL FLOOD EVENT IN OUR RECORD KEEPING, DATING BACK THROUGH AT LEAST THE 1940S." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I think he meant mixing.. Coast (much of Long island and Jersey shore) looks great for snow. 12 plus inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Coast (much of Long island and Jersey shore) looks great for snow. 12 plus inches. Not on the 0z Euro verbatim.. Draws in warm air after occlusion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Any sense whether it's 25, 50 or 100 miles more North Forky?i can't tell too well on my maps but the metro area added an inch to its 12z precip total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Wind and erosion?coastal flooding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Not on the 0z Euro verbatim.. Draws in warm air after occlusionyeah, city right at freezing at 850 at 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Still a decent sized storm but nothing like what we thought of. That's only if the Euros evolution is correct, however weather agencies are dismissing it almost entirely. If we see the same by the 12z runs with the gfs following then maybe it has a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Not on the 0z Euro verbatim.. Draws in warm air after occlusion Still a foot which is great. coastal flooding Very strong winds on every model tonight. Not good at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 coastal floodingForky, do you think euro is correct or will gfs lead the way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Still a foot which is great. Very strong winds on every model tonight. Not good at all. Highly doubt it shows a foot, mixing is in play now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 i can't tell too well on my maps but the metro area added an inch to its 12z precip total I'm just going off the snow map posted in banter. Maybe it's counting sleet as snow. Regardless, a better run than 12 Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 That's only if the Euros evolution is correct, however weather agencies are dismissing it almost entirely. If we see the same by the 12z runs with the gfs following then maybe it has a clue. No, they threw out the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 To quote Mt Holly: " PLANING SHOULD NOW BE TAKING PLACE TO MINIMIZE THE ADVERSE IMPACT OF WHAT "MAY" BE A TOP 5 COASTAL FLOOD EVENT IN OUR RECORD KEEPING, DATING BACK THROUGH AT LEAST THE 1940S." wow, thats down right chilling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Would like to know why so much discrepancy in the maps. I'm just happy that Forky is happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 wow, thats down right chilling. Will everyone believe it though? The media should talk more about the coastal problems this storm may cause more than the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 No, they threw out the 12z run.I would guess the GFS is going to be more heavily weighted as or now. My opinion? Take the Gfs and euro, and compromise. I say it tucks in about 75 miles east of ACY and this is going to ride up the eastern seaboard. DC to NYC and into Connecticut need to prepare for a potentially crippling storm. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Will everyone believe it though? The media should talk more about the coastal problems this storm may cause more than the snow.I would, especially what happened after sandy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Hazardous Weather OutlookHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 127 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016 CTZ009>012-NJZ006-104-106-108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-210630- SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX- SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX- EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 127 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. A MAJOR WINTER STORM IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE HEAVY SNOW...STRONG WINDS...AND SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 i can't tell too well on my maps but the metro area added an inch to its 12z precip totalGotcha, copy that. Your scientifically cynical mind Tells you that the euro is moving towards the GFS? The hobbyist is very excited about the snow but I'm beginning to get deeply concerned about the threat to life in the area. This storm is most certainly not a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 If this holds probably WSWatches and probably blizzard watches accompanied with coastal flood watches by midnight, if not 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 To quote Mt Holly: " PLANING SHOULD NOW BE TAKING PLACE TO MINIMIZE THE ADVERSE IMPACT OF WHAT "MAY" BE A TOP 5 COASTAL FLOOD EVENT IN OUR RECORD KEEPING, DATING BACK THROUGH AT LEAST THE 1940S." Yes this is the threat that's being overlooked most. Full moon and 60mph winds with a huge fetch is 1992 stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Tonight is rally time. 27 championships style , not like that crap team from queens. The comeback starts now. Good luck BUMP BLIZZARD INCOMING. GOOD NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 BUMP BLIZZARD INCOMING. GOOD NIGHT. Wow, you are generally a pretty conservative poster here. Im feeling alot better about this attm where Im at too (20ish miles NW of Philly). I definitely take your stand on this to heart. Thanks for posting your thoughts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Huge, sharp cutoff north and west of NYC on the Euro. The Euro is 3-4 inches for my area in Rockland County, north and west of Rockland, even less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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