UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Much more organized, really amped up compared to 00z, even more so than GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Much more organized, really amped up compared to 00z, even more so than GFSStill going to come in south, the current position is south of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Euro is super slow... Nowhere near as slow as any of the other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Much more organized, really amped up compared to 00z, even more so than GFS Wow, if that's true, lol to the Euro's inconsistency. Slower is probably good, since it gives more time for the confluence to move away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Wow, if that's true, lol to the Euro's inconsistency. Slower is probably good, since it gives more time for the confluence to move away. Doesn't help if it's as south as euro shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 It's really digging... 500mb lows pretty far south, but the time frame may allow it to ride, either way it's an outlier as of now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 It's really digging... 500mb lows pretty far south, but the time frame may allow it to ride, either way it's an outlier as of nowNot according to Upton it's not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 day 3... Very south 5 h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 it's north of 12z for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 By 12z Saturday, VA has 24 inches of snow already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 AccuWeather board shows low at 96 hours just off DelMarVa - looking good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 It's a pretty nice hit through HR 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 it's north of 12z for sure Great run for Dc folks, not a great run for us This is where it gets annoying. Maybe only one or two should give PBP's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 it's north of 12z for sureAny sense whether it's 25, 50 or 100 miles more North Forky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 it's north of 12z for sure This. It's east of Delmarva at 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Not THAT horrible for our area. About a foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 This run of the Euro is way better than 12z. It shows about a foot of snow for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 This run of the Euro is way better than 12z. It shows about a foot of snow for the area.Clearly then a huge step in right direction. 4get bout QPF, dynamics better, placement and confluence decreasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Euro is ALL over the place with this storm Major timing issues compared to other models, I can see why it was discounted. This is last winters Juno all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 12-14 inches for the city verbatim on wxbell. Huge improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The cold air sort of runs out and becomes stale. A closed off, occluding storm will wrap warm ocean air around it. Especially for heavy prolonged snow at the coast, you want it to occlude later. The Euro digging so much causes the storm to occlude too soon, likely creates a nasty dryslot and wraps warm ocean air in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 this run is very bad for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 this run is very bad for the coast Can you elaborate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 this run is very bad for the coast Beach erosion, mixing issues, or both? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Overall the gfs has a much better handle on this and it's waffling for the past few runs regarding precip extent is typical of most models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 We're still 3 days out people.. All we need to care about is that the 00z suites trended north.... Lets continue that again tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 this run is very bad for the coast Wind and erosion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 It doesnt matter what type of liquid falls on the coast, there will be a lot of it. With heavy rinds sustained for 40 hours, full moon high tide and storm surge...its going to be bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Very tight gradient over Long Island and the Jersey Shore at HR 96. Almost sustained at 50 KTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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