Superstorm93 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 The cmc is absolutely insane Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 We are certainly going to have run to run changes, so no one should expect the models to lock onto a solution at this point. Also, no one should be expecting a 20" snowfall either. Like I said in the banter thread, give me a solid 8-12" snowstorm and I will be very happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 All the GFS needed to do was close off on that run. The lead vort was stronger and made it harder for Heights to recover. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 That 12z GFS really shafts us up here lol Yeah 2"er for you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 GGEM crushes... Btw the GGEM was the first to show this storm, days ago, it wavered a bit on Friday before coming back full force with it.... I fully expect to see every possible solution print out on models between now and next Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Cmc is a monster! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 All the GFS needed to do was close off on that run. The lead vort was stronger and made it harder for Heights to recover. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk this is part of the pac jet problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Snows for 24+ hours on both the GFS and CmC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Three runs--- three step downs...... verbatim Hello Dorman i know u are in the progressive camp, but do u think we could still see a light snow event in an open wave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 When do we walk the dog???? WOOF my azz no flame wars .....we out till next weekend enjoy the tracking you all know where I stand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Hello Dorman i know u are in the progressive camp, but do u think we could still see a light snow event in an open wave? Define light---JK of course..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 When do we walk the dog???? WOOF my azz no flame wars .....we out till next weekend enjoy the tracking you all know where I stand I haven't a clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 My God, the GGEM is 2-3" LE all frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 When do we walk the dog???? WOOF my azz no flame wars .....we out till next weekend enjoy the tracking you all know where I stand I'm not sure anyone really knows where you stand to be honest. You post random maps and one-liners but never truly lead people to believe where you stand. I'm sorry but I'm clueless as to your true take on this potential storm. I assume since u posted about the GFS getting weaker each run you expect it to fizzle with a weak wave headed OTS? I'm not sure, I can't read you nor decipher your lingo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Something magical is coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Define light---JK of course..... Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 You have to be careful what you wish for the 12Z Canadian if it verifies will cause precip type issues in the southern half of the metro and points south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Anyone have the ukmet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I'm not sure anyone really knows where you stand to be honest. You post random maps and one-liners but never truly lead people to believe where you stand. I'm sorry but I'm clueless as to your true take on this potential storm. I assume since u posted about the GFS getting weaker each run you expect it to fizzle with a weak wave headed OTS? I'm not sure, I can't read you nor decipher your lingo. Ralph please don't bash me like that I put in hard work here.... just go back a few pages I showed the PAC flow and said this system was a hiccup didn't shy away from any of GFS totals (posted them all) please read back thanks we out tommy e Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 You have to be careful what you wish for the 12Z Canadian if it verifies will cause precip type issues in the southern half of the metro and points south and east Even the biggest blizzards like 96' and PD2 had some taint issues for a period of time. It comes with the territory if you want the big ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I have no idea why people are worried about precipitation types when we don't even have details at H5 figured out. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Even the biggest blizzards like 96' and PD2 had some taint issues for a period of time. It comes with the territory if you want the big ones. that's for sure I was living in northern Ocean County during the 96 Blizzard and we started mixing with and changed to sleet in the afternoon and ended up with about 20 inches compared to the 25 - 35 inches further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Crippling snowstorm perhaps blizzard for East coast on CMC.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Even the biggest blizzards like 96' and PD2 had some taint issues for a period of time. It comes with the territory if you want the big ones. Yeah in ocean county and temps were in the teens to start in most places. The gfs solution makes more sense anyway. 4-8" not because of mixing but because of a fast moving scraper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yeah in ocean county and temps were in the teens to start in most places. The gfs solution makes more sense anyway. 4-8" not because of mixing but because of a fast moving scraperHuh? It snows for over 24 hours on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Huh? It snows for over 24 hours on the GFS. Most is light. The bulk falls in 12-18 hours. Can you recall a storm that gives 5" of snow in 24 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I have no idea why people are worried about precipitation types when we don't even have details at H5 figured out. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Agreed 100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 The CMC is an awesome hit. The best thing about a solution like that is that it would make everyone happy. Widespread 15-25" of snow with amounts up to 3 feet in the interior. The only thing we can be sure of at this point is that the solutions on the models will change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Ralph please don't bash me like that I put in hard work here.... just go back a few pages I showed the PAC flow and said this system was a hiccup didn't shy away from the any of GFS totals (posted them all) please read back thanks we out tommy e Just for the record, I didn't bash you. If you took it that way, I apologize, it wasn't my intention. I seriously dont understand you half the time tho. You say "a 6 inch storm in the month of January will be hard to come by" thus not truly making a call and being correct whether or not it happens. Forky on the other hand made a call that he supports and is very easily understandable. Again, I just have a tough time deciphering your posts, nothing personal. I respect what you do here and the time you put in. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 CMC ensembles is a good hit for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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