PB GFI Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Rjay, forky s words resonate... Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Consolation prize I guess , Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The interesting thing is that the ratios will be the above the typical 10:1 with this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 12z JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Lol.. allsnow gets buried this run. He's cold enough to support snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Cobb snow algorithm is 18" with a 13:1 overall ratio for NYC 1/22-24. This is up from 5" yesterday and is the second run like this. Also when the second storm on Jan. 28 is thrown in, the GFS has a long narrow, discontinuous stretch of 30"+ off the scale snow totals showing for the whole 384hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Rjay, forky s words resonate... Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Again, high class problem. Forky is describing the rare storms where DC is 18-24 and NYC is only 12-18. You take that to the bank EVERY TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 1-1.75 " QPF region wide (all of NJ is 1" +). Snows from 117-150 in NYC. WAA always starts earlier, bump up starting time if so. 2" QPF is closing in on South shore of LI. These events always start earlier and end earlier.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 12z JMA Wow. Just impressive. That'll be quite a Blizzard from SNE to DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Consolation prize I guess , Lots of time brother, I just meant for today. They are good forecasters and saw the trends today. Trends will switch a bit tomorrow and later today, no doubt. Takeaway is this is a monster DC to Boston... Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jan17 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Lots of time brother, I just meant for today. They are good forecasters and saw the trends today. Trends will switch a bit tomorrow and later today, no doubt. Takeaway is this is a monster DC to Boston... Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Keep in mind, it's the difference between 12-18" and 2 feet, but the occlusion could screw somebody over relatively speaking. Also, you want the stall to be offshore, if it sits on the Delmarva coast for too long, warm air could affect the coast somewhat from ENE winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Looks like Euro, ukmet, jma all look similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jan17 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Lots of time brother, I just meant for today. They are good forecasters and saw the trends today. Trends will switch a bit tomorrow and later today, no doubt. Takeaway is this is a monster DC to Boston... Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jan17 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 the latest 12z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rittenhouse Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 We probably should not be focusing on exact snow totals or even where exactly the low closes off right now. The shortwave associated with this storm will not make landfall in Pac NW until Wednesday. It's best to think in terms of probabilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 the latest 12z euroAnd that's with 10:1 ratios, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Lots of time brother, I just meant for today. They are good forecasters and saw the trends today. Trends will switch a bit tomorrow and later today, no doubt. Takeaway is this is a monster DC to Boston... Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Think 6 - 12 max . So if you bust to 4 to 8 , you are not heart broken . You can`t think 20 until you are 24 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Again, high class problem. Forky is describing the rare storms where DC is 18-24 and NYC is only 12-18. You take that to the bank EVERY TIME. Yup. It worries me that the models may be over doing precip after it occludes due to weakening dynamics but we'll see. I'll take what I can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 the latest 12z euro Colts neck ftw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 And that's with 10:1 ratios, too. I think you have to think 10 to 1 esp on the coast here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I think you have to think 10 to 1 esp on the coast hereYeah, plus winds cut them down too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I think you have to think 10 to 1 esp on the coast here Our ratios inland may help us a bit of the euro verify, should be 12-15:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yup. It worries me that the models may be over doing precip after it occludes due to weakening dynamics but we'll see. I'll take what I can get. We have 1 inch this year. A 3-5 event would make me happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Colts neck ftw! I would love to be anywhere between Martinsburg and Morgantown . Prob 25 inches in there . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 JMA is better Than euro... Drops 16-24" for everyone in this forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I wouldnt be shocked if they issue blizzard watches for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I wouldnt be shocked if they issue blizzard watches for the area.more or so on the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I wouldnt be shocked if they issue blizzard watches for the area.Not this early brother Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I wouldnt be shocked if they issue blizzard watches for the area.Wednesday night if all holds serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.