USCG RS Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I'm already into the one behind this.Oh come on my cryptic friend.. Would that be a yes? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Are you biting yet? Hard not to bite when the major globals are converging on a track this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I'm already into the one behind this. Another Miller A for Jan 27th. The El Niño powerhouse is here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 GGEM is eye candy for us interior guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Oh come on my cryptic friend.. Would that be a yes? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Hey man this is just gonna be your rum of the mill canonical 1998 blizzard. It's only 4 days away. I think it's safe to say a warning event will occur with the potential for a crippling blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 my worry is that this occludes too fast and we get a dryslot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acvyse Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Another Miller A for Jan 27th. The El Niño powerhouse is here. Gees. Now we are using a crystal ball....let's start with tomorrow's weather instead of jumping the gun. This is why people run out to the stores to buy every canned good they can find. It's like a doomsday prophecy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 GGEM is eye candy for us interior guys Mixing at the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 my worry is that this occludes too fast and we get a dryslot Occluding too fast is definitely a concern of mine too. Im not sure we'd fully dryslot but the ccb would turn off. To be honest my biggest concern is this still sliding off to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 my worry is that this occludes too fast and we get a dryslot That's always a concern when it closes off too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Mixing at the coast? Yes, to put it simply. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 my worry is that this occludes too fast and we get a dryslotYeah, that is certainly something to watch down the line, it's the reason why there are like 3' amounts in the MA and noticibly less as you go east. Ideally you want everything to come together a bit later than currently shown so we get the better dynamics and not an occluded mess by the time it gets to our longitude (like Boxing day did for NE) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 my worry is that this occludes too fast and we get a dryslot But that is also more prevalent with a stalling storm and folks in the NE quadrant get slotted, a la Jan 2000. Even Boxing Day screwed a bunch of SNE. This does not look to be in that camp yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 UKMET just joined the party with a gorgeous 987 MB hugging the Southern Delmarva Coast. Again, all those concerned about this being too far south, there is reason for concern. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&hh=120&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=120&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 UKMET just joined the party with a gorgeous 987 MB hugging the Southern Delmarva Coast. Again, all those concerned about this being too far south, there is reason for concern.Idk, GEM erases thise concerns and then some. LI flrips to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 So far with the 12z suite, there has been a clear move to the N/W in the low and precip shield and precip type worries for S NJ coast and LI...we'll see if that continues. Surprised, thought we would see that move the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 GEM is usually the least reliable of the major models. Idk, GEM erases thise concerns and then some. LI flrips to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 my worry is that this occludes too fast and we get a dryslotI thought your worry was suppression/ots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Ukmet looks good. Was flat last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 WB Canadian map has 22 inches for Central Park Idk, GEM erases thise concerns and then some. LI flrips to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 So far with the 12z suite, there has been a clear move to the N/W in the low and precip shield and precip type worries for S NJ coast and LI...we'll see if that continues. Surprised, thought we would see that move the other way. LI is fine . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Pretty remarkable consensus at this stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Steve , time to add the UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Steve , time to add the UKIE And the JMA.. I'll update when the ECM comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Steve , time to add the UKIEUkie tucks right in on the delmarva if I'm looking correctly. It tis small on me phone, ha. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 GEM is usually the least reliable of the major models. GGEM was the most reliable long term IMO last season, and the RGEM was most reliable short term Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 my worry is that this occludes too fast and we get a dryslot That is my main concern as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The configuration just screams "Top 10 North East storm" The analog for this setup is one that I won't even bring up since its so...prolific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 12z GGEM is faster and tucked in compared to the GFS. Both are solid hits for all but obviously the GGEM would pose a concern for mixing issues near the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.