F5TornadoF5 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 At 102hrs a ton of juice coming from the gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 This is going to be a much better run than 06z. It still has two closed contours at the same time the 06z run was opening back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acvyse Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Resolution. The model has a very tough time resolving Long Island because of how the grid spacing is determined within the model. It treats the Island as part of the ocean. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk I wouldn't say that, necessarily. Grid spacing would just about be even at that latitude. At 0.5 degrees, you can resolve Long Island. But none of us really know unless you look at the model land mask which none of us have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Does the 2 closed contours a good or bad thing for coastal guys? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Very heavy snow overspreads the entire region by midnight on Friday night. You're going to want to save this run for the archives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The system stalls east of the DE Bay on Saturday. CCB overhead. 1-2 feet for everyone with lollies to 3 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Wrap around snows all the way back into Central PA on Saturday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Euro looks more probable than the models that slam areas much further N&W. I still fear that it may continue to shift further south. I definitely agree that missing to the south is a far greater concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Beautiful storm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 1-2feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 From the latest trends suppression seems to be becoming less of an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Not sure if it can get prettier than that...wide spread blizzard conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Stalls for 6 hours off the coast of NJ in a loop then jumps to BM. Snows until Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 From the latest trends suppression seems to be becoming less of an issue. Storm will have a large circulation so you don't have to be too close to the low like during Boxing Day to reap the benefits of the CCB, which gives us a lot more wiggle room if the low adjusts further S&E. The gfs is kinda giving me the vibes of a less severe 96 storm with its snowfall distribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 When is the system forecast to be over the US to get better sampling? Next 24 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 This would probably support 30-50MPH surface winds with heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Not sure if it can get prettier than that...wide spread blizzard conditionsThose are winds at 850mb, which would show a very impressive moisture feed coming in from the Atlantic. Surface charts show 30+ knot winds, which would result in likely blizzard conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 When is the system forecast to be over the US to get better sampling? Next 24 hours? Will be entering the US around 00z Wednesday so should have a better sampling for those runs and the 12z Wednesday runs for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Will be entering the US around 00z Wednesday so should have a better sampling for those runs and the 12z Wednesday runs for sure. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Will be entering the US around 00z Wednesday so should have a better sampling for those runs and the 12z Wednesday runs for sure. That will be the crucial info. All about placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The GGEM is a bit further inland but epic nevertheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Looking at the 500mb charts, this has similarities to Jan 1996. This upcoming system looks a little weaker than 1996 was, but there are matches to the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 The GGEM is a bit further inland but epic nevertheless. Where does the low pass at our lattitude? Inland in SNJ, Scrapes coast, W of Benchamark? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Beautiful storm: Would you mind posting the next couple of frames please? Many thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Not sure if it can get prettier than that...wide spread blizzard conditions It's a Picasso . You will not see it modeled any better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rittenhouse Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Those are winds at 850mb, which would show a very impressive moisture feed coming in from the Atlantic. Surface charts show 30+ knot winds, which would result in likely blizzard conditions. The latest GFS shows at least 12 hours of blizzard conditions in NYC. People are paying too much attention to the snow, but the wind is the big story here. We're talking about the potential for blizzard warnings along the entire I-95 corridor, from DC to Boston. 1996 did not have the kind of wind the GFS is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 It's a Picasso . You could not draw it any better.If Euro shows this again, many will start to get happy Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 It's a Picasso . You could not draw it any better. Are you biting yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Are you biting yet? I'm already on to the one behind this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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