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February Pattern Disco


40/70 Benchmark

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:lol: These forums used to span the entire eastern seaboard.

And man for folks that love weather, you can't understand people focusing on areas where they don't live?

We remember this when you are looking for marathon weather for an area you don't live in. That's similar to someone going skiing or traveling and curious about the weather where they are going.

Im coming up first weekend in June. Forecast please?
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CNE (and perhaps N of pike elevations in SNE) should still watch that 2/20 wave...as Tip alluded to, there could be a sneaky little meso-setup there where you get a WAA band.

 

Best spot still looks like that Rutland-Powderfreak-Rangeley-IZG-CON quad...but keep an eye just south of that if it comes in a tad colder.

 

 

The 2/24 and beyond period is definitely interesting. We have a rapidly building +PNA/-EPO couplet ridge being fed by a massive Aleutian vortex...so there's gonna be some chances and some colder temps filtering down....the AO looks to go solidly negative too out near end of month into early March.

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not to over state the 120 hour  ... that's a decently proportioned polar high in its own rite, and its retreat is more N of due E.

 

that's a critical difference in preventing warm penetration to inland areas.  We'll see how the models break over the next 24 hours.  The Euro is appearing to be the coldest/more wintry optimistic of all - 

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There is a clear distinction between discussing an upcoming weather pattern and getting into the minutia of model output. I think most can figure that out.

Pin the model thread and un-pin one of the two threads for the HV Runner.... it's definitely easier when the model thread isn't buried 10 deep.

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I feel partly responsible for the last several pages of this Pattern discussion thread going into model specifics. 

 

First of all, there is a HUGE difference between discussing model outputs, trends and differences between cycles and versus one another, to that of using broader canvased teleconnector reasoning to create an opinion about a month's pattern.   Those two are getting confused in a smoldering hostility by nascent posters. 

 

Secondly, I asked the other day if the Model thread should not be re-pinned, - but , heh, I didn't get a response either. So I started discussing models and patterns conjointly here.   ;)

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