MaineJayhawk Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 After winds go to near normal. Forecast stronger zonal flow again. Vortex returns. http://ozonewatch.gsfc.nasa.gov/meteorology/wind_2015_MERRA_NH.html Again with the condescending tone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2016 Author Share Posted February 14, 2016 lol at the two of you bickering over a few tenths of an inch of snow he had the blizzard..he wins Yea, this always was going to he, and has been a MA winter. Case closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2016 Author Share Posted February 14, 2016 Lol me too. I think you and I butt heads like three times per week I don't see what the big deal is....still a lot of good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Weenie gfs op run today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Weenie gfs op run today. Monster EPO ridge on 12z GEFS too. That thing just keeps building almost to the pole through the end of the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 I know it's 360 hours out but the GFS wants to do the Leap Day snow event thing for a third year in a row. That'd be pretty remarkable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 After winds go to near normal. Forecast stronger zonal flow again. Vortex returns. http://ozonewatch.gsfc.nasa.gov/meteorology/wind_2015_MERRA_NH.html Scott, What do you mean by this? in your words a lot more winter type storms still to come? (I don't have the knowledge to read link that well...over my head!) thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Monster EPO ridge on 12z GEFS too. That thing just keeps building almost to the pole through the end of the run Been a nice active signal on all models too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Hope the long range is looking good, it'll be the last time I ask. Thanks to the incessant childish bickering instead of scientific discussion, and Scott's relentless condescending tone, I'm gonna delete this account and get a more productive hobby. Like, you know...anything else. I wanted to learn, but not this way. Good riddance folks You seem to want people to teach you like they are your personal tutor and throw an insult tantrum when it's not exactly how you want. There's a ton of free info here. One trick you can use is just go directly to your favorite user's posts feed. Like for example: orh_wxman posts that way you can skip the chatter/banter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Scott, What do you mean by this? in your words a lot more winter type storms still to come? (I don't have the knowledge to read link that well...over my head!) thanks Just that the vortex in the stratosphere probably comes back to a point. However, the signal of disturbing the vortex is still there on ensembles. To be honest, it doesn't really matter in the grand scheme of things. We are at the mercy of the Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Just that the vortex in the stratosphere probably comes back to a point. However, the signal of disturbing the vortex is still there on ensembles. To be honest, it doesn't really matter in the grand scheme of things. We are at the mercy of the Pacific. Now that i understand! Thank you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 lol at the two of you bickering over a few tenths of an inch of snow he had the blizzard..he wins Id rather have higher season totals and more frequent snowfalls than1 big storm that melts in 4 days. But that's me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Hope the long range is looking good, it'll be the last time I ask. Thanks to the incessant childish bickering instead of scientific discussion, and Scott's relentless condescending tone, I'm gonna delete this account and get a more productive hobby. Like, you know...anything else. I wanted to learn, but not this way. Good riddance folks lol. Well at least I got a bit of a laugh before the rains come calling. I am sure the mods can let us know for sure weather or not this guy actual closes his account - Bob? My guess is no, he won't, or he will come back in as someone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 We'er biding time while this winter figures out if it can throw up Hail Mary.. (the tenor of the season does request Hail Mary as early as Feb 15 unfortunately) I've been mentioning this for days, and yet again ... the overnight derivatives are flagging an interesting ending 1/3 of the month, perhaps lasting into the first week of March. The MJO from both the Euro and GEFs are indicating a mighty powerful presentation as it is prognosticated to move through Phase 7. It's on the interface between 5 and 6 now; the correlation on temperature tendencies over N/A shows marked cooling taking over the lion's share of the eastern part of the continent as 5 --> 6 --> 7 ...then sustained correlation between 7-8-1/2. That's because those phase spaces are correlated to +PNAs. That's all well and good ...but, positively augmenting all that is that +PNA's are also correlated with warm ENSO events to begin with - which of course, we have... So, there are two disparate sources converging on the same signal: cold. For those seeking the Hail Mary ... you want that base canvas. Whether it produces storminess or not, one at least wants it cold. And, any ensemble mean and/or blended operational cues showing burgeoning western heights are favored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 lol. Well at least I got a bit of a laugh before the rains come calling. I am sure the mods can let us know for sure weather or not this guy actual closes his account - Bob? My guess is no, he won't, or he will come back in as someone else. I'm a girl. Thanks for your thoughts everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 I'm a girl. Thanks for your thoughts everyone.stick around and just have a thicker skin sometimes. Man Scooter has a way with the ladies. 2nd one he scared off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 stick around and just have a thicker skin sometimes. Man Scooter has a way with the ladies. 2nd one he scared off I'm sorry she feels that way, but have no idea where she's coming from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Looks like Euro brings back winter after the cutter next weekend for the last week of the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Looks like Euro brings back winter after the cutter next weekend for the last week of the month I'm still optimistic after next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 I'm still optimistic after next weekend. Tip's Hail Mary period coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2016 Author Share Posted February 14, 2016 I'm optimistic, and at the risk of bing made fun of my Steve, here is my latest blog update http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Tip's Hail Mary period coming up. Hopefully you guys cash in too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Tip's Hail Mary period coming up. More likely it'll just resemble the tip of Mary's period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 More likely it'll just resemble the tip of Mary's period Awww haha you went there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Hopefully you guys cash in too. Yeah I hope so. Record low snow in the bag at this point, but would be nice to get a 4"+ event (say in 12-18 hours) this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Sign me up for the euro ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Sign me up for the euro ensembles.All Snow thinks they look like sh itT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Yeah eps looks great. I couldn't have planned my time away better actually tho missing historic cold is a tiny bummer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Oy vay on the D10ness of the damn thing but f if that isn't a tasty set up by the GGEM and Euro - Frankly, for a lot of the reasons I outlined, I wouldn't necessarily invoke the perfunctory eye-roller response to any amplitude in that time frame. I think given the signals leading, amplitude is warranted - ironing out details? sure - 86 those. But as is (and purely for entertainment) that D10 Euro would have to go crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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