CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 GEFS are a pretty sweet overrunning look with weak SE ridging and PV in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 GFS/GEFS always do that. EPS has led the way this year....Plan on a reload post 2/24 Yeah the GEFS has hated every possible cold pattern post day 10 this year and has been wrong every time. Last winter it was the opposite where it seemed the EPS continued to try and torch everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 A heavy synoptic cold March snowstorm (8"+) that covers almost all of SNE with zero mixing is really rare actually. You probably will find maybe 2 per decade on average....you just end up disqualifying so many storms that were cold but mixed (like '07), were paste jobs or screwed somewhere like the valley (like Mar 2013) or didn't give enough snow to qualify (like March 2009). I mean, even in the 1990s, the glory years of many March snow events...how many qualify? Maybe March 7-8, 1996...Mar 3, 1994? Though that latter one had mixing issues near the coast, so we disqualify. Mar 1993 is disqualified because sleet mixed in many spots. Mar 4-5, 1993 is disqualified because it wasn't cold. Mar 1999 disqualified because not everywhere got enough snow. Etc, etc. well the first three march events you mentioned were nice...despite a little mixing near the coast or in the superstorms case after more than 8 inches of snow just about regionwide....forget that one in 99...that was for the birds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Canal cutter oxymoron Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 how bout that one in 1961 that produced 10-20 region wide and up to nearly 3 feet on Nantucket?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Thanks Allsnow for looking at gefs upside down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 how bout that one in 1961 that produced 10-20 region wide and up to nearly 3 feet on Nantucket?? That was Mar 1960. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 That was Mar 1960. yup ok off by one year...that thing had to be a beast well its been 56 years...i am ready how bout you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 yup ok off by one year...that thing had to be a beast It is definitely a top 10 snowstorm regionwide for SNE as a whole. You could maybe even argue top 5 or 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 It is definitely a top 10 snowstorm regionwide for SNE as a whole. You could maybe even argue top 5 or 6. to produce heavy snowfall from the berks all the way to ack and everywhere in between is mind boggling to me...i cannot even imagine all the greens and yellows on the radar if that happened today...those who sucked subsidence prob still had 10-15 of arctic packed wind blown sand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Euro ensembles look nice today. I'd say better than yesterday and last night. Colder and storm chances too. SE Canada look really cold which is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Euro ensembles look nice today. I'd say better than yesterday and last night. Colder and storm chances too. SE Canada look really cold which is good. Rumor has it there is a big warm up next weekend? Or was just the op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Rumor has it there is a big warm up next weekend? Or was just the op? Could be mildish next weekend...ensembles showed the possibility...but a bit muddy on details...last night's 00z Euro show you how it could fail. But that 1-2 day mild spell has been on guidance for a while now. It was originally like a 3-4 day all out torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Thanks Allsnow for looking at gefs upside down. You will get a ton of snow in Danbury with this look http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/CMCNA_12z/hgtcomp.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 You will get a ton of snow in Danbury with this look http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/CMCNA_12z/hgtcomp.html You said pac air floods into canada after the 20th lol. I see nice ak/west ridge with east trough post 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 You said pac air floods into canada after the 20th lol. I see nice ak/west ridge with east trough post 20th. I'm not expert nor do I play one on the internet, so maybe someone can verify what I think I am seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I'm not expert nor do I play one on the internet, so maybe someone can verify what I think I am seeing. GEFS are a pretty sweet overrunning look with weak SE ridging and PV in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Well then, Allsnow needs to melt into Allrain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Well then, Allsnow needs to melt into Allrain.YepGEFS still have a strongly -EPO in the LR anyway...that's not PAC air flooding into Canada post 2/23-2/24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Got some light snow falling as we get home from hoops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Timing the pattern perfectly. Leaving mid day tomorrow and returning the evening of 2/20. Got s sh*t ton of equipment packed up....gonna be an expensive bag check.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Another cutter next weekend? When will it end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 ENS look decent next weekend and forward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 How's the look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 My only concern is a ridge off the East Coast. You can either go out in glory, or play with fire and get wet. Otherwise, the cold will be nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 My only concern is a ridge off the East Coast. You can either go out in glory, or play with fire and get wet. Otherwise, the cold will be nearby. What do you think about that storm next weekend? Wet or white? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 What do you think about that storm next weekend? Wet or white? Far out, but would lean wet here, white NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Far out, but would lean wet here, white NNE. Christ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I'm thinking the end of the month has a big storm and one more in early March before we slide into spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Christ Lol...getting emotional about a system during the long-predicted mild spell being rain. IF we get snow from that, it's totally gravy. That Feb 20-22 period has never looked wintry since the ensembles could see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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