CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Yeah. Overrated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Those guys, with all due respect, have be harping the stratospheric warming for a long time now on tweeter. At this rate, it will happen in may. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 LOL. True. Okay. Just trying to learn each part of the system at large and try to start coming up with my own ideas. Hoping the rest of the month doesn't warm and we have some fun! (sorry, banter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Those guys, with all due respect, have be harping the stratospheric warming for a long time now on tweeter. At this rate, it will happen in may. It's a real phenomenon, but it's out of control this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 LOL. True. Okay. Just trying to learn each part of the system at large and try to start coming up with my own ideas. Hoping the rest of the month doesn't warm and we have some fun! (sorry, banter)it's great stuff and hey if your own ideas you eventually come up with don't work out, you can always blame it on luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 It's too late for any SSW to help out this winter . Even if one happens by the time it helps the pattern you're into mid Morch fighting climo and sun angle etc. the SSW idea this winter was a fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 How'd long range look on EnS? Been out all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 It's too late for any SSW to help out this winter . Even if one happens by the time it helps the pattern you're into mid Morch fighting climo and sun angle etc. the SSW idea this winter was a fail. From what I understand, its pretty irrelevant for us....it would not really change anything relative to what is already on going in the troposphere. The SSW failed killed western Europe, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 Isotherm Tom has been the one steady captain on the boat. His skills at pattern recognition both LR and MR are top notch. He talked me off of the ledge on FB about a week ago...not gonna lie. Our outlooks are about identical, but my confidence finally wavered, his didn't. Glad I listened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 How'd long range look on EnS? Been out all day Enjoy th next 10 days is what it says...may get mild for a spell thereafter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Enjoy th next 10 days is what it says...may get mild for a spell thereafter.Gefs say no. Don't feel great about that though obviously. Gotta hope Isotherm is correct and we lock in cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Gefs say no. Don't feel great about that though obviously. Gotta hope Isotherm is correct and we lock in coldHe's had a fantastic consistent no wavering outlook on this period. Helluva period we are in. Weeklies showed a relaxation week but right back in it. Would not be surprised if even that is shortened. I look forward to Isotherms take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Would the mild period still offer chances or is it too torchy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 for the long range experts....is there anything with teleconnections pattern etc that supports another shot at a big east coast storm after this one misses the interior? anything to possibly look forward to in the long range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I think eps are starting to cave just a bit. Will probably meet in the middle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I think eps are starting to cave just a bit. Will probably meet in the middle... As in moderation period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 EPO ridge coming back LR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 As in moderation period? A short one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Now we need to euro ensemble to agree after an ugly 11-15 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Now we need to euro ensemble to agree after an ugly 11-15 day. How ugly? And what's the difference between EPS and Euro ens? Sorry sorry sorry... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 How ugly? And what's the difference between EPS and Euro ens? Sorry sorry sorry...Kind of ugly IMO. Tough to say, but AN.EPS means European ensemble prediction system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Kind of ugly IMO. Tough to say, but AN. EPS means European ensemble prediction system. For clarityEuropean ensemble prediction system = Euro ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Does the Euro show anything for the 15th-16th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Looks the euro ensembles try to rebuild ridge at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 So the EPS and the Euro Ens are one in the same? Hoping it doesn't get too torchy up in here. Having the rest of the month wintry doesn't sound like too much to ask. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Big signal for snowstorm Fri nite/Sat Then a Rainer next week perhaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Big signal for snowstorm Fri nite/Sat Then a Rainer next week perhaps? Is that what the Euro showed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 All models now develop a -EPO/+PNA kind of look towards the end of the month. After any milder period, might drop the hammer again later in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 Big signal for snowstorm Fri nite/Sat Then a Rainer next week perhaps? I didn't even look long range...just today. Hopefully RE next weekend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 All models now develop a -EPO/+PNA kind of look towards the end of the month. After any milder period, might drop the hammer again later in the month. You think the warmup is inevitable at this point? Sorry for sounding like a weenie, it's been a rough year for the Albany area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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