40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2016 Author Share Posted January 29, 2016 Yeah that would be correct if that was anywhere near what the ENS are showing but look for yourself because Kev doesn't. Guess his boy got off the rainer train today. I just got home from work, but i have not heard anything disconcerting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 I just got home from work, but i have not heard anything disconcerting.GGW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 I have zero issues with that look. Same here. It's a cold and active look. Hopefully it materializes as shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 I have zero issues with that look. Zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Same here. It's a cold and active look. Hopefully it materializes as shown. AN 11-15 day precip anomalies too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 79/80 vibe Well GFS op shows how it could be meh, but I'll take it any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 you lost me once you said GFS op post day 5 It's an example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 GGW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 GGW?What's GGW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 GGW? I dunno, I'm deleting it from now on. He already posted it once. Lets keep this thread readable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Well anyways, I think we all can appreciate what's on the models. It doesn't get much worse than what we had. Let the cards fall as they may, but the pattern looks darn nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 I dunno, I'm deleting it from now on. He already posted it once. Lets keep this thread readable. Thanks! I don't know what that means either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 What's GGW?Ginx Gone Wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Well anyways, I think we all can appreciate what's on the models. It doesn't get much worse than what we had. Let the cards fall as they may, but the pattern looks darn nice.Agree. I have zero issues with that look. Zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Agree. I have zero issues with that look. Zero You had many issues with it this morning...what changed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 You had many issues with it this morning...what changed?Long wave trough axis shifted east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Long wave trough axis shifted east. So you were worried and freaking out over 100 miles worth of trough axis on a Day 10-15 500mb average anomaly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Was simply expressing a possibility if those ENS verified. Calmly and rationally. You guys were all hot and bothered over a possible non snow issue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2016 Author Share Posted January 30, 2016 Ginx Gone Wild lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 lmaoHe just loses control and goes wild on here. Just wild , outlandish ideas . Fingers flailing all over keyboard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2016 Author Share Posted January 30, 2016 He just loses control and goes wild on here. Just wild , outlandish ideas . Fingers flailing all over keyboard Every dog has his day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 For those of you without 0z EPS values for teleconnections. NAO AO EPO are solidly negative days 10 on. PNA is positive. Great historical correlation to a cold and possibly snowy period. I have the NAO and PNA more neutral. The -EPO is a bit further west for a more +PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 The values are derived from maps on pay sites but I assure they are negative. The PNA is positive but slightly. I would post the numbers but those with this one pay site can find the maps here. I have the same, although I am referring to the final 4 days or so. I also don't like spread sheet values. Seeing the actual pattern for your own eyes is of much more value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 I'm just going to warn the next person that posts anything wxbell euro related. If you want someone to see a specific prog send it via pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Getting ready to pull the trigger on a major SSW event. I think it's apparent that we've commenced the process already. Wave-1 hit over the past couple days will weaken the anomalous vortex to normal conditions, then another record daily amplitude wave-1 should finish the job in about 10 days. Wave breaking enhanced by +EA MT and GWO/AAM and tropical forcing progression. Berlin plots were impressive this morning. Next update, I think, should indicate a reversal of the mean zonal winds down to 10hpa. 60-90N temperatures progged to spike well above last year's event which was a minor SSW. Still favoring displacement, but if we can achieve some last minute wave-2, maybe split (not likely). The primary question in my mind right now is the extent to which the PV is displaced from the pole, and where exactly it decides to position itself for the balance of February. Right now, I like the direction the Euro's headed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 But will it cause a -NAO? If there is a prolonged split, it's from warming in the NPAC area. Not the best for it. I guess maybe it helps a -AO in March, but it would be nice to get a -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 All models have a negative NAO already LR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 All models have a negative NAO already LR Not really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 All models have a negative NAO already LREven that EURO prog you showed had a slightly negative NAO in the means but if you looked at the spread it certainly didn't look like a slam dunk. There was a lot of spread into the positive realm too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Even that EURO prog you showed had a slightly negative NAO in the means but if you looked at the spread it certainly didn't look like a slam dunk. There was a lot of spread into the positive realm too.it's negative in that 0z EPS average,ask Dendrite for a link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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